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Sunrun shares gain on Jefferies buy rating with $31 target

Published 03/09/2024, 22:08
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On Tuesday, Sunrun Inc . (NASDAQ:RUN), a leading home solar, battery storage, and energy services company, received a positive assessment from a Jefferies analyst, who initiated coverage with a Buy rating and set a price target of $31.

The firm highlighted the company's management outlook on future cash generation, which appears more promising than anticipated. This optimism is attributed to recent updates on investment tax credit adders, which are expected to bolster incremental cash flow.

The analyst noted that while the current cash flow projections are already impressive, there is potential for even greater outcomes than those included in the company's guidance. The anticipation of further monetization opportunities is projected to significantly enhance the value of Sunrun's future projects. The coverage transfer at Jefferies comes with a reiteration of the Buy rating and an increased price target, reaffirming confidence in Sunrun's financial prospects.

Sunrun's strategic focus on investment tax credit adders as a means to improve cash flow has been well-received by the market. The company's ability to capitalize on these incentives is seen as a key driver for its future growth and project valuation. The increased price target from Jefferies suggests a positive outlook for the company's stock performance.

Investors have taken note of the optimistic view from Jefferies, with the Buy rating serving to underscore the firm's belief in Sunrun's potential to outperform in its sector. With the revised price target of $31, Jefferies signals its expectations for Sunrun's shares to climb, reflecting the anticipated increase in project value and cash generation capabilities.

This accomplishment solidifies Sunrun's position as the leading developer of residential solar systems in the United States. The company's recent shift to a storage-first strategy and its innovative subscription-based model have been key factors in its growth, providing customers with over 2.8 million hours of backup power across 659,000 grid outage events.

In addition to these developments, Sunrun has reported a record-setting performance for Q2 of 2024, installing over 116,000 solar and storage systems, marking a storage attachment rate of 54%. This increase in installations has led to a substantial rise in net subscriber value and total value generated during the quarter, reaching $310 million.

Sunrun's strategic growth plans include engaging with former dealers of a competitor that is exiting the market and focusing on the new home segment.

The company has increased its storage installation guidance while narrowing its solar installation predictions for 2024. Despite expecting a volume decline in the first quarter of the following year due to normal seasonality, Sunrun is transitioning to a storage-first approach, a move anticipated to enhance margins and deliver increased value to customers.

InvestingPro Insights

As Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) garners a positive outlook from Jefferies, the InvestingPro platform offers further insights that may interest investors. According to InvestingPro data, Sunrun's market capitalization stands at approximately $4.14 billion. Despite a challenging revenue growth rate, which has seen a decline of 14.84% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company has shown a strong return on its stock price, climbing 22.73% over the past month and 41.23% over the past three months.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while Sunrun operates with a significant debt burden which could impact its ability to make interest payments, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, providing some financial flexibility. Additionally, Sunrun is not expected to be profitable this year, and it does not pay a dividend, indicating that investors are likely banking on capital gains rather than income from their investment. It's worth noting that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting a potential improvement in Sunrun's financial performance.

For those looking to delve deeper, the InvestingPro platform features additional tips that could help in making a more informed investment decision. There are 15 InvestingPro Tips available for Sunrun, each offering valuable insights into the company's financial health and stock performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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