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Has Burberry's Shift Further Upmarket Paid Off?

Published 16/01/2018, 11:23

Despite a string of sharp movements lower across the year, 2017 wasn’t too bad for Burberry (LON:BRBY). Opening at £14.96 the stock managed to climb to a closing price of £17.97, completing an impressive 20% increase across 12 months. It hasn’t really moved since then, with the fashion retailer now sitting at a current trading price of £17.85.

Burberry Group PLC

The most recent of Burberry’s sharp declines came following 9th November’s half year report, a statement that caused the stock to plunge nearly 10% from the £20-teasing all-time high the day previous. The figures themselves were pretty damn solid: pre-tax profits surged 26% to £128 million, while underlying sales were up 4% to £1.26 billion, as were the firm’s like-for-likes.

Yet that isn’t what investors chose to focus on; that honour went to the new CEO Marco Gobbetti’s quest to ‘sharpen’ the company’s global positioning. Gobbetti is aiming to reinvent Burberry as a super luxury brand, a change that involves dramatically raising the price – and therefore margins – of its products to match its top-end items like its trademark trench coats. It was the cost of all this as much as the concept that spooked investors – for FY 2019 and 2020 spending would be between £150 million and £160 million per annum, rising to between £190 million and £210 million in the medium term.

A further update on the rollout of this ambitious plan – which was impacted by the shock departure of creative director Christopher Bailey just over a week before the announcement – will be welcome on Wednesday. As for its Q3 figures, analysts are expecting Burberry to post a healthy 3% rise in like-for-like sales, marking its 6th consecutive quarter of positive growth.

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Burberry Group PLC has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ alongside an average target price of £16.99.

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