On Tuesday, ICICI Securities updated its outlook on Hatsun Agro Product Ltd (HTSMF:IN), reducing the price target to INR1,250 from INR1,400 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows the company's recent financial performance and market conditions.
Hatsun Agro reported year-over-year gross and EBITDA margin expansions of 49 basis points and 15 basis points, respectively, despite a relatively high base in the second quarter of FY24. The firm attributes the margin growth primarily to stable milk procurement prices and an improved product mix. Analysts at ICICI Securities anticipate this upward margin trend to continue into the second half of FY25, assuming milk procurement prices remain stable and capacity utilization increases.
The report also highlighted a reduction in inventory on the company's balance sheet as of September 2024, suggesting a liquidation of skimmed milk powder inventory in the first half of FY25. This inventory movement could reflect changes in production strategies or market demand.
Furthermore, Hatsun Agro's net debt-to-equity ratio improved to 1.3x from 1.6x in March 2024, due to the repayment of short-term debt. This financial restructuring indicates a stronger balance sheet and may contribute to the company's ability to invest in future growth.
Despite these positive signs, ICICI Securities has revised its earnings estimates for Hatsun Agro downward for FY25 and FY26 by 10% and 8%, respectively. This revision takes into account the financial results from the first half of FY25. The firm's report concludes with a continued endorsement of Hatsun Agro's stock, citing the company's established brands, distribution network, and direct milk procurement as competitive advantages that underpin its buy recommendation.
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