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Oracle receives Perform rating amid industry trends and capex concerns

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 17/04/2024, 21:40
© Reuters.
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On Wednesday, Oppenheimer initiated coverage on shares of Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), assigning a Perform rating to the enterprise software giant. The firm acknowledged Oracle's potential as a long-term beneficiary of key software industry trends, such as digital transformation and generative AI, which are expected to drive revenue growth and operating leverage for the company.

The analyst pointed out that Oracle's financial guidance for fiscal year 2026 suggests a reacceleration of top-line growth to a double-digit rate. This projection, along with Oracle's solid execution in recent reports, has contributed to the company's stock multiples reaching premium valuations in 2024 when compared to its large-cap peers and the broader market.

Still, Oppenheimer raised concerns about the level of capital expenditures (Capex) required for Oracle to effectively compete with and potentially outpace the larger hyperscale cloud providers. The analyst suggested that the high Capex spending needed could lead to a less cash-efficient business model for Oracle.

This is particularly relevant as the current market expectations, which are reflected in Oracle's 32x 2025 estimated free cash flow (FCF) multiple, assume Capex spending growth will remain flat in fiscal year 2026.

Oracle's stock performance will be closely watched as the company navigates the competitive landscape of the software industry, balancing growth opportunities against the financial implications of increased Capex.

The Perform rating indicates a neutral stance on the stock, suggesting that the firm sees Oracle as fairly valued at its current price, considering both the potential benefits from industry trends and the challenges of higher spending.

InvestingPro Insights

As Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) continues to harness industry trends and navigate its financial strategy, real-time data from InvestingPro offers a snapshot into the company's current standing. Oracle has a robust market capitalization of $326.03 billion, which reflects its significant presence in the software industry.

The company's current P/E ratio stands at 30.7, suggesting a premium valuation which aligns with the Oppenheimer report's assessment of Oracle's stock multiples. Additionally, Oracle's revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 is reported at 9.49%, underlining the company's ability to expand its top-line amidst the competitive landscape.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights Oracle's consistent dividend payouts, having maintained them for 16 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors. Moreover, the company's dividend yield as of the latest data is 1.33%, paired with a notable dividend growth of 25.0% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This demonstrates Oracle's commitment to returning value to shareholders.

For investors seeking further insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available for Oracle, which can be accessed through the InvestingPro platform. These tips provide a deeper dive into the company's financial health and market position. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and discover more about Oracle's performance and investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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