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UK public inflation expectations fall to lowest since January -Citi/YouGov

Published 27/06/2022, 18:59
Updated 27/06/2022, 20:00
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People shop at market stalls, with skyscrapers of the CIty of London financial district seen behind, in London, Britain, January 15, 2021. REUTERS/Toby Melville/

LONDON (Reuters) - The British public's expectations for inflation in future years receded this month to the lowest level since January, a survey showed on Monday in good news for Bank of England officials who fear price pressures are becoming embedded.

U.S. bank Citi and pollsters YouGov (LON:YOU) said the expectations for inflation in five to 10 years fell to 4.0% in June from 4.2% in May, a move Citi described as encouraging.

Inflation expectations for 12 months time were steady at 6.1%, the survey showed.

BoE rate-setters are watching surveys for signs that high inflation - which hit a 40-year record of 9.1% last month - is becoming entrenched in the psychology of the British public, which would make it harder to bring inflation back to the BoE's 2% target.

Citi economist Benjamin Nabarro said inflation expectations were still elevated.

"However, we see little in today's data that should provide a further impetus for an outsized 50 basis point move (in interest rates) in August," Nabarro added.

Financial markets show a roughly 73% chance that the BoE will raise its Bank Rate to 1.75% from 1.25% at its next policy decision on Aug. 4.

Latest comments

This is so corrupt. Ask people with mortgages a question they know will push up interest rates? Everyone I speak to doesn't stop talking about inflation. It is called the real world, living off an average salary not £600k per year like the Bank of England Governor.
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