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Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintains its target on nCino shares

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 28/08/2024, 14:10
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nCino Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) maintained its Outperform rating with a steady price target of $41.00, as confirmed by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. The firm's position followed nCino's second-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations due to increased revenues and reduced operating expenses.

The company's management has increased its operating income and earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting the positive results, although revenue forecasts remain unchanged from the first quarter.

The unchanged revenue guidance indicates a cautious stance for the second half of the year. However, nCino's management is confident about achieving its target of 50% net bookings growth by the fiscal year 2025. This optimism is despite mixed performance across different sectors, with strength in the U.S. market excluding mortgage balancing out the weaker mortgage and international segments.

The analysis by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods suggests that while the quarterly results presented a mixed picture, the overall long-term outlook for nCino remains positive. The firm anticipates a significant acceleration in revenue growth for nCino in the fiscal year 2026. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has advised investors to consider any current market dips in nCino's share price as potential investment opportunities.

In light of the lower than expected expenses, the firm has modestly increased its operating income and EPS estimates for nCino. The reiteration of the Outperform rating and confirmation of the $41 price target reflect Keefe, Bruyette & Woods' ongoing confidence in nCino's financial prospects and strategic positioning in the market.

Cloud-based software provider nCino reported solid financial results for Q2 of fiscal year 2025, surpassing its guidance for subscription and total revenues, as well as non-GAAP operating income.

The company's performance was bolstered by increased buying behavior in the US financial services industry, with the addition of six new customers in its US mortgage business.

The company reported total revenues of $132.4 million for the quarter, with subscription revenues of $113.9 million and non-GAAP operating income reaching $19.3 million. nCino projects Q3 total revenues to be between $136 million to $138 million, and non-GAAP operating income to be between $21 million to $22 million. The full fiscal year 2025 revenues are expected to be between $538.5 million to $544.5 million.

CFO Greg Orenstein anticipates 100% adoption of the mortgage component within two to three years, and CEO Pierre Naude highlighted a shift towards a balanced mix of cross-sell and new logo deals. Despite the lack of specific information about the domestic business mix, these recent developments show nCino's commitment to growth and efficiency.

InvestingPro Insights

As nCino Inc. (NASDAQ:NCNO) continues to navigate the financial landscape, real-time data and expert analysis provide a deeper look into the company's performance and potential. According to InvestingPro, nCino's market capitalization stands at approximately $3.97 billion, indicating its significant presence in the market. Despite not being profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict the company will turn a profit this year, aligning with the optimistic outlook presented by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that nCino operates with a moderate level of debt and generally trades with low price volatility, which may offer some stability to investors. However, it's worth noting that 10 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, suggesting that investors should keep an eye on future earnings reports. With the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months at 14.77%, and a gross profit margin of 60.02%, nCino's financial health appears robust, supporting the company's ambitious target of 50% net bookings growth by fiscal year 2025.

For investors looking for more comprehensive insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed to inform investment decisions. The analysis provided by InvestingPro, including a fair value estimate of $35.72, can serve as a useful benchmark against the current market valuation and the price target set by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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