PROCEPT BioRobotics (NASDAQ: PRCT) reported a significant revenue increase for the third quarter of 2024, with total revenue reaching $58.4 million, marking a 66% year-over-year growth. The company's financial performance was bolstered by strong demand for its robotic systems, particularly in the U.S. where the installed base grew by 64%. The launch of the HYDROS Robotic System contributed to this success, despite initial challenges. PROCEPT also announced a new clinical trial for Aquablation therapy and reported an improvement in net losses, indicating strategic growth and a clear path to profitability.
Key Takeaways
- PROCEPT BioRobotics reported a 66% increase in total revenue for Q3 2024, reaching $58.4 million.
- U.S. revenue accounted for $52.2 million, a 62% increase, with the HYDROS Robotic System contributing to 80% of new sales.
- International revenue grew by 86%, with significant sales in the U.K.
- The company's gross margins reached a record high of 63.2%.
- Net loss improved to $21 million from $24.6 million the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA loss also improving.
- PROCEPT expects full-year 2024 revenue to be between $222.5 million and $223 million, with gross margins around 61%.
Company Outlook
- Full-year 2024 revenue is projected to grow by approximately 63% to 64%.
- The company anticipates selling around 186 robotic systems by the end of 2024.
- International revenue is expected to see an 88% increase, reaching $22.4 million.
- Operating expenses are projected to rise by 29%, totaling $231.5 million.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss for the full year is expected to be around $60 million.
Bearish Highlights
- Utilization per account has declined year-over-year.
- Saline shortages and hurricane disruptions have impacted procedure volumes, leading to some cancellations.
Bullish Highlights
- The HYDROS system has been well-received, with most launches scheduled for late 2024.
- The company is optimistic about expanding treatment options for prostate cancer and expects to grow the ASC channel pilot program in 2025.
- Positive reimbursement dynamics with Medicare and private payers like Humana (NYSE:HUM) and Cigna (NYSE:CI) support growth.
Misses
- Sales representatives' training for the HYDROS system will temporarily impact procedure volumes in Q4.
- Some procedures were sacrificed for a careful rollout of the HYDROS platform.
Q&A Highlights
- Kevin Waters (NYSE:WAT) discussed the fourth-quarter ASP guidance and the cost impact of the HYDROS rollout, expressing confidence in future cost competitiveness and margin improvements.
- Reza Zadno emphasized the company's focus on generating Level 1 data to support guideline inclusion and market expansion.
PROCEPT BioRobotics continues to execute its growth strategy successfully, with the third quarter of 2024 showing strong financial performance and promising developments in its product offerings. The company remains focused on expanding its market presence in the treatment of prostate cancer and driving towards profitability in the upcoming fiscal year.
InvestingPro Insights
PROCEPT BioRobotics' impressive Q3 2024 performance aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's 66% year-over-year revenue growth to $58.4 million is consistent with InvestingPro data showing a robust revenue growth of 73.74% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This strong growth trajectory is further reflected in the stock's performance, with InvestingPro reporting a remarkable 163.59% price total return over the past year.
Despite the company's current unprofitability, as indicated by the negative operating income of $109.64 million in the last twelve months, PROCEPT's gross profit margin of 54.73% aligns with the reported record high gross margins of 63.2% in Q3. This suggests the company is effectively managing its costs while scaling operations.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that PROCEPT operates with a moderate level of debt and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. These factors provide financial flexibility as the company continues its growth phase and moves towards profitability. Additionally, the tip noting that PROCEPT is trading near its 52-week high (96.56% of the high) corroborates the bullish sentiment surrounding the stock following the strong quarterly results.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for PROCEPT BioRobotics, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.
Full transcript - Procept Biorobotics Corp (PRCT) Q3 2024:
Operator: Good morning and welcome to PROCEPT BioRobotics Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants’ are in a listen-only mode. We will be facilitating a question-and-answer session towards the end of today’s call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Matt Bacso, Vice President of Investor Relations, for a few introductory comments.
Matt Bacso: Good morning, and thank you for joining PROCEPT BioRobotics third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Presenting on today's call are Reza Zadno, Chief Executive Officer; and Kevin Waters, Chief Financial Officer. Also present is Sham Shiblaq, Chief Commercial Officer, who will participate in the Q&A session. Before we begin, I'd like to remind listeners that statements made on this conference call that relate to future plans, events, or performance are forward-looking statements as defined under Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. While these forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, these statements are subject to several risks and uncertainties, assumptions, and other factors that could cause results to differ materially from the expectations expressed on this conference call. These risks and uncertainties are disclosed in more detail in PROCEPT BioRobotics’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, all of which are available online at www.sec.gov. Listeners are cautioned not to place under reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today's date, October 28, 2024. Except as required by law, PROCEPT BioRobotics undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information, circumstances or unanticipated events that may arise. During the call, we will also reference certain financial measures that are not prepared in accordance with GAAP. More information about how we use these non-GAAP financial measures, as well as reconciliations of these measures to their nearest GAAP equivalent are included in our earnings release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Reza.
