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TD Cowen raises target on Allstate shares, highlights compelling P/E and growth potential

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 03/09/2024, 13:54
ALL
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On Tuesday, TD Cowen showed confidence in Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) by raising the insurance company's price target from $193.00 to $224.00. The firm maintained a Buy rating on the stock, indicating a positive outlook for the insurer's future performance.

The adjustment in Allstate's price target reflects the firm's analysis of the insurer's earnings potential and market position. According to TD Cowen, Allstate continues to benefit from significant rate increases and exhibits a strong outlook for profitable policy growth. The firm highlighted Allstate's trading at an attractive estimated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the year 2025, which is 10.6 times, compared to its competitor Progressive Corp's (NYSE:PGR) 21.0 times.

TD Cowen remarked on the insurance company's strategic moves, noting Allstate's increased marketing expenditures. This increase could potentially lead to higher-than-expected growth in the number of policies in force (PIF), a key metric for the industry that measures the total number of policies that an insurance company manages at a point in time.

The new price target of $224 is based on a multiple of 12 to 13 times TD Cowen's estimated earnings per share (EPS) for Allstate in 2025. This revision is grounded in the expectation that investors will recognize Allstate's more stable growth prospects in the coming years.

In other recent news, Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) reported significant catastrophe losses in July, including an estimated $226 million due to Hurricane Beryl, resulting in total losses of $542 million.

These losses prompted Keefe, Bruyette & Woods to adjust their Q3 and full-year 2024 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Allstate to $1.61 and $13.10, respectively. Despite this, the firm maintains its Outperform rating on Allstate, predicting its operational strength and potential for recovery.

In recent developments, Allstate was downgraded from Buy to Hold by CFRA, while still maintaining a price target of $200.00. Additionally, Allstate announced the sale of its employer voluntary benefits business to StanCorp Financial for $2 billion, a transaction expected to result in a $600 million profit for the company.

This sale is projected to free up approximately $1.6 billion in capital for reinvestment into the company's core auto and homeowner insurance lines. Analyst firms, including TD Cowen and Piper Sandler, have maintained positive ratings for Allstate, acknowledging the potential benefits from the divestiture. Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) upgraded Allstate from Underweight to Equal Weight, recognizing improvements in auto margins and an anticipated bolstering of capital.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to the optimism by TD Cowen, Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) stands out with its consistent shareholder returns, as reflected by its track record of raising its dividend for 13 consecutive years. This dedication to dividend growth is a testament to the company's financial health and its commitment to rewarding investors. Moreover, Allstate's net income is anticipated to grow this year, which could further solidify its position in the competitive insurance landscape.

InvestingPro data underscores Allstate's robust market presence with a substantial market capitalization of $49.86 billion. The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 17, with a forward P/E based on the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at 16.57, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to earnings. Additionally, Allstate has demonstrated a healthy revenue growth of 10.4% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, signaling strong business performance.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Allstate's financials and strategic positioning, InvestingPro offers additional insights, including 11 analysts who have revised their earnings estimates upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting a positive consensus on the company's earnings trajectory. To explore more InvestingPro Tips and gain a comprehensive understanding of Allstate's financial health and market prospects, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/ALL.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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