XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP), a leading investment firm in Brazil, has reported a strong financial performance in the first quarter of 2024. The company experienced a 28% increase in top-line growth year-over-year (YoY) and a 29% rise in bottom-line growth YoY, with an EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 81 basis points.
The firm introduced new financial planning tools and launched an open investments initiative, aiming to provide a wider range of investment options at competitive rates. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, XP Inc. has seen growth in client assets, active clients, and advisers, along with a slight improvement in retail net new money and a 28% YoY increase in total gross revenue.
Key Takeaways
- XP Inc. achieved a 28% YoY growth in top-line and a 29% YoY increase in bottom-line.
- EBITDA margin expanded by roughly 81 basis points.
- The company introduced a sophisticated financial planning tool and launched the open investments initiative.
- Growth was reported in total client assets, active clients, and advisers.
- Retail net new money showed a slight improvement.
- Total gross revenue and new verticals revenue increased by 28% and 35% YoY, respectively.
- Corporate and issuer services revenue surged by 91% YoY.
- XP Inc. maintained cost discipline, with efficiency ratios near IPO levels.
- The company expects positive operating leverage and improved EBIT in the future.
- There has been a transition in the CFO role and changes in corporate governance.
- XP Inc. aims for a pretax profit margin between 30% and 34% by 2026.
- Net new money inflow was lower than previous years but expected to improve.
- The effective tax rate may vary based on the revenue mix.
Company Outlook
- XP Inc. is focused on dominating the investment industry in Brazil.
- The company is confident in its ability to manage effectively and capitalize on market improvements.
- Aiming for a pretax profit margin of 30% to 34% by the end of 2026.
- Positive outlook on operating leverage contributing to EBITDA margin improvement.
Bearish Highlights
- The macroeconomic environment remains challenging.
- Net new money inflow was lower compared to previous years.
- Doubts were expressed about achieving the target EBITDA margin of 30-34% by 2026 without changes in the macro environment.
- A decline in card revenues was noted, attributed to seasonality.
Bullish Highlights
- Diversification of ecosystem and capital market activities drove revenue growth.
- Strong performance in new verticals, including retirement plans, cards, insurance, and credit.
- Record EBIT of BRL1.088 billion, a 33% YoY improvement.
- Net income reached BRL1.3 billion, a 29% YoY growth.
Misses
- The company experienced a decline in the equity take rate but clarified that there was no change in price.
- The net asset value (NAV) declined partly due to tax and bonuses payments and cash disbursements for investments.
Q&A Highlights
- Executives discussed the impact of tax withholdings on the effective tax rate and stated that Q1 2024 could be indicative of future rates.
- They addressed the normal fluctuation in equity take rate and emphasized their focus on market share growth and cross-selling.
- The company discussed the challenges of scaling financial planning services and their confidence in overcoming them.
- Executives also talked about their cost discipline and indicated no significant expected changes in the cost-to-income ratio.
- The Q&A session concluded with teams available for further questions.
XP Inc. is navigating through a complex economic landscape with strategic initiatives and disciplined cost management. The company's investment in new verticals and commitment to providing high-quality digital services to clients are central to its growth strategy. While there are challenges ahead, XP Inc. remains on track with its plans for 2024 and beyond.
InvestingPro Insights
XP Inc.'s robust financial performance in the first quarter of 2024 is further highlighted by its strong presence in the Capital Markets industry, as noted by one of the InvestingPro Tips. The company's aggressive share buyback strategy, as per another InvestingPro Tip, underscores management's confidence in the firm's value proposition and future prospects.
Delving into the InvestingPro Data, XP Inc. boasts a market capitalization of $11.76 billion, reflecting its significant footprint in the industry. The company's Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 15.24, with a slight adjustment to 14.96 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This adjustment suggests a stable earnings valuation over the recent period. Furthermore, with a Price to Book ratio of 3.09 and a Revenue Growth of 10.02% for the same period, XP Inc. demonstrates a solid balance sheet and an ability to expand its top-line effectively.
Investors seeking to gain deeper insights into XP Inc.'s financial health and strategic position can find additional InvestingPro Tips at https://www.investing.com/pro/XP. There are 7 more tips available that can help investors make more informed decisions. And remember, you can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.
Full transcript - Xp Inc (XP) Q1 2024:
Andre Parize: Good evening, everyone. I'm Andre Parize, Head of Investor Relations at XP Inc. It's a pleasure to be here with you today. On behalf of the Company, I would like to thank you all for the interest and welcoming to our '24 First Quarter Earnings Call. This quarter's results will be presented by our CEO, Thiago Maffra and our CFO, Bruno Constantino, who will both be available for the Q&A session right after the presentation. [Operator Instructions]. And before we begin our presentation, please refer to our legal disclaimers on Page 2 on which we clarify forward-looking statements, additional information on forward-looking statements can also be found on the SEC filings section in our IR website. So now, I'll turn it over to Thiago Maffra. Go evening, Maffra.