Reza Zadno: Good morning and thank you for joining us. For today's call, I will provide opening comments and a general business update followed by Sham, who will provide an overview of the HYDROS Robotic Systems commercial launch. Lastly, Kevin will provide additional detail regarding our financial performance and updated 2024 guidance. Starting with our quarterly revenue results. We are pleased to report another quarter of strong financial performance with total revenue for the third quarter of 2024 of $58.4 million, representing growth of 66%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. Growth in the quarter was driven by strong demand and higher average selling prices for our robotic system, increased utilization from our expanded U.S. installed base and record international revenues. We exited the third quarter of 2024 with a U.S. installed base of 445 systems, representing growth of 64%, compared to the prior year period. Additionally, we exceeded our utilization per account expectations for the quarter, despite substantial growth in our U.S. installed base and the temporary removal of sales representatives from the field as we began training our sales team on the hydro system. We knew following our HYDROS announcement that the third quarter was going to represent unique challenges for our company given we were launching a new robotic system midway through the quarter. But I am incredibly proud of the entire PROCEPT team for their collective efforts. During the third quarter, we successfully converted the capital pipeline, manufactured sufficient quantities of commercial product, reported record gross margins of 63.2%, began training our field-based teams, while mitigating downside pressure on procedures and effectively managed the market during this transition. As a result, we delivered a very strong quarter that reflects the team's dedication and steady commercial execution. Turning to international market development activities, we generated $6.2 million of international revenue in the third quarter of 2024, representing growth of 86%, compared to the prior year period. Growth in the third quarter was once again driven primarily by strong sales momentum in the United Kingdom. Our international pipeline continues to increase nicely, giving us further confidence as we enter 2025. With that, I will turn the call over to Sham to provide more detail on our HYDROS launch.
Sham Shiblaq: Thanks, Reza. First, I want to reiterate Reza's comments on the team's exceptional performance in a quarter that required flawless execution and dedication from every part of the organization. Turning to the HYDROS launch itself, once we received FDA clearance in mid-August, the capital sales team immediately shifted their focus to educating hospitals and surgeons on the benefits of the HYDROS system and converting the immediate AQUABEAM pipeline to HYDROS. Awareness and excitement around the launch spread quickly, which certainly played into our favor, allowing for a fairly smooth transition and resulted in an outstanding capital quarter. Initial feedback from customers is very encouraging. Aside from HYDROSs fully integrated and sleek design, surgeons were very impressed with the new First Assist AI feature. As a reminder, First Assist AI supports the surgeon in interpreting the live ultrasound image for key anatomical landmarks and suggest an optimal treatment plan for each patient. The addition of AI to our precise robotic assisted resection has the potential to enable all urologists to improve outcomes for their patients. This is very appealing to both surgeons and administrators. Other feedback we received, particularly from hospital support staff, is how improved the surgeon and staff experience is at every stage of the Aquablation Therapy procedure. Specifically with a single footprint and improved user interface, the integrated tower facilitates efficient operating room setup, procedural workflow, and operating room turnover. Additionally, hospital CFOs were happy to see that the new HYDROS handpiece utilizes a single-use digital scope that eliminates the need for scope reprocessing and further streamline setup, which saves time and money. With the third quarter and the initial launch phase behind us, we feel very good about the underlying trends we are seeing today, particularly around system average selling prices, customer demand, and high-dose user sentiment. Additionally, HYDROS has certainly energized the capital sales team, which has translated into a robust pipeline where we expect to sell a record number of new systems in the fourth quarter of 2024. Speaking briefly on utilization trends, as a reminder, we began sales team training sessions on the HYDROS System in September. We plan to continue training sessions throughout the fourth quarter, which will remove reps from their respective territories for a period of time. Given this dynamic, this will modestly impact volumes due to the reduced case coverage. As we communicated in mid-August, properly training our sales teams is critical to our commercial and procedural success as we transition into 2025. While pleased with the team's execution in the third quarter, we realize there is a much bigger opportunity ahead for both robot system sales and expanded utilization over time. As we enter the next phase of our commercial growth, I believe this launch will be a significant milestone in our journey driving widespread adoption and making a profound difference in the lives of our patients. With that, I will turn the call back over to Reza.
