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Earnings call: Mission Produce reports strong Q1 growth, eyes expansion

Published 12/03/2024, 00:12
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AVO
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In the fiscal first quarter of 2024, Mission Produce, Inc. (ticker: AVO), a leading global distributor and producer of avocados and other fresh produce, reported substantial financial growth. The company's total revenue surged by 21% year-over-year to $258.7 million, bolstered by improved per unit margins in both the Marketing and Distribution and Blueberries segments.

Adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant rise, reaching $19.2 million, a $16.9 million increase from the previous year. Mission Produce's strategic investments in new premium varietals and expansion into emerging markets like Europe and Asia are showing promising results. The company's mango and blueberry lines are poised for growth, with mango revenue expected to outpace avocado revenue shortly.

Key Takeaways

  • Total revenue increased by 21% to $258.7 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $19.2 million, up by $16.9 million.
  • Gross margin expanded by nearly 700 basis points.
  • Blueberries segment achieved record quarterly revenues.
  • New forward distribution center being constructed in the UK.
  • International Farming segment to contribute more in the second half of the fiscal year.
  • John Pawlowski appointed as President and COO, effective April 2024.
  • Net income reported at breakeven for the quarter.
  • Cash and cash equivalents stood at $39.9 million as of January 31, 2024.
  • Positive free cash flow anticipated for the fiscal year.

Company Outlook

  • Avocado industry volumes expected to remain flat in Q2, with slight price increases.
  • Blueberry sales pricing expected to decline in Q2 due to increased industry volume.
  • Capital expenditure budget for fiscal 2024 projected to be between $30 million and $35 million.
  • Focus on maintaining a healthy capital structure.

Bearish Highlights

  • Avocado volume from Mexico tapering off; California harvest volume to increase.
  • High pricing for blueberries in the last two quarters deemed not sustainable long-term.

Bullish Highlights

  • Record revenue in Blueberries segment.
  • Mango program showing promising growth, with potential to surpass avocado revenue.
  • Expansion into emerging markets showing positive results.
  • International Farming segment improvements expected to boost second-half performance.

Misses

  • Volume sold decreased by 43%, offsetting the 90% increase in selling prices.
  • Operating cash flow improved, but cash and cash equivalents slightly decreased from $42.9 million to $39.9 million.

Q&A Highlights

  • The company discussed the growth potential in blueberry and mango lines, with consumption for both products increasing.
  • Plans to expand blueberry production in Peru, contributing to increased volume and earlier harvests.
  • Mango business complements the avocado business and has helped gain additional avocado business from retailers.

Mission Produce's leadership expressed confidence in the company's strategic direction, highlighting the success of their diversified product portfolio and the synergies between their avocado and mango businesses. With the construction of a new distribution center in the UK and the expansion of blueberry production in Peru, the company is well-positioned to take advantage of growth opportunities in both established and emerging markets. Despite a breakeven net income for the quarter, Mission Produce remains optimistic about generating positive free cash flow and maintaining a robust capital structure throughout fiscal 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

Mission Produce's financial results for Q1 2024 reflect a company on the rise, with notable revenue growth and strategic expansions. To provide further context to these results, let's delve into some key metrics and insights from InvestingPro:

  • With a market capitalization of $758.06 million, Mission Produce is a significant player in the produce distribution industry. The company's substantial size reflects its position in the market and potential for continued growth.
  • Despite the positive revenue trends, Mission Produce is currently trading at a high EBITDA valuation multiple, indicating that investors may expect future growth to justify the current stock price. This aligns with the company's optimistic outlook and expansion efforts.
  • The company's gross profit margin for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 stood at 8.73%. While this figure shows that Mission Produce can maintain profitability, it also aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that the company suffers from weak gross profit margins, which may be an area for potential improvement.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts predict Mission Produce will be profitable this year, which could be a turning point for the company as it seeks to capitalize on its diversified product portfolio and new market opportunities. Additionally, Mission Produce's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, indicating a healthy liquidity position that can support its operational and strategic initiatives.

