🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Sterling slips as UK economy shows only partial recovery in August

Published 12/10/2023, 07:15
Updated 12/10/2023, 11:26
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Woman holds British Pound banknotes in this illustration taken May 30, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo
GBP/USD
-
EUR/GBP
-

By Joice Alves

LONDON (Reuters) - The pound edged lower on Thursday, off a three-week high after data showed Britain's economy only partially recovered in August after a sharp drop in the prior month.

After last year's surge in inflation and 14 back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Bank of England (BoE), Britain is seeing only sluggish growth.

Sterling fell 0.15% on the day to $1.2296, retreating from a three-week high touched on Wednesday against the greenback.

Versus the euro, sterling dropped 0.14% to 86.35 pence, after scaling its highest against the single currency since Sept. 19.

"Today's reading reinforces a narrative that the UK is slipping into stagnation rather than recession," said Nick Rees, FX market analyst at Monex Europe.

"In the absence of a growth pickup, further rate hikes look unnecessary, but with a sharp recession also appearing unlikely at this point, nor is there a need to pull forward the timing of any rate cuts."

Sterling's rally this week has eased, in part, as investors re-evaluate their expectations for U.S. interest rates and for the outlook of euro zone growth, rather than down to any standout factor in Britain.

Money markets are pricing no more rate hikes by the BoE after the central bank didn't raise its benchmark interest rate in September. Markets are pricing in a first rate cut next August, according to LSEG data.

BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill said the British central bank is fully committed to bring inflation to target.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Woman holds British Pound banknotes in this illustration taken May 30, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo

"Whether we've done enough - or whether we have more to do - I think is becoming a more finely balanced issue. But we will do what we need to do in order to have inflation at 2% on a lasting basis," he said.

The economy has already flatlined, and about 20% or 25% of the impact of interest rate hikes has fed through to the economy, BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra said in an interview with the BBC.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.