Reza Zadno: Thanks, Sham. Before I pass it over to Kevin, I want to discuss our recent announcement to initiate our new randomized clinical study for prostate cancer. On October 7, we announced that the FDA granted breakthrough device designation to investigate the use of Aquablation therapy for prostate cancer and approved a pivotal investigational device exemption clinical trial comparing Aquablation therapy to radical prostatectomy. Receiving breakthrough device designation is particularly exciting as it expedites the review process of technologies that the FDA considers innovative and that can improve the lives of people with life threatening or irreversibly debilitating diseases or conditions. The trial we will be enrolling known as the WATER IV PCa is a global multi-center prospective random clinical study assessing the safety and efficacy of Aquablation therapy compared to radical prostatectomy in men with grade Group 1 to 3 localized prostate cancer. The study will enroll up to 280 patients at up to 50 centers, most of which are in the United States. The FDA agreed to a six-month co-primary endpoint based on morbidity, specifically rates of incontinence and erectile dysfunction. Additionally, the FDA agreed to include a 12-month secondary efficacy endpoint measuring the rate of great group progression. Patients will be followed up to 10-years with annual secondary endpoint evaluation focusing on both the reduction in treatment related to harm and oncological events. WATER-IV PCa is a unique trial design that will focus on harm reduction when using Aquablation therapy as a first line treatment in comparison to radical prostatectomy. If successful, we believe Aquablation therapy has the potential to significantly alter the way urologists approach localized prostate cancer for millions of men. To-date, PROCEPT is the only company sponsored to ever receive an ID for a randomized clinical trial comparing a novel localized prostate cancer treatment to a standard of care. A significant opportunity exists to improve safety and quality of life outcomes for men needing treatment for prostate cancer, and we believe Aquablation therapy has the ability to become a first-line treatment for localized prostate cancer. Initiating a randomized trial against radical prostatectomy is the first big step in pursuing a prostate cancer-specific indication, which no other treatment has today. Lastly, we completed enrollment of PRCT002 in September and plan to share six months follow-up data in April 2025 at the American Urological Association Conference in Las Vegas. Furthermore, over the next 12 to 18 months, we will likely share more details regarding our broader prostate cancer commercial strategy. To conclude, my prepared remarks, multiple factors continue to trend positively, allowing us to execute our long-term strategic plan. In summary, the U.S. HYDROS launch is off to a great start and customers are thrilled with the improved features. Our pipeline and sales funnel continue to grow nicely at the average selling prices of hydro that are trending higher than our previous AQUABEAM system. Our international business continues to build momentum in the U.K. and Japan. Our commercial organization is the largest and most tenured in the company's history, which we believe will lead to increased productivity. We are the first company ever to receive ID approval from the FDA to enroll a randomized trial against the Radical Prostatectomy for prostate cancer. We view this as the first big step in pursuing a prostate cancer specific indication, which no other treatment has today. And lastly, we have continued to exceed our guidance around profitability metrics, primarily with the expansion of gross margins throughout 2024. We believe these underlying fundamentals reflect the technology that is laying the foundation to become the BPH Surgical Center of Care and a business that will be a leading global neurology company. And with that, I will turn the call over to Kevin.
Kevin Waters: Thanks, Reza. Total revenue for the third quarter of 2024 was $58.4 million, representing growth of 66%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. U.S. revenue for the quarter was $52.2 million, representing growth of 62%, compared to the prior year period. In the third quarter, we sold 45 robotic systems with blended average selling prices of approximately $432,000. Of these 45 systems, approximately 80% were HYDROS. Our HYDROS sales were primarily Greenfield accounts, although we did have a few sales included in the 45 systems that are second systems at existing accounts. Additionally, we recorded approximately $200,000 of incremental system revenue for a few AQUABEAM system sales executed in previous quarters that were exchanged for HYDROS in the third quarter. We do not view these as true replacements as this is a limited offering for customers who recently purchased our AQUABEAM system. To be clear, these exchange systems are not included in the reported number of 45 systems sold and thus did not impact the installed base. When accounting for all of these variables, we generated total U.S. system revenue of $19.6 million, representing system revenue growth of 46%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. U.S. handpiece and consumable revenue for the third quarter of 2024 was $29.6 million, representing growth of 74%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. Handpiece growth was driven by an increase in the installed base of robotic systems. Additionally, monthly utilization per account increased approximately 7%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. We shipped approximately 8,740 handpieces in the U.S in the third quarter, representing unit growth of 79%, compared to the third quarter of 2023. Third quarter average selling prices were approximately $3,200. We also recorded approximately $1.8 million of other consumable revenue in the third quarter of 2024. International revenue for the third quarter was $6.2 million, representing growth of approximately 121%. Gross margin for the third quarter of 2024 was 63.2%, representing an all-time high. Gross margin expansion in the third quarter was primarily due to strong execution from our operations team and significantly higher high-growth system average selling prices. It is important to note that following a full quarter of manufacturing our new HYDROS system, it is roughly 10% more costly than AQUABEAM today. Over time with scale, we expect material costs to come down. However, this headwind is being more than offset by increased average selling prices. Moving down the income statement, total operating expenses in the third quarter of 2024 were $59.3 million, compared to $44.5 million in the same period of the prior year, and $58.3 million in the second quarter of 2024. The year-over-year increase was driven primarily by increased sales and marketing expenses, mostly to expand the commercial organization and increase general and administrative expenses offset by lower sequential research and development expenses following the significant effort around HYDROS development in the second quarter of 2024. We are very pleased with the operating expense leverage we have demonstrated year-to-date. When comparing revenue growth to operating expense growth, revenues increased 69% in the first nine months of 2024 and 32% operating expense growth. Net loss was $21 million for the third quarter of 2024, compared to $24.6 million in the same period of the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $12.4 million, compared to a loss of $19.4 million in the third quarter of 2023. Our cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash balances as of September 30 were $200 million, and we reported a cash usage in the quarter of $17.3 million. Moving to our 2024 financial guidance. We now expect full-year 2024 total revenue to be in the range of $222.5 million to $223 million, representing growth of approximately 63% to 64%, compared to 2023. Starting with U.S. systems, we continue to expect to sell approximately 186 robotic systems in 2024, which is approximately 56 new systems in the fourth quarter. While pleased with the direction of new system pricing in the third quarter, we want to maintain pricing flexibility at this point in the HYDROS launch as we work through our fourth quarter pipeline. Thus, our updated guidance assumes new system pricing in the fourth quarter to be in the range of $420,000 to $430,000. Turning to U.S. handpieces, we expect to sell approximately 9,950 handpieces in the fourth quarter, which would equate to full-year handpieces of approximately $33,500, representing 80% unit growth, compared to 2023. We expect fourth quarter handpiece average selling prices comparable to the third quarter. We also expect other consumables revenue to be approximately $7.3 million for the full-year. Additionally, we now expect U.S. service revenue to be approximately $11 million for the full-year. Lastly, on international revenue, given another strong quarter and positive momentum in the United Kingdom, we now expect full-year international revenue to be approximately $22.4 million, representing annual growth of 88%. Moving down the income statement, we now expect full-year 2024 gross margins to be approximately 61%, an increase from our previously issued guidance of 59%. Turning to operating expenses, we continue to expect full-year 2024 operating expenses to be approximately $231.5 million, representing growth of 29%. Given current interest rates, we expect to generate net interest income of $5.5 million in 2024. Given the increase in revenue and gross margin along with our continued view on operating expenses, we now expect full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA loss to be approximately $60 million, which is an increase of almost $13 million from our initial guidance provided in February. At this point, I'd like to turn the call back to Reza for closing comments.