Thiago Maffra: Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us today on our 2024 first quarter earnings call. It's a pleasure to be here tonight. Before we review our financial results, it's important to acknowledge the devastating floods that have impacted Rio Grande do Sul, resulting in tragic loss of lives and homes. It's particularly heartbreaking as XP began its journey in a small 200 square foot of [St. Porto Alegre]. During this difficult time, we are committed to supporting the affected communities. Our hearts go out to all those affected. Now let us discuss our quarterly performance and the steps we are taking to ensure our continued growth and commitment to all our stakeholders, as we continue our conversation today, I want to reiterate our commitment to serving our clients by delivering innovative and high-quality service. I am proud to announce that during this quarter, we have implemented a sophisticated and stable financial planning tool. This technology provides us with a clear view of our clients' financial cycles in enhancing our service offerings. Additionally, it integrates seamlessly with our recently launched open investments initiative, which broadens our ability to present diverse investment alternatives at better rates and lower price. I will revisit this topic shortly to provide more details on how it functions. Before we delve into our financial performance, it's crucial to address the macroeconomic environment, which remains challenging. The first quarter of 2024 began with terminal interest rates expectations nearing 9% per year, controlled inflation and appreciating real and a managed fiscal situation. However, as the quarter progressed, we saw interest rates adjust to 10%, a slightly depreciation of the real and an ongoing fiscal challenge. In terms of market activity, the appetite for equities has continued the trend from previous quarters with slightly lower turnover while attention remains focused on fixed income. Despite competing with tax-exempt credit notes, our competitive portfolio continues to grow benefiting from our complete ecosystem. For instance, during the quarter, our corporate credit book saw gains from narrowing credit spreads and our debt capital markets flow remain strong for a first quarter. On the flip side, we can say that we prepared ourselves to another tough year both in terms of expenses and also in what we would expect in terms of revenues. So recent worsening in market conditions didn't change much our overall expectations for the year. Turning now to our financial performance. Despite the challenging macroeconomic scenario, we achieved a 28% year-over-year growth in top line and a 29% growth in bottom line. Our EBITDA margin expanded by approximately 81 basis points. This quarter was also marked by a strong focus on efficiency and cost discipline across all operations as presented by an efficiency ratio of 36.5%, which is 384 basis points lower year-over-year. Our diluted earnings per share increased by 25% year-over-year, reaching BRL1.85 per share. Lastly, I would like to highlight our return on tangible equity, which we consider a more accurate measure for running our business. It stood at 25.4% marked an increase of 491 basis points year-over-year. Moving on to the next slide. Let me provide an update on our strategy tracker for 2024 following up on our discussions on Investor Day last December. Firstly, regarding our leadership in retained investments, we are pleased to announce the appointment of Cesar Chicayban as the new CEO of our Private Banking division. This division has seen relevant enhancements in process product offerings and service levels. With Cesar, we are confident in our path toward establishing ourselves as one of the top private banks in Brazil. Also, we have once again been recognized by Folha de Sao Paulo as the best adviser platform in the country, a testament to our commitment to excellence in client service. Our vision is clear. We aim to dominate the investment industry in Brazil, a big but achievable goal. I will dive deeper into the specifics of this strategic pillar in the next slides. Last quarter, we introduced our financial planning tool for advisers, marking an important milestone in how we serve our clients. This tool represents the third wave of differentiation for XP, following our open architecture platform for third-party products and our extensive distribution network. Moving on to our retail cross-sell strategy, particularly in banking, we are proud to be ranked second, in the Estadão ranking of the best banking service for 2024. Our digital account, though relatively new has a red game recognition. This rapid recognition is incredible gratifying. Beyond investments, our new virtual segments have grown to represent a larger share of our total gross revenue, almost 13% in the first quarter of 2024, enhancing the resilience of our business model. In the corporate and SMB our unique position in wholesale banking continues to strengthen. This quarter, our role in structuring and distributing corporate credit has been once again prominent, underscoring our competitive advantage proved sophisticated retail investor clients and a large distribution channel. Our corporate and SME revenue was 5% of total revenue. Lastly, on the top of quality and strategic execution, we have launched a financial planning tool for all our advisers and with rapid adoption with over 2,500 active advisers in the platform within only two weeks of the launch. We have also centralized the Chief Investment Officer role with Artur Wichmann to provide consistent allocation costs across all client and risk profiles, which have been recently reviewed. This launch coincides with open investment initiatives, which we see as a good opportunity for us. As I have previously mentioned, the next phase of XP's growth will be driven by our ability to provide higher quality experience for our clients throughout their financial journeys. Our ongoing enhancements to the solutions we offer are designed to empower our advisers to deliver its market and more precise investment advice by