For readers looking to dive deeper into Mission Produce's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips. There are currently 9 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can provide valuable insights for making informed investment decisions. To access these tips, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/AVO and don't forget to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

Full transcript - Mission Produce Inc (NASDAQ:AVO) Q1 2024:

Operator: Good afternoon, and welcome to the Mission Produce Fiscal First Quarter 2024 Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please also note that today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Jeff Sonnek, Investor Relations at ICR. Sir, please go ahead.

Jeff Sonnek: Thank you, and good afternoon. Today's presentation will be hosted by Steve Barnard, Chief Executive Officer; and Bryan Giles, Chief Financial Officer. The comments during today's call and the accompanying presentation contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical facts are considered forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs as well as a number of assumptions concerning future events. Such forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements. Some of these risks and uncertainties are identified and discussed in the Company's filings with the SEC. We'll also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures today. Please refer to the tables included in the earnings release, which can be found on our Investor Relations website, investors.missionproduce.com, for reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Steve Barnard, CEO. Steve, please go ahead.

Steve Barnard: Thank you for joining us today. We're off to a strong start in fiscal 2024 with the delivery of a first quarter that demonstrated solid execution across all facets of our business. Total revenue for the first quarter of 2024 increased $45.2 million or 21% year-over-year to $258.7 million and adjusted EBITDA increased by $16.9 million to $19.2 million. These results were a direct result of our team's focus, underpinning our strong adjusted EBITDA performance with significantly improved per unit margins across the Marketing and Distribution and Blueberries segments, which translated to nearly 700 basis points of gross margin expansion and a 69% increase in gross profit dollars versus the prior year period. This improvement was spurred by strength in avocado margins in our Marketing and Distribution segment, as well as the achievement of record quarterly revenues in our blueberry segment. Blueberries are notable this quarter and that the strategy is becoming visible in the financial results. Within this business, we have been investing capital in new premium varietals and not only offer additional yield opportunity to drive higher returns on investment, but are also differentiated in terms of the appearance and flavor profile, which offer retailers and their customers significant value. Similar to our International Farming segment, we were able to generate higher margins as a result of behaving as an operator with a greater capital intensity, the blueberry business is providing us with incremental levers to drive per unit margins at the consolidated level. In an environment such as this where industry volumes are constrained, we are well positioned to capture the additional margin upside that is created from advantageous pricing. Together, these businesses contributed meaningfully to our overall adjusted EBITDA generation in the first quarter and demonstrate Mission's unique ability to drive value through its leading global market position. Our primary goal is to drive long-term volume growth by supporting our markets with consistent supply, creating an environment to drive per capita consumption growth through greater access. To support opportunities in emerging growth markets such as Europe and Asia, we are methodically building our capabilities in those regions in a measured fashion. In the United Kingdom, the construction of our new forward distribution center is progressing according to plan with our Phase 2 build out to expand capacity, including additional ripening rooms, storage and sorting as well as building handling capacity for our very popular mango category. While our mango program is still in its infancy, first quarter revenue grew nearly 50% compared to the same period last year to over $10 million. The opportunity ahead is immense. Mangoes are among the most consumed fruit globally, yet in the western markets it has lagged behind primarily due to the lack of consistent year round high quality sourcing. We are eager to bring some greater execution to this fragmented industry and help drive greater consumption. In fact, we recently reinvested in this business with new leadership that is already generating early wins through improving our third-party sourcing, enhancing our operational capabilities and meeting the needs of retailers in a more consistent fashion, all of which is translating to growth. We think we are in an ideal position to compete for market share globally and this focus has immediately yielded new customer engagements in this very complementary of our avocado program from a merchandising perspective. Supporting these strategies are our physical distribution and ripening assets, our expansive third-party sourcing network and our vertically integrated growing operations in Peru. This allows Mission to provide year round sourcing to establish such as North America, but also strategically penetrate new regions as well. This is a playbook that has served us well over several decades and remains the core tenant of our long-term strategy. Although our international farming segment doesn't contribute materially until our fiscal second half of the year when the harvest commences, we have already started a rigorous optimization process that is intended to drive down our operating costs, while ensuring that we maintain the same quality standards that our customers have come to expect. We are encouraged by the progress we are making with this initiative and expect that it will translate to improved operating performance later this fiscal year. Although it is still early to provide a reliable forecast of volume from our Peruvian operations, weather conditions have improved as El Nino conditions have dissipated, which should lead to a more predictable harvest for this coming season. We believe that the improved growing conditions combined with enhancements to our operations will create a more constructive backdrop for our International Farming segment performance later this year. In summary, Mission remains in a strong position with a network of global assets to drive growth, a strong balance sheet and a focused team that is generating enhanced margins and cash flow through thoughtful capital allocation. On that note, I wanted to take a moment and comment on the executive appointment we announced last week. I'm excited to have John Pawlowski join our executive team as President and Chief Operating Officer beginning in April. John is an exceptional leader who brings more than 25 years in the global food and foodservice industry driving logistic efficiencies, market access and strategic partnerships at large global organizations such as J.M. Smucker. John comes to Mission from Lipari Foods, where he was President and CEO for the past two and a half years. With his comprehensive background in the international food industry, I believe his skill set will greatly contribute to our continued growth, as we work to enhance our operating strategies to maximize shareholder value. With that, I'll pass the call over to our CFO, Bryan Giles for his financial commentary.

