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Inflation Day. Feds Have More Work To Do

Published 13/09/2022, 16:05
Inflation Day. Feds Have More Work To Do
IXIC
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Good Morning Everyone!

Inflation:

+8.3% YoY in August. Higher than +8.1% expected.

Average interest rate of savings account in America: 0.06%.

Do with this what you want.

Prices as of 4 pm EST, 9/12/22; % YTD

MARKET UPDATE Market has rallied on:

  • Peak inflation

  • Ukraine

  • Resilient U.S. consumer according to MasterCard SpendingPulse

  • But interest rates continue to trend higher at the same time (usually moves in opposite direction)

    CPI year-over-year

    • June 9.1% highest since 1981 (40+ year high)

    • July 8.5%

    • August 8.3% inflation dropped less than expected (8.1% expected)

    Core CPI

    • Up 6.3% versus 5.9% in July

    10yr 3.4% moved from 3.3% to 3.4% after today’s inflation data

    Federal Reserve meeting

    • Next week (Sept. 21)

    • 75-basis point increase in the bag

    • Federal Funds Target (NYSE:TGT) Rate Range 2.25% to 2.5%

    • New expected Range 3.0% to 3.25%

    US$ 109

    C$ 76

    VIX 24

    Crude 87 -0.5%

    • Supply constraints vs. China/U.S. recession fears

    • U.S. Strategic Reserves at lowest level since 1984

    • Versus

    • China 3-day Festival holiday trips fell by 16.7%

    • Tomorrow: U.S. Department of Energy report

    Emmy Awards

    • HBO took home the most Emmy Awards last night

    • 38 wins including Succession and White Lotus, up from 19 wins last year

    • Netflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX) at #2 with 26 wins, down from 44 last year

    Meta (NASDAQ: META)

    • This is the opportunity ahead of Zuck (Value Stock)

    • Close the 10-to-1 gap.

    • According to WSJ:

    • Users cumulatively spending

    • TikTok 197.8 million hours a day

    • Reels 17.6 million hours a day

    Earnings

    • Oracle (NYSE: NYSE:ORCL) - stock flat, building cloud but no EPS upside

    CRYPTO UPDATE Institutional adoption

    • Fidelity considering Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) trading on its brokerage platform

    • Chicago Mercantile Exchange (NASDAQ: CME) launching ether options

    Coffee & NFTs

    • Starbucks’ (NASDAQ: SBUX) new NFT-based loyalty rewards program

    • Built on Polygon (CRYPTO: MATIC) PoS network

    • “Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) Odyssey” - waitlist open

    Digital asset flows

    • Total outflows = $62.7 million

    • 5th consecutive week of outflows

      • 5-week total = $99 million

      • Relatively small

    • Weak volume at 46% of year average

    • Contrarian inflows out of Europe ($7 million)

    • Altcoins minor inflows

    © 2022 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

    Read the original article on Benzinga

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