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Daily Technicals On Energy: WTI, Brent, Heating Oil

Published 09/03/2018, 06:26
Updated 09/07/2023, 11:32

NYMEX WTI (Front Month Continuous)

NYMEX WTI

Following the Indecision of the Doji Cross seen yesterday, we had a Bearish Long Black Marubozo with an Open and a Close both below the recent and key 50% Fib at 62.38. The combination of various technical pressures that led to the strong resistance at 63.39 was the cause of all this. We’ve not really exploited the move down but be aware that the support in the form of the Medium MA is rising and coming into the picture (currently 59.26). We’ve nearer support at 60.13 and 59.98 but better starts from the Medium MA.

ICE BRENT (Front Month Continuous)

ICE BRENT

Follow on to the recent Indecision by moving lower but this time the reason was resistance provided by the key 50% Fib at 66.19 of the Dec 2017—Jan 2018 move. Prices initially held at the Medium MA (currently 64.83) but this gave way and is resistance now. We've currently halted at the Lower Tine of the Dec 2017—Feb Andrews Pitchfork (currently 63.98). This held in the past but is finding it hard now. Yesterday, I put forward the idea the 50% Fib is acting as an attractor for the market at the moment...trading away but seemingly always coming back...now we test the idea!

NYMEX HEATING OIL (Front Month Continuous)

NYMEX HEATING OIL

Almost a Key Reversal Down after yesterday's second close over the Middle Tine of the 2016-2017 Schiff Pitchfork (currently 1.8986) but as I wrote '...it was only just.'. This is now resistance, yet we're seemingly loathe to test minor support at 1.8500—last week's low. Topside resist is still the recent 50% Fib at 1.9757 and the nearer Medium MA (currently 1.9497). Next support's at Feb's low 1.8084 with better at joint Lower Tine of the 2016-2017 Andrews Pitchfork and Long MA, both around 1.7785.

NYMEX RBOB (Front Month Continuous)

NYMEX RBOB

A proper Key Reversal Down follows the previous Indecisive Doji Cross. I mentioned yesterday we'd had this Indecisive Doji '...just ahead of the key topside resistance formed of the 2018 high at 1.9537...perhaps it really doesn't like it as we seem reluctant to try higher.'. That's what happened! Support is still significant at the Aug—Oct 2017 50% Fib at 1.8540 and then the recent 50% Fib at 1.8027. Topside resistance, apart from the 2018 high, is limited until 2.0140. Now we just need the follow through lower...seems reluctant at this time...watch this one!

ICE GAS OIL (Front Month Continuous)

ICE GAS OIL

An Indecisive Outside Day...almost a Key Reversal Down...that followed a Indecisive Spinning Top Pattern. The market just ran into the Medium MA resistance...again...at 576.25 and came off. We're nevertheless lower today (again). I'm very interested to see if we close back towards the previous day's closes. Below...we've support at 556.50 and the 2018 low of 539.25 but stronger between 528-516. It's made of the Long MA, 50% Fib of the 2017 move and the Lower Tine of the 2016-2017 Bullish Andrews Pitchfork. Resistance's still at the recent 50% Fib at 584.75.

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