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Needham sees neutral risk-reward for Cognizant stock despite Belcan acquisition

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 28/08/2024, 12:22
© Reuters.
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On Wednesday, Needham maintained its Hold rating on Cognizant Technology Solutions (NASDAQ:CTSH) stock, following the company's recent completion of the Belcan acquisition. The transaction, initially announced in June, aims to bolster Cognizant's capabilities in the internet of things (IoT) and digital engineering sectors.

The closure of the deal prompted Cognizant to update its third quarter and full-year 2024 guidance to account for the financial implications of the acquisition.

The company has indicated that the underlying business outlook remains consistent with projections shared last month. Needham views the acquisition positively, recognizing the benefits of added capabilities and an expanded client base in industries such as aerospace, defense, and space. The deal also brings a significant number of professionals to Cognizant, with approximately 6,500 engineers and technical consultants joining the firm.

Despite these perceived advantages, Needham cautions that an acquisition of this magnitude carries inherent integration risks. The firm notes that these risks could impact the long-term performance and integration of the newly acquired assets into Cognizant's existing operations.

Cognizant's updated guidance reflects the immediate financial contributions of Belcan, yet Needham's stance remains unchanged due to the potential challenges ahead. With Cognizant's stock trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of around 15 times for the fiscal year 2025, Needham continues to see the risk-reward balance as neutral.

The acquisition of Belcan is a strategic move for Cognizant as it seeks to enhance its offerings in the evolving digital landscape. The addition of a substantial workforce and a diverse client portfolio is expected to contribute to Cognizant's growth trajectory. However, the firm's current market valuation and the integration risks associated with such a sizable acquisition have led Needham to reaffirm its Hold rating on the stock.

In other recent news, Cognizant Technology Solutions has seen significant developments following its acquisition of Belcan. The $1.3 billion strategic move has enhanced Cognizant's engineering capabilities and expanded its presence in the aerospace and defense services market.

The acquisition led to an upward revision of Cognizant's 2024 revenue projection, now expected to reach $19,644 million with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.60.

Analyst firms, including RBC Capital, Jefferies, BofA Securities, and TD Cowen, have adjusted their price targets for Cognizant in light of these developments.

Notably, Jefferies reinstated coverage on Cognizant with a Buy rating and a price target of $90, while BofA Securities raised the price target from $75.00 to $78.00, maintaining a Neutral rating.

TD Cowen also held its rating, increasing the price target to $74 from $72. These recent developments reflect the ongoing strategic moves and financial performance of Cognizant.

InvestingPro Insights

In the context of Cognizant Technology Solutions' (NASDAQ:CTSH) recent acquisition of Belcan and Needham's subsequent analysis, it's worth considering additional data and insights. According to InvestingPro, Cognizant has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, having raised its dividend for four consecutive years. This could be a sign of the company's confidence in its long-term financial health and a positive signal to investors looking for stable income streams.

InvestingPro data shows that Cognizant has a market capitalization of $38.24 billion, with a P/E ratio of 17.56, which is slightly higher than the forward P/E multiple of around 15 times for fiscal year 2025 mentioned by Needham. Notably, the company's stock is trading near its 52-week high, at 96.11% of the peak price, reflecting strong recent performance with a price total return of 15.85% over the last three months. This momentum may interest investors who are bullish on the company's market position, especially considering the company's status as a prominent player in the IT Services industry.

For those considering an investment in Cognizant, it's important to note that the company is expected to be profitable this year, with analysts projecting positive earnings. For more detailed analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips on Cognizant, investors can find over 10 tips on the platform, which could further inform their investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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