Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Sterling drops as COVID 'pingdemic' hits rebound in July

Published 23/07/2021, 09:39
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO:  British Pound Sterling banknotes are seen in a counter machine at the Money Service Austria company's headquarters in Vienna, Austria, November 16, 2017. REUTERS/Leonhard Foeger/File photo

LONDON (Reuters) -Sterling fell on Friday after a survey showed Britain's economic rebound slowing sharply in July when a spike in COVID-19 cases forced hundreds of thousands of workers to self-isolate under government rules.

Friday's monthly purchasing managers' index (PMI) data gave the first clear evidence of the scale of the impact.

The IHS Markit/CIPS flash composite PMI dropped to 57.7 in July from 62.2 in June. A reading above 50 indicates growth in the economy but the reading was the lowest since March and a sharper fall than most economists had forecast in a Reuters poll.

The pound weakened as much as 0.3% to $1.3720 before recovering somewhat to trade at $1.3751.

It initially dropped by a similar magnitude against the euro to 85.83 pence before rebounding to trade nearly flat on the day at 85.55, putting it in positive territory for the week.

The pound has proven relatively resilient this week to a broader selloff in many currencies -- it is unchanged against the dollar for the week -- on the back of concerns about the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus.

The UK government said on Thursday daily testing would be rolled out to allow staff in key sectors to keep working instead of having to self-isolate automatically after exposure to someone who had tested positive for COVID-19 -- a system that has caused huge disruption.

Official data on Friday showed British retail sales resuming their post-lockdown recovery in June after a surprise fall in May. Retail sales rose by 0.5% in June from May -- a Reuters poll of economists had pointed to a 0.4% month-on-month increase in retail sales volumes in June.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

MUFG analyst Derek Halpenny said he remained positive on sterling but that appetite for short-term buying was limited as investors wait to see whether there has been a decisive break in the link between rising COVID-19 cases and hospitalisations thanks to Britain's rapid vaccine rollout.

"We remain GBP bullish over the medium-term but that view incorporates assumptions like COVID risks receding and the NI (Northern Ireland) protocol issue being resolved," he said, referring to the dispute between the United Kingdom and the EU over post-Brexit trading arrangements for Northern Ireland.

Sterling had been a standout performer in 2021 thanks to Britain's relatively fast vaccine rollout, which has accelerated the pace of reopening. But it has lost much of those gains in recent weeks.

At $1.37 it remains up just 0.7% for the year versus the dollar and off three-year highs above $1.42 touched in February.

Latest comments

The Government need some way of controlling inflation. All UK PMI data suggests a strong recovery, but too strong would cause problems. why do you think Johnson put an ex finance proffessional in charge of health. It's no longer about health!
investors don't give a flying bollock about Covid 'cases' Go and ask them
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.