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Jefferies holds buy on Supernus despite FDA setback, expects -5-10% stock movement

Published 08/04/2024, 15:46

On Monday, Supernus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:SUPN) retained a Buy rating from Jefferies, with the firm maintaining its $40.00 price target on the stock. The rating follows the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's (FDA) rejection of the company's SPN-830, an apomorphine pump designed for Parkinson's disease treatment. The analyst from Jefferies noted that despite the setback, which is expected to result in a -5-10% stock reaction, the firm remains optimistic about Supernus' prospects.

The market had modest expectations for the approval of SPN-830, but the recent strength in Supernus' stock price had been partly attributed to hopes that an FDA nod would demonstrate management's ability to execute effectively. This anticipation was seen as a potential catalyst for momentum, considering the company's central nervous system (CNS) pipeline with several datasets expected in 2024-25.

Jefferies' analyst pointed out that while management at Supernus plans to resubmit a New Drug Application (NDA) for SPN-830, the market is unlikely to attribute value to this effort until it results in an approval. The FDA's rejection, therefore, represents a temporary hurdle for the company as it continues to navigate the regulatory landscape.

In the broader context, Supernus Pharmaceuticals focuses on developing and commercializing products for the treatment of central nervous system diseases. The company's pipeline and potential for future approvals are key factors that contribute to the analyst's positive outlook, despite the current regulatory challenge.

Investors will be watching closely as Supernus aims to address the FDA's concerns and resubmit the NDA for SPN-830.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent FDA decision and Jefferies' continued support for Supernus Pharmaceuticals, it's valuable to consider some financial metrics and analyst insights from InvestingPro. Notably, Supernus holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide a cushion as it navigates regulatory challenges. Additionally, analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting optimism about the company's profitability prospects.

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From a valuation standpoint, Supernus is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio (Adjusted) for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at 109.7. Despite a revenue decline of 8.95% during the same period, the company has achieved a gross profit margin of 86.21%, indicating strong profitability on the products it sells. Moreover, the stock has shown a strong return over the last three months, with a 20.64% price total return, suggesting investor confidence is resilient.

For investors seeking deeper analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers further tips on Supernus, such as its high shareholder yield and predictions of profitability within this fiscal year. There are 6 more InvestingPro Tips available that could provide a more nuanced understanding of the company's financial health and future outlook. Utilize coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription to access these valuable insights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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