Reza Zadno: Thanks, Kevin. In closing, I want to thank our employees, customers, and shareholders for all their support to help us along our journey to becoming the standard-of-care for BPH. We will continue to leverage our commercial and clinical investments to execute on our long-term strategy. Have a great day and I look forward to seeing many of you at upcoming investor conferences. At this point, we will take questions. Operator?
Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Now, first question coming from the lineup, Craig Bijou with Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Securities. Your line is open.
Craig Bijou: Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking questions and congrats on another very strong quarter. I want to start with HYDROS and so it seems like HYDROS ASP, if you come back in the numbers, is somewhere around 450,000. And Kevin, I understand your comments on, you wanted to be, I guess, conservative now with the ASP to start, but how should we think about your ability to get price there? And then maybe if you just give a little bit more color on the customer reaction, the HYDROS, it sounds like it was pretty strong. But more specifically, did you see new customers either purchase or kind of get in the pipeline that may have been hesitant or reluctant before?
Reza Zadno: Hi Craig, thanks for the question. I'm going to give some general comments about HYDROS, the reaction has been extremely positive. Surgeons are excited about the AI assist, digital scope, the dual screen, the staff is excited about the ease of setup and faster setup, and of course the hospital saves time for sterilization. So overall the reaction has been fantastic. Sham, you want to add anything?
Sham Shiblaq: Yes, hi, good morning. I think that the immediate positive reaction by our customers showed in our results the ability for us to flip a pipeline in just over a month with many processes that are required from a hospital's perspective to purchase capital shows the excitement of our surgeons to drive administrators to make that happen. So we're very excited by the touch on the features. When you think about first assist AI, this is something that is not something that routinely gets approved nowadays in the surgical environment. And so we've been able to really, really capture a lot of excitement. The ease of use from the staff, the setup, the enter procedure, the take down, the efficiencies in the OR. We're just beginning to launch these programs and we're seeing immediate excitement from our surgeons.
Reza Zadno: And may, I'll just close the loop on your HYDROS ASP question, Craig. So we are very pleased with what we saw in the quarter given HYDROS ASPs, compared to previous AQUABEAM sales. Today, we're not going to comment specifically on kind of where we can see this number going, but we definitely feel good about the launch, we feel good about current ASPs. At the end of the day we want HYDROS in as many hands, customers' hands as possible and we just want to continue to maintain some flexibility there, which is why we provided that range in the fourth quarter, $420,000 to $430,000.
Craig Bijou: Got it, thanks guys. And I did want to ask on utilization and I think, and Kevin correct me if I'm wrong, but I think implied utilization in Q4 might be a step down year-over-year. I know you had a pretty strong quarter, but maybe if, you know, let me know if that's correct, but then if, you know, when you think about the impact or disruption to utilization during Q3, I don't know if you'd be willing to quantify that. And then if that would be higher or lower in Q4, just maybe a little bit more color on the impact that you're seeing and even if that bleeds into ‘25 at all? Thanks.
Kevin Waters: Yes, let me start with Q3 then I'll address Q4 and I'll hand it off to Sham at the end here to talk about some of those dynamics. So yes, I can't specifically dollarize what that impact was in the third quarter of taking reps out of the field. But what we will say is we moved throughout the quarter, we definitely saw a strong September in procedures, even with our reps coming out of the field. So it was definitely a headwind, but the procedure environment itself in September felt really strong for us. And as we head into the fourth quarter now transitioning, I'll first say that we do believe our 2024 results reflect a very strong underlying business that continues to gain share and momentum from all other resective procedures out there. But specifically your Q4 utilization is a fair one and it does suggest that year-over-year on a per account basis utilization would be down, which by the way was the same dynamic that has always been implied in our guidance that we have been providing for the full-year. But specifically we do expect reps to continue to be removed from the field with HYDROS for training in the fourth quarter. I'm going to have Sham talk a little bit about that at the end, and that is going to have an impact on procedures. Our guidance also, Craig, does allow for some of these macro factors that we're all hearing about, particularly some of the things we saw in October around the hurricane incident in the Southeast, we have obviously been somewhat impacted by the saline shortages, but all of those macro factors are considered in our Q4 guide as well. And maybe I'll turn it over to Sham to close here.