optimizing clients' portfolios to align closely with individual goals we are raising the bar for what it means to engage in high-quality financial planning. We are committed to democratizing access to premium service broadening our perspective to proactively meet clients' objectives and offer a complete and created set of investment alternatives. These efforts are designed to not only meet but exceed client expectations. This new approach to a location resource presents great opportunities for revenue generation and increasing lifetime value. It's simplifying how our emphasis on quality translates into tangible benefits for both our clients and our business. This strategy distinguishes us further from incumbent banks and strengthens our position for continued leadership in the coming years. This quarter, we have introduced new features that integrate our financial planning platform with open investment regulations, creating a positive feedback loop. With our financial planning tools and servicing incentives, clients are encouraged to share their data, enabling us to provide even better service. With client permission, we gain visibility into their entire financial portfolio across XP and other platforms. We have already begun training our advisers on these new capabilities and we expect to complete training across our entire adviser base in the coming quarters. Granting XP access to their full financial portfolio is a straightforward process for clients. allowing us to present an integrated and comprehensive view of their investment options. By leveraging our modern financial planning platform, already a differentiator in the market, we provide advisers with tools to offer holistic advice and compare investment opportunities, both within XP and across competitors. I want to highlight this as an important differentiator that sets us apart in the market. Currently, we are not aware of any other player implementing a strategy similar to ours on the same scale. This initiative represents a big step forward for XP marking what we like to call the third wave of differentiation. This follows our development of the open architecture product platform and the establishment of a more sophisticated and complete distribution channel to our network of IFAs. These innovations and the score our commitment to be staying ahead in the industry and continuously improving the value we offer to our clients. Now, I will hand it over to Bruno so he can discuss this quarter financials. Thank you.
Bruno Constantino: Thanks, Maffra. Good evening, everyone. It's a pleasure to be here with you again. Moving on to next slide. Starting with our core operating KPIs, all three main KPIs for investments or core hit record numbers as of first quarter '24, signaling, we are on the right path towards our goal to be dominant in investments. One, total client assets at $1.141 trillion, a 20% growth year-over-year; two, total active clients at 4,587,000, a 16% growth year-over-year; and three, total advisers at 17,700, a 16% growth year-over-year. Total adviser’s number on the right includes our IFAs or B2B, as we call it, already disclosed in our previously quarters, added by internal advisers, our B2C and RIAs, registered investment advisers, which includes consultants and wealth managers, among others. We decided to disclose these numbers starting in 2024 because of the growth of other channels beyond IFAs. We believe this number better represents our total distribution capability. As you know, the investment advisory profession in Brazil has evolved with XP leading this movement and different channels to serve the client have appeared and presented relevant growth in recent years. From now on, we are going to present the total number of advisers, including all channels. On the left, we can see that total net new money, another important KPI stood at BRL15 billion in first quarter '24, with retail net new money is slightly better quarter-over-quarter, moving from plus BRL12 billion in fourth quarter '23 to plus BRL13 billion in first quarter '24. While lower than its potential, especially considering the actual size of our ecosystem, we believe retail net new money will improve down the road as we keep growing our total advisers, improve the client experience with a powerful financial planning to, as Maffra already mentioned, invest in our private banking segment also already mentioned and expect less tax-exempt credit notes from the incumbent banks due to change in regulation. Of course, there is a macro component which impacts net new money and resilient inflation, coupled with still high interest rates, don't help. But we see a positive trend going forward considering we are moving towards a better cycle for investments, even acknowledging the pace is probably going to be slower than initially thought. Moving on to the next slide, we are going to take a closer look at our gross revenue. Total gross revenue grew 28% year-over-year, helped by the diversification of our ecosystem, a strong DCM activity and easy comp with first quarter '23 when we had a dysfunctional market due to corporate credit problems in Brazil. On the right-hand side of the slide, where we can see our gross revenue breakdown. The main highlight is the continued relevance of corporate and issuer services at 12% of total revenue. and retail is still representing the majority of our total revenue at 73%. A strong performance from capital markets is reflected in both retails especially in fixed income and corporate and Issuer Services. Let's move to the next slide, which focus on retail new verticals. New verticals continued to deliver strong growth year-over-year. In first quarter '24, new verticals revenue stood at BRL493 million, a 35% growth year-over-year. