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Redburn-Atlantic sees Shopify stock driven by market share growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 17/09/2024, 08:10
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On Tuesday, Redburn-Atlantic revised its rating on Shopify (NYSE: NYSE:SHOP) stock from Neutral to Buy. The firm also set a new price target of $99.00 for the e-commerce platform.


The upgrade comes with a positive outlook on Shopify's future, highlighting its position at the forefront of industry innovation and its robust market share growth potential.


Redburn-Atlantic points out Shopify's user-friendly platform, social media integrations, and the unique Shop Pay feature as key factors in its success.


Shopify's extensive ecosystem and platform capabilities have been recognized as significant contributors to its status as the preferred e-commerce provider for merchants of all sizes. Redburn-Atlantic anticipates that Shopify will secure substantial enterprise merchant wins in 2025, further solidifying its market presence.


The firm's forecast for Shopify includes a 29% net revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2026 and a 40% EBIT margin by 2026.


These projections place Redburn-Atlantic's expectations for Shopify's earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 24% higher than the consensus for the year 2026.


The analyst from Redburn-Atlantic supports the upgrade by emphasizing Shopify's multi-faceted moat, which is characterized by scale, high switching costs, and a robust three-sided network.


These elements, combined with the company's structural growth and market share expansion capabilities, underpin the bullish stance on Shopify's stock.


In other recent news, Shopify's financial performance has been the focal point of various analyst assessments, following a significant 25% year-over-year revenue growth for the second quarter and a notable increase in gross profit.


Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on Shopify shares with a Neutral rating and a price target of $70.00, highlighting the company's substantial potential for margin expansion and consistent Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth. The firm, however, noted that the current market valuation already accounts for potential margin improvements.


Roth/MKM maintained a Buy rating on Shopify, emphasizing the company's potential to scale its operations effectively, while Piper Sandler retained a Neutral stance, focusing on the company's sales and marketing expense growth.


Loop Capital raised its price target to $80, and Mizuho Securities increased its price target to $68, citing the company's strong Q2 performance.


In contrast, Citi reduced its price target to $90 despite maintaining a Buy rating. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also expressed confidence in Shopify's future financial performance by raising the company's price target to $85. These recent developments highlight Shopify's robust growth trajectory and its strategic focus on expanding its market presence.


InvestingPro Insights


As Redburn-Atlantic upgrades Shopify's rating to Buy with a price target of $99.00, the latest data from InvestingPro aligns with the optimistic outlook for the company. Shopify currently holds a market capitalization of $94.97 billion, underscoring its significant position within the e-commerce sector. The company's commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet is evident, as it holds more cash than debt, which is a reassuring sign for investors looking for financial stability in their investments.


Shopify's strategic positioning in the IT Services industry as a prominent player is further reflected in its revenue growth, which has been reported at 23.18% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This growth trajectory is consistent with Redburn-Atlantic's forecast of a 29% net revenue CAGR from 2023 to 2026. Additionally, the company's gross profit margin stands at an impressive 51.07%, indicating efficient operations and a strong ability to convert sales into profits.


InvestingPro Tips highlight that Shopify's net income is expected to grow this year, and analysts predict the company will be profitable, aligning with the positive sentiment expressed by Redburn-Atlantic. While the P/E ratio is currently high at 74.17, indicating a premium market valuation, the company's growth prospects may justify this multiple for growth-oriented investors. For those interested in further insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Shopify, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/SHOP.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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