Sham Shiblaq: The one part I guess I'll just add a little bit on is the rep training, since we've talked about it in the past. So coming off of the HYDROS approval, as a PROCEPT team, we felt prepared, fully prepared to help our customers convert their purchases over to HYDROS, get them trained and ready to go. So we were already on our end. We just didn't have visibility to how quickly customers could complete the acquisition process and then how quickly surgeons and staff could get ready for the training aspect of it. So even though we did begin our training process in September with our field team. What we're going to see is the majority of these launches for HYDROS that were purchased in Q3 will now become November and December launches. So those rep trainings and the staff trainings and the surgeon trainings, you want to time those so that they're trained before the launch, not months before launch. So we'll see that begin to really start to pick up here in October and November as we're excited about those launches happening for the other quarter.
Craig Bijou: Great. Thanks, guys.
Operator: Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Brandon Vasquez with William Blair. Your line is open.
Brandon Vasquez: Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question and congrats on a nice quarter here. I'll just start with maybe keeping on the train of the last question here. I'll ask it slightly different, are you guys able to disclose at this point what percent of your sales reps have been trained already, so we can get a better understanding of how many reps are left to be trained as we go into Q4 and then piggybacking on that? Are you guys getting the sense that when a rep is pulled, you lose that procedure to another therapy or are they waiting for that rep to come back and perform that procedure with Aquablation?
Sham Shiblaq: Hey, Brandon. This is Sham, I'll take that question. So we're not going to comment on a specific percentage of reps, but I will tell you the vast majority of launches will happen in the fourth quarter. Many of them are now scheduled for November and December launches. So I think that you can kind of do the math on the impact of the salesforce coming out of the field. We have a very thorough process. We feel very good that what we're doing is the right thing for the business to ensure that we have great outcomes from day one with the HYDROS launch and that's going to help us long-term, have a great business and our patients will be happier and our surgeons will be happier as well. Regarding the loss of cases, I don't at any time believe we're losing cases by taking us out of the field? Are we delaying procedures? We are by having surgeons leave their practices to go get trained by having hospitals put procedures on further in the quarter. So we don't believe we're losing cases. We're just delaying them to make sure we have a proper launch and great outcomes.
Brandon Vasquez: Okay. And maybe going a little higher level in terms of you guys made comments about placing some additional second unit systems this quarter. I know this is not something that you guys had really contemplated in your original analysis of the market opportunity or the TAM. So can you guys just talk a little bit about where, what is it that's kind of driving these second unit systems? Any updates you can give us on the number of accounts with second units and what that might mean for kind of your long-term opportunity here? Thank you.
Sham Shiblaq: Yes, so I'll take the near-term and long-term here, Brandon. So specific to our Q4 guidance and what it implies, so the 56 units that we're guiding to in the fourth quarter, those are primarily green fields. We may have, think of less than a handful of second systems, but we still believe the biggest driver of our business today is greenfield opportunities. Although we did see in the third quarter some key KOLs that bought a second system and therefore they've kept our AQUABEAM system and they also bought a HYDROS system. So that's the near-term. When we look longer term, when we think of a replacement cycle, we definitely see that the demand is there. But as we communicated in mid-August, our primary strategy for the remainder of ‘24 is to sell HYDROS systems to new accounts. It's what we're focused on. It's how the sales force is compensated. And we believe we’re -- still have a huge market to penetrate on Greenfield. So only a few months in, it's too early to talk really about a replacement cycle, but this will probably come in connection with our 2025 guidance on our next call.
Operator: Thank you. And our Next question coming from the line of Richard Newitter with Truist Securities. Your line is open.
Richard Newitter: Excuse me. Hi, thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the quarter. Maybe just on the replacement and trade-in aspect here, Kevin, what was the cutoff for trade-in for the third quarter, the [Indiscernible], or how many did you say there were that had purchased recently enough that you allowed them to swap out? Was there any true up kind of associated with that and what's the ballpark? And then how should we think about your strategy and/or cutoff thresholds for timing of purchases like if you made a purchase in the last 12-months on a rolling basis, are they eligible potentially for some sort of deal, because they were recent enough in their last purchase? So that's our first question and I'll have a follow-up, thanks.
Reza Zadno: Yes, so and it's important to note, there is a difference between these exchanges that I've brought for today and a true replacement cycle. So in connection with our launch, we always were aware of customers that had recently purchased AQUABEAM, think in the last two quarters, where perhaps the system hadn't even been installed yet, the account hadn't been launched, so therefore we were always allowing for and had a program in place to address those as exchanges as opposed to or compare those to replacements. And those are the few that I mentioned in my script that contributed a nominal amount of revenue was a couple hundred thousand dollars and that, that could persist into the fourth quarter, but I wouldn't view that as a material aspect of how we're thinking about the HYDROS launch now that we've kind of gotten past those initial accounts. And we then get into ‘25 Rich where we do expect to initiate more of a replacement cycle. Again, we're not going to provide a lot of color around that here today, but that will have an impact on overall ASPs. But with that said, as we communicated mid-August, we have many accounts that purchased AQUABEAM three, four, five years ago that we think are going to be right for replacement. And frankly, the ASPs of those shouldn't be terribly different than a Greenfield system.
