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Spotify price target raised to $460 from $420 by Evercore ISI

Published 28/08/2024, 21:56
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On Wednesday, Evercore ISI updated its price target for Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), increasing it to $460 from the previous $420, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the shares. This adjustment follows a positive assessment of Spotify's position in the streaming market based on recent survey results.

The firm's decision comes after analyzing data from its 12th annual U.S. and 7th annual UK Online Music Surveys, each involving 1,300 respondents. The surveys revealed that Spotify continues to lead the streaming industry in both the U.S. and UK in terms of user base, and this lead is expanding. Spotify has demonstrated a high level of user satisfaction, which remains robust even after a recent price increase.

According to the survey results, Spotify's users exhibit less price sensitivity compared to those of its competitors. Additionally, the platform has experienced a growing attachment rate with Podcasts, indicating a solidifying presence in that market segment as well.

The firm's analyst highlighted Spotify's success, stating, "The global Music & Audio industry has gone Streaming, and the Streaming Winner is Spotify." This sentiment is supported by Spotify's stock performance, which has risen 79% year-to-date, prompting the firm to reiterate its Outperform rating.

Evercore ISI's price target is based on a 25X multiple of projected future cash flows and EBITDA for Spotify, indicating confidence in the company's continued growth and profitability in the streaming industry.

In other recent news, Spotify Technology SA (LON:0SPT) has been the subject of multiple analyst revisions. TD Cowen elevated its stock price target for Spotify from $273 to $356, maintaining a Hold rating. This change was influenced by Spotify's second-quarter results, which met the company's guidance and analyst estimates regarding user numbers and revenue. Particularly noteworthy was Spotify's gross margin, which surpassed both the guidance and TD Cowen's estimates.

Guggenheim also adjusted its price target for Spotify, increasing it to $420 from $400, while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. The firm's decision was influenced by Spotify's reported financial performance, which surpassed expectations with a higher gross margin and strong free cash flow. Spotify's Premium subscriptions also experienced a boost, with a net addition of 7 million users, surpassing the 6 million forecast.

Benchmark raised Spotify's price target to $430 from $405, highlighting Spotify's second-quarter free cash flow performance as a significant turning point. Despite a weaker-than-expected growth in new users, Spotify's pricing strategy and disciplined cost management are expected to sustain its free cash flow momentum.

Rosenblatt Securities adjusted its price target for Spotify, nudging it up to $399.00 from the previous $396.00. The firm's decision followed Spotify's recent financial performance report, revealing revenues of €3,807 million and a substantial increase in premium subscribers exceeding expectations.

Finally, the chief executives of Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META). and Spotify have expressed concerns over the European Union's regulatory environment for open-source artificial intelligence (AI), arguing that Europe's complex and fragmented regulations are stifling innovation and could cause the continent to fall behind in the AI sector. These are recent developments in the world of Spotify Technology SA.

InvestingPro Insights

Following Evercore ISI's optimistic update on Spotify Technology SA, InvestingPro data sheds additional light on the company's financial health and market performance, complementing the firm's analysis. Spotify's market capitalization stands at a robust $67.77 billion, reflecting the scale of its presence in the streaming industry. The company's revenue growth has been impressive, with a 16.5% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This growth is indicative of Spotify's expanding user base and its ability to monetize its services effectively.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Spotify holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that net income is expected to grow this year, which may reassure investors about the company's financial stability and future profitability. Moreover, the fact that 11 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period suggests a consensus view of Spotify's potential to outperform market expectations. For those seeking further insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Spotify's financial performance and stock analysis.

With these metrics in mind, investors can appreciate the reasons behind Evercore ISI's confidence in Spotify's future cash flows and EBITDA. The company's strong market position, user satisfaction, and financial health contribute to a promising outlook for its shares. For a deeper dive into Spotify's investment potential, including more InvestingPro Tips, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/SPOT.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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