EUR/USD - bearish consolidation
EUR/USD is consolidating. Hourly resistance is located at 1.1878 (12/10/2017 high). Hourly support is given at a distance at 1.1554 (07/11/2017 low). Expected to show continued short-term consolidation before heading higher towards resistance at 1.1878 ( 12/10/2017 high).
In the longer term, the momentum is now turning largely positive. We favour a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2252 (25/12/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.0341 (03/01/2017 low).
GBP/USD - continued recovery bounce
GBP/USD has broken 1.3230 resistance indicate an extension of bullish momentum. Support is given at 1.3027 (06/10/2017 low). Expected to show continued increase.
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline. Long-term support can be found at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low). Long-term resistance given around 1.35 is at stake and indicates a long-term reversal in the negative trend. Yet, it is very unlikely at the moment.
USD/JPY - selling pressure builds
has broken short-term uptrend channel. Hourly support is now given at 111.89 (20/11/2017 low). Stronger support is located at a distance at 111.12 (20/09/2017 low). Expected to show further decline.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 99.02 (10/08/2013 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 93.79 (13/06/2013 low).
USD/CHF - bullish bounce halted
USD/CHF declining trendline has halted progress. The technical structure indicates further downside risks. The pair has failed to hold consistently above the parity. If the pair heads towards 0.98, there might be even more downside pressures. The road would be wideopen for further decline.
In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Key support can be found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). The technical structure favours nonetheless a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD - short-term bullish
USD/CAD has failed to clear resistance indicating downside risk. Resistance at 1.2820 (07/11/2017 high) has been broken. Hourly support lies at 1.2667 (10/11/2017 low). Expected to show continued upside pressures.
In the longer term, the pair has broken longterm support that can be found at 1.2461 (16/03/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head further lower.
AUD/USD - break of key support
AUD/USD is ready to go even lower showing that downside pressures are still lively. Hourly resistance is given at a distance at 0.7897 (13/10/2017 high). Expected to show renewed pressures towards key support at 0.7535 (22/06/2017 low).
In the long-term, the trend is turning positive. Key supports stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.
EUR/GBP - wide-open for further downside
EUR/GBP was rejected from rising trendline showing an aggressive reversal. Hourly support is given at a distance at 0.8733 (01/11/2017 low). Next resistance is located at 0.9014 (27/10/2017 high). Expected to go lower.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from recent lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests a growing upside momentum. The pair is trading above from its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level).
EUR/CHF - strengthening
EUR/CHF has broken key resistance at 1.1711 before bouncing back. Support is given at 1.1610 (27/10/2017 low). Expected to show continued bullish strengthening.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance is given at 1.20 (level before the unpeg). Yet, the ECB's QE programme is likely to cause persistent selling pressures on the euro, which should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).
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