Sham Shiblaq: Rich, one thing I'll add to this is, we have such a massive opportunity that remains with Greenfield hospitals. We're talking about 1,000s of hospitals that we believe are potential opportunities to acquire a system. The sales force has zero incentive right now to trade a system. They're hyper-focused the rest of this year on adding new hospitals, new accounts to ensure that we do everything we can to get these up and going. So in 2025, we'll comment more on the trade and replacements, but for now, we're going to be hyper-focused on launching new hospitals.
Richard Newitter: Okay. That's helpful. Thanks. And just -- I know you're not giving '25 guidance today, but we all have models that are going to have some flow-through consequences to the back half updated information here, particularly ASPs on the system side. If we even -- don't think about additional revenue streams from replacements of which it sounds like there will be some if we just take your fourth quarter jump off point for ASP, you get to something north of 10% upside to street numbers right out of the gate. I guess help us think through any early commentary as we adjust our models for how to think about next year puts and the takes, don't limit it to the revenue. And particularly, if you can comment on what should happen with system ASPs directionally? Thank you.
Sham Shiblaq: Yes. So you hit the nail on the head that we're not going to give '25 guidance, but I'll just reiterate our comments that we do feel very good about the HYDROS launch. We feel very good about the receptivity around the ASPs that we saw in the third quarter. But we really, Rich, want to get through our first full quarter of having this product out in the market before we nail down a 2025 ASP. But directionally, as we've commented, we feel great about the launch and our ability to continue to capture robust average selling prices.
Operator: Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Josh Jennings with TD Cowen. Your line is open.
Josh Jennings: Hi, Thanks a lot and congrats on another very strong quarter. I wanted to just ask about the recombinant BPH and localized prostate cancer opportunity. I think there have been some citations that in the U.S., there's maybe over 400,000 cases that need to be intervened upon annually. I was hoping if you guys could just review kind of your outlook on the size of that opportunity in terms of the number of procedures. And then also just help fill in -- I mean, I'm sort understand that currently, I mean it's on label, clearly, and just to check the box, it's our understanding that all those cases that are being done are reimbursed? And then have you seen any uptick in utilization over the first nine months of this year since that prostate cancer update was put on where -- prostate cancer warning was removed from the label?
Reza Zadno: Yes. Thanks. So yes, as we have said previously, there are about 3 million men in the United States with prostate cancer, and there are about 300,000 new cases. And what we want to accomplish with our clinical study is really generate a Level 1 data, so that we get in the guidelines. Our goal from the beginning we have said our goal is to expand the market because out of those 3 million men, who have prostate cancer, vast majority of them sit on the sidelines, because of the side effects of current treatments. With our randomized study, our goal is to show one, the safety of the product and efficacy and then expand the market. And as we gather more information in the future, we can provide more color into the commercialization strategy.
Sham Shiblaq: Hey Josh, so on the concomitant use with meaning a BPH patient that also has localized prostate cancer, I think surgeons have been using BPH technologies, our effective surgeries for many years and feel confident in the safety of treating BPH patients with prostate cancer. We don't specifically, know for years what's been happening with Aquablation is that of the surgeon's decision as to how to treat their patients. But I do believe that the reason we wanted to prove that the safety of it, the FDA removed that contraindication to also show that the safety was there. It's very similar to other receptive procedures. So to answer your question specifically, we don't have an answer other than we do believe that surgeons have always felt safe treating cancer patients that have local life cancer faces that have BPH.
Josh Jennings: Well, thanks for that. Appreciate it. And then I just wanted to -- I may have missed it on the call, I was hoping to hear an update on the ASC channel and the pilot program. And any updated outlook on that opportunity as we think about 2025? Thanks.
Sham Shiblaq: Yes. So I'll take that one as well. So we continue to have a lot of success as we've begun that pilot program and get very excited about the opportunity in the ASC setting. Right now, there's one center out of Canada that's published, great data, showing the ability to get patients through an ASC setting same day with high success rates. We have the one center in the U.S., which has been our pilot. We do expect to expand that pilot in 2025 to a limited number of sites, I think a handful of sites in 2025 and that is very deliberate. Once again, kind of going back to what I said a few minutes ago. We have 1,000s of hospitals that still need to acquire a system for Aquablation therapy. We'll remain hyper-focused on that. and then we expect the ASC opportunity to be an accelerator for us in years to come.
Operator: Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Matthew O'Brien with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
Unidentified Analyst: Good morning. This is Samantha on for Matt. Congrats on a great quarter and thank you for taking our question. I'd like to start with the competitive dynamics in BPH. What are you seeing in terms of share shift? And maybe are you seeing this accelerate from TURP and Laser in Q3??
