🔥 Premium AI-powered Stock Picks from InvestingPro Now up to 50% OffCLAIM SALE

Sterling drops, timing of BoE rate cuts in focus

Published 08/11/2023, 11:17
Updated 08/11/2023, 11:21
© Reuters. UK pound coins plunge into water in this illustration picture, October 26, 2017. Picture taken October 26, 2017. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/GBP
-

LONDON (Reuters) - The pound weakened against the dollar and euro on Wednesday, as markets continued to digest remarks from the Bank of England's chief economist that interest rate cuts could come around the middle of 2024.

The pound was last down 0.4% against the dollar at $1.2251, and off a near two-month high of $1.2428 hit Monday.

Part of those moves versus the dollar come as the greenback bounced back after recent losses, but sterling was also a touch softer against the euro, which was at 87.05 pence, and up from Monday's around three-week low of 86.5 pence.

Markets were focusing on remarks from the BoE's Chief Economist Huw Pill on Monday that pricing in financial markets - that currently points to a first rate cut to Bank Rate in August 2024 - "doesn't seem totally unreasonable."

Though governor Andrew Bailey, on Wednesday, said it was "really too early to be talking about cutting rates."

"The pound is pretty interesting,... openly speaking about rate cuts is not something central bankers are doing," said ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole.

"I think sterling will be under pressure today because markets did not go too aggressive on pricing in those rate cuts. There's still more for the Bank of England rate expectations to drop."

Markets are currently fully pricing in a 25 basis point BoE rate cut in August, and pricing reflects roughly a two-thirds chance of such a cut in June. An August cut was seen as likely but not fully priced in before the remarks.

Also in the mix was an industry survey released Wednesday that showed pay growth slowed in October and rising redundancies led to an increase in the number of job-seekers.

© Reuters. UK pound coins plunge into water in this illustration picture, October 26, 2017. Picture taken October 26, 2017. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo

Wage growth is one of the BoE's considerations when assessing the stickiness of inflation in Britain, and its rate policy.

Bailey, on Wednesday, said he was "optimistic" that the BoE would return inflation to 2% by late 2025, as the bank forecast last week

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.