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, new verticals revenue remained almost flat, mainly due to the seasonality of cards in Q4, the main contributor to new verticals revenue. It is worth remembering this number only includes retirement plans, cards, insurance and credit to be consistent with our previous disclosure. If we add digital accounts, international platform and FX, all of them included in other retail revenue, we would have approximately an additional BRL100 million in revenue in the first quarter. The main highlight here is that the evolution of new verticals underscores our efforts to make the Company less cyclical and more importantly, enhance the investor experience at XP. Moving on to the next slide, we will talk about our Institutional incorporate and Issuer Services revenue. Starting with institutional revenue displayed on the left-hand side of the slide, we had a BRL354 million revenue in first quarter '24, a 7% growth year-over-year and 14% decrease quarter-over-quarter, mainly impacted by lower market activity by institutional clients in Brazil sequentially. Now turning to the right-hand side of the slide, Corporate and Issuer Services revenue reached BRL509 million in the first quarter '24, a strong growth of 91% year-over-year and flat quarter-over-quarter. In the last three quarters, sequentially, Corporate and Issuer Services presented revenue north of BRL500 million, reinforcing our strategy to diversify our revenue stream through our wholesale bank and also demonstrating XP is well positioned to continue benefiting from DCM activity in Brazil. Now let's move on to the next slide where we will explore our SG&A and efficiency ratios. As stated in previous quarters, cost discipline is a priority at XP. SG&A ex-incentives reached BRL1.416 billion in first quarter '24 a growth of 36% year-over-year and a decrease of 9% quarter-over-quarter. The growth year-over-year is mainly explained by two facts: one, tough comp with first quarter '23 when we had very low share-based compensation due to the layoffs implemented in that period; and two, we didn't have Modal SG&A in first quarter '23. The decrease quarter-over-quarter can be explained by: one, our continuous focus in efficiency; and two, seasonality of some expenses like marketing and expert event, for example. The bottom line, as you can see on the graph in the right, is that our efficiency ratios continue to be close to its lowest levels since IPO with comp ratio at 25.2% and efficiency ratio at 36.5%. This stability in our expenses ratios underscores the positive operating leverage of our business. which should benefit our EBIT in the next years to come. Moving on to EBIT. Thanks to the operating leverage and efficiency ratios we have achieved a record EBIT number for our first quarter at BRL1.088 billion, a 33% improvement year-over-year and a 9% improvement quarter-over-quarter. This brings our pretax profit margin to 26.9%, 81 bps growth year-over-year and 226 bps growth quarter-over-quarter. Looking ahead, as per our midterm public guidance, we aim to reach a pretax profit margin between 30% and 34% by the end of 2026. This goal underscores our commitment to progressively moving towards these levels. While we may see some volatility on a quarterly basis as we saw in fourth quarter '23, for example, it's important to focus on our annual performance or on a last 12-month basis, which we believe better incorporates the seasonality aspects of our business. To get there, we expect to see better results at our core in the years to come, benefiting from its operating leverage. And until then, we will keep doing our homework to keep costs under control and enhance the experience and quality of service to our clients. Moving on to our net income. We see similar improvement to what we have discussed with EBT Net income reached BRL1.30 billion in first quarter 24, also a historical record for first quarter numbers. representing a 29% growth year-over-year and almost flat quarter-over-quarter. And net margin stayed at healthy levels in first quarter '24 at 25.4%. Finally, our return on tangible equity. We kept our annualized return on tangible equity in similar levels of the fourth quarter '23 at 25.4%. This consistency underscores the returns we are able to generate on our tangible equity independently of the macro environment, demonstrating the evolution of our ecosystem and business model. We continue to be diligent about how to allocate capital. Every year, we analyze our capital needs, liquid it, decide how much of our excess capital we are going to return to shareholders. This is usually done in the second semester of the year when we also have our budget for the next year. As a company that is profitable, generates cash, is under leverage and has excess capital it is reasonable to assume a distribution of capital to shareholders at some point in the second semester of this year. And before I hand the call back to Maffra for his final remarks, I want to touch on our CFO transition as well as the important change that we have implemented from a corporate governance perspective. First, this will be my last earnings call as CFO as I transition to a Board member role. I'm excited that Victor Mansur will become CFO effective August 1. He's a long-term partner of XP, has joined the firm at the same year I did 2012. He's already a member of our Executive Committee and has worked together with me in the finance team since 2022 as Deputy CFO. He's the natural successor with his strong capabilities and experience to lead the finance organization. I have no doubt in my mind that I'm leaving the role in great hands. On behalf of the Board, I'm also pleased with the recently announced change we have made to our corporate governance structure. Following the upcoming annual meeting, we will have a majority independent Board of Directors, in line with best-in-class corporate governance practice. We are thrilled to add four new independent directors that bring critical skill sets to the Board, especially in risk management, banking and credit as we continue to diversify and grow our business in a dynamic financial landscape. We have also formed two new committees; one, risk credit and ESG committee; and two, Strategy and Performance Committee that we will strengthen board oversight in areas that are important to the next chapter of growth for XP. With that said, I will now turn it over to Maffra for his final remarks. Thank you very much.