Bryan Giles: Thank you, Steve, and good afternoon to everyone on the call. I'll start with a review of our fiscal first quarter financial performance, touching on some of the key drivers within our three reportable segments. Then I'll provide an update on our financial position and conclude with some thoughts on the current industry conditions that we are seeing. Total revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 increased 21% to $258.7 million driven by higher per unit avocado sales prices. Though the impact was less significant, we also experienced growth in mango and blueberry revenues, resulting from higher average sales prices that were driven by industry supply constraints during the period. Gross profit increased by $19.7 million to $28.7 million in the first quarter and gross profit margin increased 690 basis points to 11.1% of revenue. These increases were driven by improved per unit margins across our Marketing and Distribution and Blueberry segments. Within Marketing and Distribution, we achieved avocado per unit margins that were near the high end of our typical range. This performance was bolstered by a decision to implement price increases for our value added services heading into this fiscal year to cover the structural inflation that has proven difficult to mitigate. Within Blueberries, we realized a significant margin benefit from higher per unit sales pricing as a result of the advantageous industry conditions. SG&A expense increased $1.6 million or 8% compared to the same period last year, primarily due to higher employee related costs, including stock based compensation expense and performance based incentive compensation associated with government mandated profit sharing in our foreign operations, a good portion of which was driven by the strong performance of our blueberry segment during the quarter. Partially offsetting these costs was a reduction in our general corporate expenses of approximately $1 million, which demonstrates our progress in reducing controllable expenses. While off to a solid start, we anticipate that our expense optimization efforts will be more visible in our International Farming segment gross margin during the second half of the fiscal year. Net income for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 was breakeven or $0.00 per diluted share compared to a net loss of $8.8 million or $0.12 per diluted share for the same period last year. Adjusted net income for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 was $6.7 million or $0.09 per diluted share compared to an adjusted net loss of $5 million or $0.07 per diluted share for the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA increased $16.9 million to $19.2 million as compared to $2.3 million for the same period last year, driven by the strong gross profit performance noted earlier. Turning now to our segments. Our Marketing Distribution segment net sales increased 24% to $224.6 million for the quarter due to the favorable avocado pricing dynamics I described earlier. We believe that the meaningful price increase at comparable volume is a strong indicator of demand growth during the period. Segment adjusted EBITDA increased $6.4 million to $11 million due to the impact of higher per unit gross margins, resulting from relatively stable avocado supply conditions in Mexico during the period and the value added price increases previously discussed. Our International Farming segment revenues and EBITDA are concentrated in the second half of our fiscal year in alignment with the Peruvian avocado harvest season, which typically starts in April and runs into September of each year. Activity during our fiscal first quarter is currently focused on packing and processing services for our blueberry segment and for third-party producers of blueberries, though this will evolve over time as our operations develop in other areas of Latin America. With this in mind, total segment sales in the International Farming segment were $5.8 million approximately flat compared to the same period last year. Segment adjusted EBITDA increased $1.3 million to a negative $0.5 million driven primarily by cost savings measures within our Peruvian Farming and Packing operations. Activity in our blueberry segment tends to be concentrated in the first and fourth quarters of our fiscal year in alignment with the Peruvian blueberry harvest season, which typically runs from July through February. Net sales increased 9% to $32.5 million and segment adjusted EBITDA increased $9.2 million to $8.7 million compared to the same period last year. Industry