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NatWest guidance slashed, earnings a ‘major disappointment’, says this analyst

Published 30/10/2023, 13:13
© Reuters.  NatWest guidance slashed, earnings a ‘major disappointment’, says this analyst
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Proactive Investors - British lender NatWest Group PLC (LON:NWG)’s third-quarter earnings were “a major disappointment”, according to Citi, which in a scathing research note announced major cuts to its earnings and price targets.

NatWest suffered from tighter margin spreads and customers migrated to higher interest-bearing savings accounts, the FTSE 100 bank stated last Friday, causing a more than 10% share price nosedive.

Citi analysts expect “meaningfully lower” net interest margins on the horizon, and have consequently slashed their profit-before-tax guidance by 5% for full-year 2023 and by up to 19% between 2024 and 2026.

Citi’s forecasts are now 13% below the wider market consensus for 2024 and 20% below market consensus for 2025.

Analysts have also stripped the likelihood of share buybacks from their investment thesis, resulting in a 19-32% cut to earnings-per-share estimates between 2024 and 2026.

“We would much prefer to own Lloyds (LON:LLOY) here,” said Citi analysts after slashing their price target from 385p to 255p.

NatWest, however, still remains a 'buy' stock, with a publication price of 182.35p.

Read more on Proactive Investors UK

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