Thiago Maffra: Before I go to my final remarks, I want to take a moment to thank Bruno for his outstanding service as a CFO. We are profoundly grateful for his dedication and contributions. Bruno, we look forward to your continued contributions on the Board of Directors and wish you all the best in this new role. So, to wrap things up, we have had a strong quarter, especially considering seasonality. We have kept our expense under control and we are confident in our ability to manage the Company effectively throughout the year. This disciplined approach positions us well to capitalize on any improvements in the market conditions whenever they arise. Additionally, the integration of open investments as a catalyst in our financial planning tool is something we are particularly optimistic about creating an opportunity to make our clients' financial lives better, enhancing overall service quality, the third wave of differentiation for XP. Now let's proceed to the Q&A session.
Operator: And the first one is from Thiago Batista, UBS. Thiago, now you can make your question.
Thiago Batista: My first question, Maffra, you mentioned several times about this tough macro scenario that we have right now. What are, in your view, the main alternatives that XP has to post a higher EPS in the case of no improvement in the macro scenario that seems more likely now than a couple of months ago? And also, second one about the net new money, the total net new money of BRL14 billion, BRL15 billion in this quarter or BRL13 million for the retail only, it's probably one of the lowest ever or at least lowest in the last years. Bruno's speech was a bit more positive with the outlook of the net new money. So can you give to us an idea of the evolution of the net new money in the last couple of months, not necessarily with the numbers, but only if the trends, wanted to see this sense of possible improvement in this net new money? And finally, Bruno, thanks a lot for the partnership in the last couple of years.
Thiago Maffra: Thank you, Tiago. And Bruno will continue with us forever here. So, I'll be here. So, about your first question, EPS. As we have been talking about our strategy and how we think about the Company for the future, the growth I'd like to think on the three pillars that we have been talking, investments, cross-sell and wholesale banking, okay? So, these are the three pillars. And of course, investments, it's -- we have been growing but at a very slow pace compared to the past because of the macro environment, and we have been growing more on cross-sell and the wholesale part, okay? So that's how we have been managing to keep growing, of course, at the lower levels that we have been growing 2020, 2021, but we have been growing despite the macro environment. It's because we have been investing in these new verticals on the wholesale part and diversifying the business. And besides that, we have been controlling costs. So, what we have planned for 2024, internally, of course, not the market math for expectations is despite any macro improvement, okay? So, we have prepared the Company for 2024, expecting another very tough year as we had in the past two years, okay? So -- but at some point, for sure, we will have a better market. We will have operational leverage. But for sure, on the first pillar, investments will grow at a slower pace if the macro doesn't change, okay? But we have been investing in new verticals, and we believe we can deliver a good growth, not a spectacular growth despite the macro environment improving or not, okay? So that's my view. And about net new money Yes, I believe that the worst is behind us. But as you mentioned, we are about like what Bruno said, we are more optimist today than we were like a year ago or two years ago, I believe the worst is behind, but it will take some time to recover to levels that we have been seeing again in 2020, 2021. I mentioned a lot about what we have been doing here, diversifying channels, what the wealth managers, the internal advisors and so on to keep growing. We have been investing a lot on financial planning on delivering another level of services to our clients. So, we have been investing a lot in what we call the third wave of differentiation because we believe that will pay off, okay? So -- and that's the way we believe we will recover net new money, okay? And we already see that in some of our numbers. And again, we also see some improvement from the change on the tax-exempt notes, okay? So that's our view.
Operator: Next question is from Jorge Kuri, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS). Jorge, you can make your question.
Jorge Kuri: Hi, everyone. Thanks for the call and all the best of luck, Bruno, in your new role at XP, and thank you for all of your insights these years. I wanted to ask something. I wanted to ask about the tax rate. Given the change in the macro landscape that you described before and how that maybe changes the type of business and profit centers that you're going to be booking versus the environment that we thought was going to play out earlier this year. How does -- can you help us understand how of that affect your effective tax rate or not? If more of the business is going to come from the excess capital rather than the capital deployment locally because it's a slower business environment, does that benefit your tax rate? Anything that you can help us get our arms around how does that look over the next two if indeed, we have sort of like a sluggish equities environment with Selic rates at -- stock at 10% for the next 18 months, which seems to be the consensus view to date. Thank you.
Bruno Constantino: Yes. Sure. Thank you, Jorge. Regarding the tax rate, we saw a higher tax rate -- effective tax rate if we come back with the tax withholdings that we have in funds. It was 18% this quarter, for example, compared to 11% in fourth quarter '23 and 17% in first quarter last year. So, if there is more -- and it depends a lot on the mix of the revenue, right? So, it's hard to forecast the tax rate because we do not know what the mix is going to be. It depends part on the macro, capital market activity and so forth. But I would say in the next two years, if we continue with an environment like the one, we are living right now, the first quarter '24 is a good guess. So that's -- but it's a hard forecast, honestly.
