50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

BoE's Mann says better to err towards over-tightening rates

Published 11/09/2023, 15:17
Updated 12/09/2023, 01:20
© Reuters. Economist and member of the Bank Of England’s Monetary Policy Committee Catherine Mann poses for a photograph ahead of a speech at Manchester Business School in Manchester, Britain, January 12, 2023. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File photo
GBP/USD
-

By Andy Bruce and David Milliken

LONDON (Reuters) -Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann said on Monday that it was too soon for the BoE to stop raising interest rates, and that it was better for the central bank to err on the side of raising them too high rather than stopping prematurely.

"I would rather err on the side of over-tightening. But, if I am wrong, and inflation decelerates more quickly and activity deteriorates more significantly, I will not hesitate to cut rates," she said in a speech text published by the BoE.

"In my view, holding rates constant at the current level risks enabling further inflation persistence," she added.

Mann, the most hawkish member of the Monetary Policy Committee, was due to deliver the speech to the Canadian Association for Business Economics later on Monday.

She struck a different tone to BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, who last week said the central bank is "much nearer" to ending its run of interest rates increases.

Mann warned that self-sustaining inflation pressure would be harder to fight than an economic downturn from over-tightening policy.

While inflation projections among households, investors and forecasters were currently consistent with inflation returning to the BoE's 2% target from 6.8% in July, higher interest rates were bedding into expectations, Mann said.

"I worry that there is an increasing inflation risk premium being priced into the UK's macroeconomic prospects," Mann said.

The BoE is due to announce its next rate decision on Sept. 22, when financial markets see an 80% chance that it will raise rates to 5.5% from 5.25%.

Investors are more evenly split over whether there will be another BoE rate rise after that.

© Reuters. Economist and member of the Bank Of England’s Monetary Policy Committee Catherine Mann poses for a photograph ahead of a speech at Manchester Business School in Manchester, Britain, January 12, 2023. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File photo

Mann rejected notions that returning inflation to, say, 3% would be "close enough".

"We need to communicate and act on our commitment to do what is necessary to achieve the 2% target, sooner rather than later."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.