Reza Zadno: So from a competitive on the receptive side, we do not see new technologies coming. As we had said previously, when we talk to our surgeons, vast majority of the cases that we are performing come from TURP and green light. And at the same time, anecdotally, when we are asking the question, do they see the market expansion, majority of them say, yes, the number of cases they are doing is more than what they were doing a year or two years ago.
Unidentified Analyst: Okay. Thank you. And then I guess, second, we were wondering if you could provide any more color on profitability expectations, maybe both in the short-term, thinking about our models in next year and then also in the longer term?
Kevin Waters: Yes, we’re -- thanks for the question, this is Kevin. We're not going to provide kind of any specificity around dates, but what we would suggest is the results that we've demonstrated in 2024 show that we are a company that has a very clear pathway to profitability. We've always said with our revenue growth, it really comes down to our ability to control operating expenses, which I think we've demonstrated quite well this year by raising our revenue guidance now every quarter, while keeping operating expenses flat. And at the same time, our gross margin expansion is really a nice jumping off point here in the third quarter at a record level over 63%. Our guidance does suggest another sequential improvement in 2024, ending the year at 61%. I think we'll show that for a business that has our revenue growth, it's just a matter of time for profitability. But at this point, we still think it's prudent to be focus on making investments in the business to continue to grow our top line and outsized amounts. So therefore, we're not going to give any specificity around dates.
Unidentified Analyst: Okay, thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question coming from the line of Chris Pasquale with Nephron Research. Your line is open.
Chris Pasquale: Thanks. Congrats on getting the WATER IV study approved. Can you talk a little bit about the thought process and the decision to actually go for specific labeling here? I know initially that was something you were kind of on the fence about how important you think that is to broad adoption long-term. And then just curious, is there a prespecified radiation component to the treatment regimen just to make sure that, that piece is balanced between the two arms?
Reza Zadno: Yes. Thanks. So the thought process, as you mentioned, was to generate Level 1 clinical data so that with a randomized study, if successful, we could get into the guidelines and the goal is to expand the market. Harm reduction is an important benefit that FDA sees for patients because current treatments have high incidence of incontinence and erectile dysfunction. So the primary endpoint, six months, as we have mentioned, is to reduce statistically significant incontinence and erectile dysfunction. And of course, the efficacy on the secondary end point shows the benefit and that is defined as progression to the -- progression of cancer. So that is how efficacy is defined.
Sham Shiblaq: Chris, can you restate your question on radiation?
Chris Pasquale: Just curious, are these patients going to be getting radiation? And is there sort of a prespecified protocol there to make sure that there's not an imbalance between the two arms?
Sham Shiblaq: Yes, this is a randomized study that we're looking at with Aquablation specific to prostatectomy so that the radiation component, it's obviously a different when you think about moving to definitive surgery for prostate cancer, obviously, many times prostatectomy and radiation other options for patients. We're looking at localized disease, which would either be a prostatectomy patients or Aquablation patients.
Chris Pasquale: Okay. So they're not going to be getting any radiation. And then just wanted to clarify the comments around the saline shortage and the impact of the hurricanes and what you guys are seeing there? Have you seen procedures delayed because of that? And can you just remind us with the fluid utilization looks like in a typical Aquablation procedure? And is the waterjet itself comprised of clinical-grade sailing?
Reza Zadno: So from a quantity of saline used, in fact, the quantity of saline use during the procedure, our procedure uses less saline than TURP does. So broadly, it doesn't -- it hasn't impacted. But depending on the accounts, yes, there has been some impact, but broadly no. And as I mentioned on the quantity of saline, it's not more than TURP. I don't know, Kevin, do you want to add?
Kevin Waters: Yes. No. Just regarding guidance specifically, our guidance, we did see procedures canceled in October. You could think in the 100s, not the 1,000s, if that helps kind of quantify how we're thinking about it in October. And our guidance does allow for that saline in particular, to continue to persist somewhat into November, but it also suggests that the current environment doesn't get worse, right? I think our guidance would assume the worst is behind us, obviously, with weather and with the saline shortage. But we, again, feel very good about the underlying trajectory of the business coming off a very strong September from a procedure standpoint.
Chris Pasquale: Thanks.
Operator: Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Ryan Zimmerman with BTIG. Your line is line open.
Ryan Zimmerman: Hey guys. Good morning and congrats on the quarter. Want to ask, we've been picking up some comments in the field from urologists about a number of dynamics related to reimbursement. I think I've spoken with Barry about this previously, but there's been more chatter about things such as Medicare audits, specifically with RAC auditors and the risk of clawbacks with AQUABEAM cases, as well as some pushback from Cigna and Humana on what they're covering for AQUABEAM. And so I'm just wondering if you can speak to that, whether that's impactful, whether it's small. Just maybe put that to bed, if you can?
Reza Zadno: Yes, thanks, Ryan. So related to RAC audit, as you know, this is a common procedure in health care that's done for us. It started in about October of 2023 in the last 12-months. I'm happy to say we have been able to execute despite that audit in FDA, when we see FDA approval, there was no size restriction. But with some of these, these are specific to Medicare, by the way. There is a size restriction and we are working with surgeons and payers to remove this restriction. For example, we have been able, in other cases, that there were some age restriction with some Medicare carriers to remove that. It's just a matter of time. It is not an obstacle for our growth. This is something that we have to resolve. We are working with them. As far as Cigna that you mentioned, what Cigna mentioned was they retired as of September, their policy when a carrier retires a policy, basically, what that means is surgeon can recommend Aquablation. In other words, there is no restriction. So that is definition of retirement.