Operator: Your next question is from Renato Meloni, Autonomous Research. Renato, you can make your question.
Renato Meloni: So mine is on the equity take rate. I wonder if you can give us some more clarity here on the decline this quarter. Was this a mix shift? Or maybe the competitive environment is a bit tougher and you're seeing some declines here in fees? And then some expectation on the trends in the equity take rate if the scenario continues the same.
Bruno Constantino: The take rate, the take rate is -- it was a marginal decrease, right, a few basis points, and that's normal because again, it's a function of total client assets in the denominator and revenues in the numerator. So, there is a little bit of mix, but it's been in the range that we believe is normal in the past years or quarters, if you look at it.
Thiago Maffra: I’ve just got the answer here. There was no change in price, okay? So, because you mentioned if we had any price pressure, there was no change in any price okay.
Renato Meloni: Okay. So, you expect stable equity take rates for the rest of the year in this scenario?
Bruno Constantino: Yes, equity take rates. Remember that in the equity bucket, in retail. We have not only brokerage futures, but we also have, for example, listed funds. So, depending on if we have a quarter with a lot of the listed funds doing follow-ons or even IPOs, then the take rate could go up. If we don't, it can be less favorable compared to quarters where we have that kind of activity. There is also structured notes and structured finance there in that bucket as well. So again, it's more about the mix than in turnover, mix and the turnover of the equities. You saw that the debt year-over-year has decreased. So, the activity in capital markets in the velocity turnover, whenever it's weak, then it's a negative impact. Everything else equal, a negative impact in the equity take rate. If turnover picks up, it's a positive impact in take rate.
Operator: Next question is from Antonio Huet, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC). Antonio, you can make your question.
Antonio Huet: So, I would like to follow up on Thiago's question on clients. So, if you could explore a little bit more on how to serve this client because my question comes from the decline in NPS. So, we continue to see on top of inflows, we see weak client additions and declining EPS. So, what does it reflect in your opinion? And also, would you say that going forward, your revenue expansion tends to come from outside or inside? Do you still have market share gains? Or should it come much more from the monetization of your own clients and how have you seen outflows in this scenario okay? So, this is my first question. And also, if you could explore a little bit the performance of the IFA commissions in this quarter.
Thiago Maffra: Okay. I will take the first question about the NPS. The decline was one point. So, it's probably not even like a strategical relevant, okay. But yes, at a very high level. So, we don't see any relevant decline on NPS. And so, I don't see any problem here. And we should as we have been investing a lot on quality, increasing the level of service to our customers, the tools, financial planning and so on. We expect to see in the medium term an increase on NPS, okay? So about how we expect to make money if it's internally or externally, it's both of them. When we talk about the first pillar, it's investments, it's, again, about gaining market share, but also if we have a market recover here, we will increase revenues. So, there are like two main catalysts here. We kept growing market share in the past years despite the macro environment, and we'll keep growing, okay? And also, as Bruno mentioned, if we have a recovery, we will see people moving from low fees products to more risk on products. So, we should see an increase on take rate, okay? So that's how we're growing investments. And then we have the cross-sell part. That's basically how we cross-sell products, okay? Now we have dozens of products here that we can sell to our investor clients, okay? So basically, what we have been reporting on the new verticals of course, we have some other products that are not included on the new verticals, but we have been talking about them explicitly. And so, we should increase the ARPU in the next quarters, okay? So, both internally and externally, market share plus cross-sell.
Bruno Constantino: Regarding your second question about the commission costs, it's in expected, I would say number considering a percentage of net revenue, for example. So, we have oscillations among quarters, but it's nothing relevant. If you take the first quarter '23, for example, our total commission costs represented 23% of net revenue. If you look at last quarter, fourth quarter '23, it represented 20% of net revenue in this quarter, 21%. So, it's inside a natural band. And what explains that fluctuation is one thing, mix. So, it depends on the mix. we can have higher percentage of net revenue or lower percentage of net revenue.
Operator: Next question is from Neha Agarwala from HSBC (LON:HSBA). Neha, you can make your question.
Neha Agarwala: Just quickly on the open finance initiative that you mentioned with the open investments, you seem to be trying to persuade that with your client base how much traction you have received in that? And you mentioned that you don't see most of the competitors making utilizing that. But once they do, do you see that as a hindrance for your platform is discussing a bit more the dynamics from open investments? And second question is on costs. Like you continue to maintain cost discipline, but are there any more levers for pulling down the cost-to-income ratio? Or are we kind of done here, and this is the level that we should continue, we should expect going forward?
Bruno Constantino: You broke up, sorry, Neha. So, the first question is about the financial planning.
Neha Agarwala: Open investments, yes. The impact of that and how the competition is behaving. And the second one is on the costs. Do you have any other cost lever? Or should we expect this kind of cost to revenue ratio kind of continue going forward?
