Unlock Premium Data: Up to 50% Off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Bounce Higher As Santa Claus Rally Awaits: Analyst Says December Typically 'Second-Half Story'

Published 19/12/2023, 12:24
© Reuters.  Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Bounce Higher As Santa Claus Rally Awaits: Analyst Says December Typically 'Second-Half Story'
NDX
-
US500
-
US2000
-
CL
-
US10YT=X
-

Benzinga - by Shanthi Rexaline, Benzinga Editor.

Index futures are gaining momentum on Tuesday, signaling an acceleration upward as the “Santa Claus” rally takes hold. Adding to the positive sentiment is an early Christmas gift from the Bank of Japan, which has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy. Traders will also be navigating through earnings reports and housing starts data as potential catalysts.

Bond yields remain subdued, and crude oil continues its fluctuating trajectory.

Highlights from Monday's Trading:

  • U.S. stocks maintained mostly positive momentum, with the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 Index finishing notably higher. The S&P 500 closed at its highest level since Jan. 4, 2022, and the Nasdaq Composite reached its highest point since Jan. 12, 2022.
  • The Dow Industrials closed flat but with a slight upward bias, achieving another record closing high. Small-cap stocks experienced some volatility during the session.
  • Investors, anticipating rate cuts in the new year, have seen a resurgence in risk appetite, driving increased buying interest.
  • Within S&P sector classes, communication services and consumer staple stocks showed significant gains, while most others traded with muted activity.
US Index Performance On Monday

Index Performance (+/-) Value
Nasdaq Composite +0.62% 14,904.81
S&P 500 Index +0.45% 4,740.56
Dow Industrials +0.00% 37,306.02
Russell 2000 -0.14% 1,982.42

Analyst Color:

December is typically a “second-half story,” said LPL Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has generated an average gain of 1.5% in December and finished higher 74% of the time, he said.

“Most of the gains during the month have come during the second half, as the average gain at the halfway point is only around 0.1%,” Turnquist said. This year, the index was clearly outpacing its average December progression, he noted.

“Of the six prior years when the S&P 500 had a mid-month gain of at least 3%, the index added another 1.5% in the second half of the month to finish December with an average of 5.8%,” he said.

Chart Courtesy of LPL Financial

Futures Today

Futures Performance On Tuesday

Futures Performance (+/-)
Nasdaq 100 +0.11%
S&P 500 +0.11%
Dow +0.09%
R2K +0.44%

In premarket trading on Tuesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) rose 0.12% to $472.55 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) gained 0.13% to $407.62, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Upcoming Economic Data:

The Commerce Department is due to release the housing starts and building report for November at 8:30 am ET. Economists, on average, expect housing starts to come in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.360 million units, down from 1.372 million units in October. Building permits, a leading indicator of housing starts, may have slipped from 1.498 million units to 1.470 million units.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is due to speak at 9:30 a.m. ET and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic at 12:30 pm ET.

See also: Futures Vs. Options

Stocks In Focus:

  • Plug Power, Inc. (NASDAQ:PLUG) fell nearly 4% in premarket trading following a negative analyst action.
  • Accenture plc (NYSE:ACN), FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS), and FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) are among the companies due to release their quarterly results ahead of the market open.
  • FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX), Steelcase Inc. (NYSE:SCS), and Worthington Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:WOR) will report after the market close.
Commodities, Bonds, Other Global Equity Markets:

Crude oil futures fell 0.16% to $72.70 in early European session on Tuesday, reversing some of the 1.95% gain they notched up on Monday.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 0.043 percentage points to 3.913% on Thursday.

Most major markets in Asia advanced on Tuesday, led by the Japanese, Australian and Indonesian markets. Traders welcomed a central bank decision from the region as the Bank of Japan’s Monetary Policy Board announced its verdict to keep its ultra-loose monetary policy intact.

European stocks posted gains in late-morning trading, although trading was marked by listlessness. The EURO STOXX 50 Index, a stock index of Eurozone stocks, rose modestly.

Read Next: Biden’s Approval Rating Hits Rock Bottom As Inflation Victory Claim Fails To Resonate: Poll Analyst Sees ‘Political Peril’ For President

Image created with artificial intelligence on MidJourney

© 2023 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

Read the original article on Benzinga

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.