EUR/USD Heading towards 1.2223
EUR/USD is trading lower, approaching support at 1,2223 (23/01/2018 low). The technical structure suggests further short-term downside moves.
In the longer term, the momentum is turning largely positive. We favor a continued bullish bias. Key resistance is holding at 1.2886 (15/10/2014 high) while strong support lies at 1.1554 (08/11/2017 low).
GBP/USD Riding down
GBP/USD's bearish pressure pushed the pair at the range of 1.38. The technical structure suggests further potential downside move. Hourly support at 1.3916 (23/01/2018 low) is now broken.
The long-term technical pattern is reversing. The Brexit vote had paved the way for further decline but the pair is moving to 2016 highs. A long-term support given at 1.1841 (07/10/2017 low) and a strong resistance at 1.5018 (24/06/2016 high) are identified.
USD/JPY Upward momentum
USD/JPY is increasing and remains in the 109 range, heading toward 110. Hourly resistance remains at 111.50 (18/01/2018 high). The technical structure suggests further short-term upside moves.
We favor a long-term bearish bias. Support is now given at 107.32 (08/09/2017 low). A gradual rise towards the major resistance at 125.86 (05/06/2015 high) seems unlikely. Expected to decline further support at 101.20 (09/11/2016 low).
USD/CHF Upward momentum
USD/CHF keeps strengthening. Hourly resistance at 0.9449 (25/01/2018) is now broken. Expected to show further short-term upside move.
In the long-term, the pair is still trading in range since 2011 despite some turmoil when the SNB unpegged the CHF. Support at 0.9259 (24/08/2015 low) is attainable. Key support remains at 0.9072 (07/05/2015 low) while resistance at 1.0344 (15/12/2016 high) is distanced. The technical structure favours a long term bullish bias since the unpeg in January 2015.
USD/CAD Strengthening
USD/CAD is now trading in the 1.26 range and outreached support at 1.2589 (01/01/2018). New resistance is now at 1.2796 (22/12/2017 high) while further resistance remains at 1.2917 (27/10/2017 high). The technical structure indicates that further short-term rise is expected.
In the longer term, the pair is trading between resistance point at 1.3805 (05/05/2017 high) and support at 1.2128 (18/06/2015 low). Strong resistance is given at 1.4690 (22/01/2016 high). The pair is likely to head lower. The pairs is trading below 200 DMA.
AUD/USD Declining
AUD/USD is weakening. Hourly resistance at 0.7808 (01/09/2018) is now outpaced. The technical structure suggests further short-term weakness.
In the long-term, the trend is turning flattish and fails reaching key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 low). Key support stands at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low). A break of the key resistance at 0.8164 (14/05/2015 high) is needed to invalidate our long-term bearish view.
EUR/GBP Short-term downward trend
EUR/GBP is trading lower and moves away from resistance at 0.8929 (12/01/2018 high). Hourly support is at 0.8687 (25/01/2018). The technical structure suggests further short-term downside move.
In the long-term, the pair has largely recovered from lows in 2015. The technical structure suggests further upside pressure. The pair is trading above the range of its 200 DMA. Strong resistance can be found at 0.9500 (psychological level).
EUR/CHF Consolidation at 1.1575 maintained
EUR/CHF stabilizes. Hourly resistance is given at 1.1685 (26/01/2018 high). Expected to show further short-term sideways moves.
In the longer term, the technical structure has reversed. Strong resistance is given at 1.20 (level before the unpeg). Yet, the ECB's slowing QE program is likely to cause buying pressures on the euro, which should weigh in favour of the EUR/CHF. Supports can be found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082 (27/01/2015 low).
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