Thiago Maffra: Yes, about open investment, we just released the two RIFs internal advisers and clients. So, it's at a very early stage. But the beauty for us is what we have been doing when we talk about financial planning is we have replicated the level of service that only high and ultra-high clients usually have a private banking to all our clients, okay? So, we have created -- and we have been developing this system for the past year. We just released financial planning system and open investments together. So, the beauty here is you have a completely different conversation with your clients because it's not you're trying to sell a product or only trying to sell a product or a portfolio, but you are selling a service, okay? So, you really understand their needs, their goals, their lifetime, their objectives and so on, and then you help them to get there, okay? So it's a much broader conversation and where open investments get here because once they give, they allow us to go to the banks and get all the information we see all the portfolio, okay? So, we have been doing that for, I would say, two to three weeks now. And the results they are quite impressive, okay, the level of conversation and engagement with the clients. But it's too soon to give a number or any stream achieve about users or something. But we are very optimistic about the tools and especially with the new services that we are providing to our clients.
Neha Agarwala: And the service, if I can follow up, the service is on digital, and there's no extra expenditure that you have to make to provide this better-quality service. And do you still think that your service is much superior than the incumbents or have the incumbents kind of closed the gap in terms of service level that you provide?
Thiago Maffra: I'd like to say that we have three waves of differentiation here at XP. The first one back in 2010, was product the first open platform. The second one that we still have a huge differentiation is distribution. We have a much bigger sales force dedicated to investments, better trained, 100% focused on investments, okay? So, we still have a big differentiation here, but we are working on the third wave of differentiation that's not selling products, but selling a completely different service, okay? I would say that the banks there, the incumbent banks, they are trying to replicate the first two waves. Of course, they open the platform, okay? But they still sell 80%, 85% of their own products on the client's portfolio, okay? And they are trying to replicate the distribution, training people and creating specialize people on investments. But again, I believe we are already opening the gap again on the third wave of differentiation here. We have been training about the costs that you mentioned. The cost here is we have to train or retrain all the IFA network, the internal advisers. We have invested a lot in technology because it's a scaled business here. So of course, it's very easy to do that. A very good job on financial planning when you're working with only high net worth individuals, but when you do that for 5 million clients, it's not so easy. So, we have been training a lot of people. We have developed tools, technology. And again, what we call financial planning, plus open investments, for example. We just centralized the CIO figure on Artur Wichmann. We recreate all the segments in the Company and Artur is giving all the allocation calls to all the segments and these financial planning tools they give the correct allocation, they rebalance the portfolios and so on, okay? So, it's a completely different services from what you can get on the incumbent banks. Again, if you are a high-net-worth client, for sure, you have the service in any bank, okay? But if you have -- if you are affluent or if you have only a few thousand -- you don't have this service, okay, in other place than XP.
Bruno Constantino: Here, Neha is to do what Maffra explained at scale. That's the main challenge. We just released in this quarter, our total number of advisers, more than 17,000 advisers talking about investments, which is a complex topic, especially if you are going into financial planning and make that at scale with the quality and service that we want to achieve, that's the challenge, but we believe we have all the tools to make it happen. And your second question, it was about the cost. Yes, we -- look, last year, we mentioned that for this year, you should look more at the second semester SG&A being the first semester, mainly because of Modal. We didn't have Modal in the first semester. We had it in the second semester. Now everything is integrated. It's only XP now. And the level of SG&A that you saw in the first quarter, of course, there will be volatility among quarters. But when we look throughout the year, our expectation is to keep costs under control, as Maffra mentioned in his speech. In this slide during the presentation. I also mentioned just that we have some seasonality, which is how our company works. So, for example, we will have expert events in the third quarter. We will have higher marketing expenses throughout the year compared to the first quarter because there is seasonality there. But overall, the efficiency ratio should be close to the lowest levels going forward as well.
Operator: Next question is from [indiscernible] JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM). You can make your question.
Unidentified Analyst: Two questions on our side. The first one is related to net asset value. I think you guys departed from BRL9.9 billion in the fourth quarter, you printed BRL1 billion profit. So, it was supposed to go up to BRL10.9 million. But I see this number actually declined to BRL9.4 billion in NAV this quarter. So, it's a BRL1.6 billion gap. We were taking a look here on the notes. I know that we spent something close to BRL700 million in IFA, probably the brokerage of select IFAs, but still close to BRL1 billion missing here in that NAV being burned. Just want to understand the breach. What has actually drove this declining NAV. And then the second question is related to energy. You published here an adjustment on the financial assets that is related to energy has been growing a lot quarter-over-quarter, BRL3.6 billion to be precise. Just want to make sure I understand what exactly you mean by energy assets? If you can explain just what you booked there and what the BRL3.6 billion means in the context of the energy trading business.