supply conditions from Peru had a dramatic impact on sales pricing and volumes sold during the quarter. In regard to sales growth, we experienced a 90% increase in selling prices that was substantially offset by a 43% decrease in volume sold. EBITDA growth was driven by the significant increase in prices that resulted in substantial improvement in per unit margins. Shifting to our financial position, cash and cash equivalents were $39.9 million as of January 31, 2024 compared to $42.9 million at October 31, 2023. Operating cash flows are seasonal in nature, we typically see increases in working capital during the first half of our fiscal year as our supply is predominantly sourced from Mexico under payment terms that are shorter than terms established for other source markets. In addition, we are building our growing crops inventory in our International Farming segment during the first half of the year for ultimate harvest and sale that will occur during the second half of the fiscal year. Net cash provided by operating activities was $9.5 million for the three months ended January 31, 2024 compared to cash used in operating activities of $1.3 million for the same period last year. The $10.8 million increase was driven by improved operating performance, partially offset by working capital growth. During the current period, our working capital position was negatively impacted by the higher avocado pricing environment, which had an unfavorable effect on both accounts receivable and inventory balances. Inventory growth in the current year period was also driven by higher blueberry growing crop inventory in Peru due to the extension of the harvest season compared to prior year. Capital expenditures were $9.9 million for the first quarter ended January 31, 2024, compared to $17.6 million last year. Capital expenditures were balanced across each of our three operating segments and were comprised of avocado orchard development, preproduction orchard maintenance and land improvements in Peru and Guatemala, early stage blueberry plant cultivation in Peru and construction costs associated with our UK distribution facility. As we mentioned on our last call, the year-over-year reduction in capital spending reflects the tapering off of our recent heavy investment cycle in avocados and is at a level we feel comfortable with over the near-term to support our ongoing farming expansion and facility improvement projects. Our projected CapEx budget for fiscal 2024 remains unchanged at $30 million to $35 million. Net, we believe the business is well positioned to generate positive free cash flow in fiscal 2024 and beyond. I want to reiterate that our core capital allocation priority is maintaining a healthy capital structure that minimizes leverage. Debt paydown remains our near-term priority and given our forecast for improved operating cash flow for the full year of fiscal 2024, we expect to be in position to strengthen our balance sheet by the end of this fiscal year. In terms of our near-term outlook on the fundamental drivers of our operations, we are providing some context around our expectations for industry conditions to help inform your modeling assumptions. Beginning with avocados, industry volumes are expected to be relatively flat in the fiscal 2024 second quarter versus the prior year period. Sourcing from Mexico should taper off in the latter part of the quarter as we near completion of the current harvest season, while California harvest volume should begin to build toward the middle of the quarter as weather permits. Peruvian volumes are unlikely to have a meaningful impact on the market during the quarter. Avocado pricing is expected to be slightly higher on a sequential basis and approximately 10% to 15% higher than the $1.30 per pound average experienced in second quarter of fiscal 2023, assuming that volume aligns with our expectations. Turning to blueberries, harvest timing shifts relative to last year have extended our Peruvian blueberry season. As a result, we expect that approximately 20% of the harvest will be sold through in the fiscal second quarter, whereas the season was substantially complete in the prior year period. Sales pricing is expected to decline sequentially in the fiscal second quarter in response to increased industry volume resulting from the expectation for other source regions to begin seasonal harvest on a normal cadence. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator now over to you. Please open the call to Q&A.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Ben Bienvenu with Stephens.

