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FTSE Hits Fresh All-Time High, Dow To Do The Same

Published 05/01/2018, 11:35
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It looks like the first week of 2018 is going to end on a high, with the European indices in a very good mood ahead of a promising US session.

After a slow open the FTSE decided to follow the lead of its peers, rising 25 points to hit a brand spanking new record peak of 7720. The index’s rise will be in part because the pound has failed to really get off the ground this Friday, falling 0.1% against the dollar while remaining near a 5 and a half week low against the euro.

Over in the Eurozone there was even more goodwill, with both the DAX and CAC continuing their 2018 comeback. The German index jumped nearly 150 points as the morning went on, crossing 13300 for the first time since mid-December; the CAC was almost as strong, surpassing 5450 after rising 0.8%. The indices were aided by the euro dipping 0.1% against the pound and 0.2% against the dollar, as the eurozone core flash inflation reading for December came in lower than forecast at 0.9%.

Turning to this afternoon and this Friday’s main attraction is still to come: the first US non-farm jobs report of the year. Analysts are estimating the headline figure will fall from 228k to 190k month-on-month, though Thursday’s beefy ADP reading has perhaps slightly shifted expectations. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, is set to remain unchanged at 4.1%, with wage growth nudging up from 0.2% to 0.3%.

The prospect of all this has the Dow Jones more excited than the dollar – the greenback has been remarkably unreceptive to the good news coming out of the US of late, be it Trump’s tax reform triumph or the week’s decent data. Not that the Dow is too bothered; the dollar’s softness has the index facing yet another all-time high, with the futures pointing to a 25150-grazing 80 point rise after the bell.

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