ICE US RAW SUGAR (Front Month Continuous)
Let's look at three days from last week. Last Monday we'd a huge Gap filling Key Reversal Up on the Daily Chart...well and good...by why did it seemingly failed? I'd suggest the next day's action saw no follow through up but the acton became a Tweezer Top. Again we've not really followed on lower but I'd point out Friday's acton— a Key Reversal Down. This has again seen limited follow on...partially because of the proximity of the Middle Tine of the Jan 2011—Oct Schiff Pitchfork (currently 12.67). Whilst being Bearish this Tine slows declines and made the Weekly Chart an Indecisive Spinning Top. Be carefuL.there's sill pressure to go lower to the possible LT Bear Flag Target in the 8.35 area.
ICE EUROPE WHITE SUGAR (Front Month Continuous)
I've written many times that we've formed between 365.00—349.50 a Bearish Halfway Hesitation with potential for the 318 area. We tried lower this past Monday and dramatically failed with a Key Reversal Up . This has carried on this past week i l l today we're testing the upside of the congestion area 365.00—349.50. We've not managed to overcome this yet but I'd point out some significant nearing resistances—1) the Medium MA (currently 371.20), 2) the recent 50% Fib at 373.00 and 3) the Long MA (currently 376.70). The two MAs are closing so watch if they combine. Below we've good combi support. However, the market'll f'nd it hard getting up over the 370.30 Mar high at this time.
ICE US ARABICA COFFEE (2nd Month Continuous)
I sill have only one realistic (...and seemingly strong) recent(...ish) Uptrend support left...the 2016-to-date Uptrend (currently 116.80). This has been tested but hasn't as yet given in. We've support left (apart from above) below the market at 117.80, 116.95, 115.90, 115.50, 113.40 and 112.45. To counteract this pressure lower you'd need consecutive closes over the Medium MA (currently 124.70) and recent 50% Fib at 125.25 to negate the fall...and just put it into Neutral.
ICE EUROPE ROBUSTA COFFEE (2nd Month Continuous)
I've often suggested how the Upper Tine of the Feb—Aug 2017 Andrews Pitchfork (currently 1730) plus the Medium MA (currently 1755) kept a lid on the market...and may've failed. This past week seems they hadn't.just severely tested. The possible Ascending Triangle mentioned...currently between 1789—1731 was '...sill nascent and fragile...' over last week but I warned '...watch carefully...and remember...an Ascending Triangle can also be Bearish.'. On Friday, we saw how Bearish one can look. We punched down to a new 2018 low (just). We've not followed through...but it's one to watch. We've not yet reached Double Top Target (1630 area) nor AT Target (1610 area)...watch for a retracement...just in case!
WHITE PREMIUM SPREAD (Front Month Continuous)
I've written a few times 'We have two major obstacles ahead of the Pattern Targeted 93.00 level. First the Long MA...and then the 2017 50% Fib at 80.60. Prices need to overcome these to have a crack at 93.00. If they do then it may well be easy from then on.'. We tested up to the Long MA (currently 76.50) last time I wrote but then turned back down. This past week we punched up through and closed over. We may've had stops over as we've had a Bullish Opening White Marubozo which has punched up through the 50% Fib at 80.60. This puts the Double Bottom Target in view in the 93.00 area. To negate this move up you'd need consecutive closes below the Medium MA (currently 63.50) and recent 50% at 64.10...going
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