Amidst all the noise, subdued inflation and solid global growth are good for selected emerging-market currencies: MXN, THB, INR, IDR and ZAR should be bought on the dips.
Trade-war fears eased on Chinese President Xi Jinping's conciliatory, optimistic remarks at the Boao Forum for Asia. Global stocks rebounded as US President Donald Trump acknowledged the remarks positively. But markets are still jittery: USD/RUB highlights this, clearing 64.20 in early trading. In general, forex markets remain choppy and difficult to read.
Today will see various announcements: UK manufacturing data, the US consumer price index and the US Federal Reserve’s minutes of its Open Market Committee. US CPI inflation is expected to rise, with the core rate jumping to 2.1%, keeping USD contained. The FOMC March minutes will give insight into the Fed’s choice of three or four rate hikes for 2018.
Disclaimer: While every effort has been made to ensure that the datat quoted and used for the research behind this document is reliable, there is no guarantee that it is correct, and Swissquote Bank and its subsidiaries can accept no liability whatsoever in respect of any errors or omissions, or regarding the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. This document does not constitute a recommendation o sell and/or buy any financial products and is not to be considered as a solicitation and/or an offer to enter into any transaction. This document is a piece of economic research and is not intended to constitute investment advice, nor to solicit dealing in securities or in any other kind of investment.
Although every investment involves some degree of risk, the risk of loss trading off-exchange forex contracts can be substantial. Therefore if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product so you can make informed decisions prior to investing. The material presented here in not to be construed as trading advice or strategy. Swissquote Bank makes a strong effort to use reliable, expansive information, but we make no representation that it is accurate or complete. In addition, we have no obligation to notify you when opinions or data in this material change. Any prices stated in this report are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual securities or other instruments.