Bruno Constantino: Yes, sure. I can take those two questions. So, the NAV, it's basically -- first remember that there is part of this variation that is explained by seasonality, especially in the first quarter, third quarter as well, but most in the first quarter because of tax and bonuses payments. So, tax and bonuses payments in the first quarter '24 net presented almost close to BRL800 million deduction of the NAV, right? So that, coupled with the close to BRL700 million that you highlighted in investments that we made that had a cash disbursement. The investments were made at the end of last year, but the cash disbursement happened in the first quarter this year. That's from the NAV as well because you change the lines, right? So, it's not a financial asset anymore, it becomes an investment. So those 3 components altogether, Glen, the investments, tax and bonuses, they are close to BRL1.5 billion in this quarter, so mainly explains the variation that you asked for. Regarding the energy, it's basically energy prepayment. We have energy desk in XP. Most of the -- so it's a loan book that is not in the law in operations, right, because it's a merchant. It's not a financial asset, the way it's considered by accounting standards. But it's a loan book. It's basically prepayment against AAA corporate clients that we have and resell, yes. So that's basically it.
Operator: Our next question is from Tito Labarta, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). Tito, You can make your question.
Tito Labarta: A couple of questions also. One, first on the midterm EBT margin of 30% to 34% how dependent was that on rates coming down in Brazil? Just kind of going back to when you gave that guidance, you're probably expecting lower rates. Does, potentially these higher rates for longer impact that guidance in any way? Would it lead be closer to the lower end of the guidance? Just to think about what kind of macro you were thinking about when you gave us the guidance. And then second question, just on the cards revenues, down a little bit in the quarter. I know there's some seasonality there, but it is the first quarter where you see a slight decline, is that a sign that you're beginning to mature in that vertical and growth going forward could be a bit closer to the industry? Just to think how we should take that seasonality and potential future growth in the required revenues?
Bruno Constantino: Yes. I can take the EBITDA margin here. Remember, in the Investor Day, we said we gave the guidance for 2026, and we said, it probably will not be a straight line. So, it's more like an exponential, right? So our embedded assumptions to give that guidance is that, as Maffra mentioned at the beginning of this Q&A, we expected another tough year in 2024. Maybe it's going to be, I don't know, a little bit worse than our expectation, a little bit better. But so far, it's on track with our plan. It's too early to tell. There is part of that operating leverage kicking in that should help the EBITDA margin. That's for sure. So, the 30% to 34% by 2026, if we continue until 2026 with the same macro environment we are as of today, it's going to be really tough to achieve. That's for sure. But we expect to have a different scenario, doesn't have to be a scenario where you have very low interest rates and the capital markets, equities booming, that's not embedded in our assumptions. It's just more normalized capital markets activity, having a little bit of IPOs, how many IPOs have we had last year? How many this year, zero, zero. So we are in an environment that we believe is not going to stay like that for the next a couple of years, right Tito. So, there is an assumption of better macro environment, but nothing really aggressive.
Thiago Maffra: Just to complement Bruno here. We are confident that we are going to deliver the year one, 2024, okay? So we are going according to the plan so far. And of course, we have a good visibility for the rest of the year. So, we are confident that we are going to deliver 2024, okay? And if you look at the numbers that we showed for -- on the Investor Day, especially when you look investments, the CAGR was 13%, okay? So, it was already a very low number, okay? Imagine that the interest rate is 10%, 9%, okay, for this period, okay? It's March 10 plus, if you look at the curve right now. So, it means that we have to gain some market share, okay, because the AUC will grow the Selic rate on average and we have to gain some market share. So, for me, the macro environment, if the -- of course, it's going to be harder than a good macro environment, but it doesn't change the plan. If you go to the other two pillars cross-sell and wholesale banking. Then we have 30% to 30 high percent, okay, 30% to 35%, 37% CAGR and we are delivering. So, we are confident. Going to your point about cards, as you mentioned, you have a big seasonality on the first quarter every year, okay? And I would say that probably we are not growing at the same base that we have been growing in the past years for sure. But if you look at the penetration that we have, we have million cards, okay? And we have 5 million customers, okay, rounding the number here. So, we still have a lot of clients to penetrate, of course, different risk profiles. But when you compare to open season, to the market, we have very good 5 million clients. So, at the right point, at the right time, we are going like to penetrate these clients, but -- so we still have a very good pool inside the house here like to penetrate card. So, it's not the end of the growth, but we will grow at a lower pace than at the very beginning, okay?
Operator: Thank you, Maffra. Thank you, Bruno. Our Q&A session came to an end. If you have any further questions, there are teams available. Thank you so much for attending our earnings call. is evening and we see all of you or we talk to you in the next one. Thank you.
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