Kevin Waters: I'll add a little bit on the RAC audits of Medicare, Ryan. So specifically with Aquablation, we know that Medicare has a outsized proportion of patients we treat due to the demographic of patients get a BPH and are getting treated. The RAC audits are specifically focused on traditional Medicare. And so when you think about 25% of the market being traditional Medicare, less than 10% of Aquablation procedures are less than 150 grams, which is a restriction currently with Medicare. This size limitation has had a minimal impact on our ability to expand and achieve our utilization targets due to the size range limitation and then the traditional Medicare number of patients we're treating. Also, you mentioned Humana. Humana is the only major private payer to have a size limit restriction of 150 grams. So a very small percentage of our patients we treat and once again, when you look at the major payers, we don't have restrictions on most of them, other than Humana is 150-gram limitation.
Ryan Zimmerman: Okay. Very, very helpful. And then just, Kevin, in terms of the guidance philosophy, I can appreciate there's some macro dynamics with IV solutions and reps are out of the field for training. But seasonally, I mean, even if that were the case, why wouldn't fourth quarter kind of follow a similar quarter-to-quarter step up, if you will, particularly for systems in the fourth quarter as it did maybe last year?
Kevin Waters: Well, we are -- so I'll address systems first. I mean we are guiding to a number of 56 systems, which is up significantly. It's up 27%, compared to prior year, up 11 incremental units, compared to the third quarter and will represent an all-time high for PROCEPT by a significant margin. I think our all-time high number of systems in any quarter previously was 47%. So we feel a ton of momentum around systems. When we think of the utilization dynamic, I do think it's important, Sham has referenced this a few times that launching a completely new platform and what that requires from a time to installation, it has elongated somewhat when we install these accounts to make sure that we do it the right way. And our guidance suggests that we sell close to 100 systems in the back half of the year, which would roughly be almost 20% of the total installed base as we exited June. So we're just going to be very methodical about our launch. Does that mean we sacrifice some procedures in the fourth quarter? It does absolutely, but we feel it's the best opportunity to set us up for 2025 moving forward to become the standard of care here.
Ryan Zimmerman: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Mike Kratky with Leerink Partners. Your line is open.
Brett Gasaway: Hey, good morning, guys. This is [Brett] (ph) on for Mike. Congrats on another great quarter and a successful HYDROS rollout. I just want to go back to the ASP guide in 4Q. Obviously, there's a little bit of flexibility there with what's been going on with the rollout. But how should we be thinking about if there's any discounting on the legacy AQUABEAM or if there's any dynamics we should be thinking about that's driving that, that may persist into 2025?
Kevin Waters: Yes. I don't see anything unusual here. As we've mentioned, the majority of our sales implied in our Q4 guide, they are greenfield and perhaps a handful of sales second systems to existing accounts. So I think it's better on an ASP front than we are expecting initially. And again, we want to just get through a full quarter of launch where we have HYDROS now to sell for a full quarter prior to getting too aggressive on guiding the 2025 ASPs. But there's no unusual dynamics in the fourth quarter regarding replacements, or exchanges or trade-ins. These are all primarily greenfield accounts.
Brett Gasaway: Understood. And then just a follow-up there, I guess, on the profitability side, primarily on the COGS side. Obviously, 10% higher at this point, and that's going to scale down over time. But how should we be thinking about just kind of the base level COGS versus legacy AQUABEAM long-term? And I know you're not commenting on cadence, but just overall, how we should be thinking about that level.
Kevin Waters: Yes. Maybe I'll just talk about overall gross margins in general. I did mention, and we wanted to update the investment community that HYDROS is currently costing about 10% more than AQUABEAM. To clarify some, I would say, misinformation that was out there in August regarding the cost being the same. With that said, we do think the ASP of HYDROS is going to more than offset kind of what we're seeing with the increase in costs. We do think over time, HYDROS becomes much more comparable to where AQUABEAM was. And over a greater period of time, I would expect it to cost less in AQUABEAM longer term. And we continue to have a lot of operational efficiencies in manufacturing the single biggest lever in manufacturing for us to expand margins really is producing more product and scale. And we're seeing that and while not commenting on profitability or margins, we do think the third quarter is a jumping off point for our business now at 63%, and we should expand from here. And I feel very good about our margin profile as we head into 2025. Not only around production, but we talked in the fourth quarter last year about things like product quality, scrap, yield, all of these metrics that we're focusing on as a business continue to improve and give us a ton of conviction that this, again, is a business that has a very clear pathway to profitability.
Brett Gasaway: Makes sense. Thanks guys.
Kevin Waters: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Reza Zadno for final comments.
Reza Zadno: Yes, I’m going to thank everyone for joining our earnings call. I hope to see many of you at the upcoming conferences, and I wish all of you a happy, a very good day. Thank you.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.
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