Ben Bienvenu: I want to ask in the marketing business, this balance between taking market share on the volume side, but managing margins on the per box side, how do you feel like doing it looks like you gained at least relative to the industry data a little bit of market share on the volume front and margins are recovering nicely? So maybe talk us through some of the things that you're doing and expectations as you move forward to perhaps continue to deliver results along the same lines?

Steve Barnard: Well, I think we're looking at some of our longer term commitments and making sure we have the right supply-demand balance going forward. Some of the times in the past, we would commit to pricing and the supply would fluctuate surprisingly to us in many cases. So we're trying to tighten that up. As we go forward, we've got that Peruvian deal coming on our own. So that kind of eliminates the high risk there too. So I think it's mainly just running a tighter shorter leash on the pricing and making sure we know what the supply is at the relevant time.

Bryan Giles: I would just add to that Ben. I think that there's a natural tendency within Mission for the team to push share hard. I mean, we've grown the business to what it is today by taking share from competitors year after year. So the natural tendency is to continue to push, push, push. I think we work together as a team to try to figure out how much risk we want to take on as part of that volume growth and moderate it. I think certainly we know margin has some variability to it from period to period. We benefited from I think a market that enabled us to get above average margins during the quarter, while achieving that growth at the same time. I feel like it was a good quarter, we achieved what we wanted to. Not every quarter will look like first quarter did, but I think that's kind of a picture of what we want to achieve is build share, while at the same time, while maybe not getting the highest margin that's out there, getting a reasonable one that doesn't impede us from continuing to grow.

Steve Barnard: I think another thing, Ben, is the mango business continues to grow at a fairly rapid pace. There really isn't any leadership in that space. And one of the benefits Mission has, we utilize our distribution network. So all of the facilities are showing higher profit levels or more volume through the facilities. Transportation is picking up a benefit there because it's a lot of times it's going to the same customer on the same truck. So, there's a lot of synergies going on too apart from the pricing.

Ben Bienvenu: As we start to think about the back half of this fiscal year and the contribution of the Peru operations, what are your thoughts with respect to the crop? How it's looking? And how this year's performance from the International Farming segment might look relative to last year?

Steve Barnard: Well, last year, we were hit pretty hard, especially at the end with El Nino. A lot of the crop shed on the ground after we estimated it. And then towards the end of the season, we were ending up with fruit not ripening. I know for a fact we lost several loads due to fruit just wouldn't ripen no matter how long you left it in the ripe room. So I think it was dumped in many cases. So that appears to be behind us as far as the weather, the sizing on the crop looks to be normal. I was there at the end of January and it looked to be perfect at the time from what we think of mid-sizes 40s, 48s and 60s. The crop is down a little bit, pricing should be better just due to supply and demand. So we're pretty optimistic about it. Assuming El Nino stays offshore, we'll be good, I think.

Operator: Our next question is from Gerry Sweeney with ROTH MKM.

Gerry Sweeney: I had a couple of questions on margins as well. I apologize if any of it is repetitive, I was writing stuff down. So as you were speaking on the last go round, but just wanted to talk about maybe get a little bit more detail on some of the cost enhancements you're making, which I also would include maybe some of the price increases. Maybe describe some of the moves you're making, how much is left? And then is there ability, are you caught up on price in regard to the value you're adding to the fruit? So, I think there's a little bit to unpack there. I can repeat some of it if you need to.

Steve Barnard: Yes. Let's just start on the cost. Most of that came out of the Peru operation. We had been in a growth mode for several years and they kind of had that growth mentality and had a lot of people doing lots of things and we just unofficially went back to a zero based budget on labor and said, okay, what do we need to do get this job done in an efficient, correct manner. And that's really what we did. We had too many people doing one person's job in many cases. Because we were developing it and there was a lots going on and whatnot. But now we're at the point where we're a little more mature down there as far as our developments and now it's more of a direct operational team rather than a operational and growth team at the same time.

Bryan Giles: And I would reiterate, Gerry. Down in Peru, I think the -- what we saw the impact in the first quarter was some of the cuts we made in SG&A, as well as some of the reductions we made in the packing house itself. I think the benefits from the farming side because all those costs are being capitalized into inventory over the course of the year, that's the piece that we'll see later. But we're certainly trending in line with what our internal expectations were. So, I think we feel good about the cost reduction initiatives. We can see that the balances in our inventory related to growing crop inventory and Peru are lower, meaningfully lower this year than they were last year at the same point in time. So again, I think as we go to the second half, we've got a lower cost structure in place. We should see strong pricing based upon what we think the overall industry volume conditions are going to look like, both from Peru and from other source markets during that timing window. So, the big question mark will be what the overall production out of our farms look like this year, getting those estimates accurate in terms of overall volume, timing and sizing as Steve alluded to. I think up here in the U.S., what we've seen in the marketing side, certainly some emphasis on passing along some of the sticky cost increases that we've seen over the last few years. I think that I don't necessarily think that there is further increases on the horizon with the value added services. I think we moved them up to where they need to be, but it's something we'll continue to evaluate as we move forward.

Gerry Sweeney: And then just talking about blueberries and mangoes, obviously, there's an absorption, it sounds like they're absorbing some of the fixed costs on distribution, packing, et cetera. How big can you grow these two business lines?

Steve Barnard: Consumption keeps growing on both of them, Gerry. As you know, we're partners with Driscoll on the blueberries and we don't run that through our distribution network here in the United States, but we do run it through our Peruvian facilities. So we pick up some benefit there, as we continue to add hectares on that that will continue to improve our numbers at the facilities down there. The mango business is definitely a benefit here in the U.S. as it complements it. It's off season from some of the Mexican product. So we're using our Laredo facility in the summertime with mangoes when the avocados are at their low point of the year and then we're leveraging the rest of the distribution centers across the nation, because they're on the same truck going to the same customers and they're being ripened in the same facility. So it's a great benefit in that nature, in that respect.

Bryan Giles: And I just build on that, Gerry, that I think touch on mangoes first, Steve is spot on. And the marketing side of the business, the ability to leverage our distribution infrastructure. Mangoes in the U.S. market have been growing at a faster rate than avocados over the last few years and we believe that the runway on that is still pretty long. So I think it's a nice complement to our avocado business, which is certainly a little more mature in the U.S. market than mangoes are today. It's tough to put a number on where we'll ultimately land on that but because it's so early in the process, but we do believe that there is real potential. We think that the growth rates in mango revenue will likely outpace the growth rates in our avocado revenues in the near future. I think with blueberry to Steve's point, we've got about 450 in the ground today that we're producing fruit. So as we near the end of our -- kind of reach the end of our current harvest season, that's the volume that contributed or the amount of acreage that contributed. As we've alluded to in our other -- or in our Qs and in previous calls, we are expanding up in the northern part of Peru. There is an additional 600 hectares that we're targeting to plant over the next three to four years. Those will start layering in production in the near-term. We should have some acreage that's coming online from those plantings in this next harvest season. And likely even start a little bit earlier than what we've seen historically. Just the harvest window we're seeing up in north tends to come a little bit earlier. So again, potential for growth from that acreage, we don't necessarily have any plans beyond that in the near-term. But I think one thing to note is that pricing was certainly at an abnormally high level during the last two quarters. And we don't think that price point, the net returns to the farms are going to be sustainable for the long-term. There definitely were industry constraints in Peru this last year as a result of the same El Nino that impact of our avocado production that really spiked pricing this year.

Steve Barnard: And one thing on the mango business on top of the benefit with volume, Gerry, is that we picked up avocado business at some of these retailers that we did not have their avocado business because we have the mango. So there's a lot of benefits there.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, there are no further questions. I'd like to end the question-and-answer session and turn the conference back to management for any closing remarks.

Steve Barnard: Great. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. And thank you for your interest in Mission Produce. We look forward to speaking to you again.

Operator: This concludes our conference. You may now disconnect.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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