On Wednesday, Piper Sandler maintained a Neutral rating with an $8.00 price target for Hain Celestial shares (NASDAQ:HAIN). The firm highlighted that Hain Celestial's fiscal year 2024 (F24) top-line growth continues to face challenges, particularly in the Personal Care and Baby Formula segments. These difficulties are expected to persist into the first half of fiscal year 2025 (F1H25).
The company anticipates a stronger performance in the second half of fiscal year 2025 (F2H25), driven by a recovery in infant formula distribution, a shift in promotional timing, and an expanded geographic reach for its Greek Gods products.
Hain Celestial has recently broadened its market presence, gaining distribution in approximately 13,000 additional convenience stores in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024 (F4Q24) and around 6,600 grocery stores at a significant retailer.
In an effort to streamline operations, Hain Celestial is expediting simplification initiatives and advancing additional restructuring actions that were initially planned for fiscal year 2025. This move underscores the company's ongoing transformation process, which is still in its early stages, but shows potential for a more robust position in the long term.
Piper Sandler has adjusted its estimates for Hain Celestial's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for fiscal years 2025 and 2026. The firm's forecast for fiscal year 2025 EBITDA has been reduced from approximately $167 million to $162 million, and the estimate for fiscal year 2026 EBITDA has been lowered from $170 million to $164 million. Despite these revisions, the firm's price target remains set at $8.00, which corresponds to approximately 10 times the projected EBITDA for calendar year 2025.
InvestingPro Insights
As Hain Celestial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) navigates through operational challenges and restructuring efforts, recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. The company's market capitalization stands at $751.99 million, reflecting its current valuation in the market. Despite a negative revenue growth of -3.36% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, there are signs of significant price movement, with a 26.96% return over the last week, which may indicate investor optimism or reactions to recent developments.
InvestingPro Tips suggest that net income is expected to grow this year, which could signal a turning point for Hain Celestial's financial health. Furthermore, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a solid liquidity position that could support its ongoing transformation initiatives. While the company has not been profitable over the last twelve months, analysts predict profitability this year, a potential indicator of improving operations. It's also worth noting that Hain Celestial does not pay a dividend, which may influence investment decisions for income-focused investors.
For a deeper dive into Hain Celestial's performance and potential, InvestingPro offers additional tips, providing investors with a comprehensive analysis to inform their investment strategies. Visit InvestingPro for more insights on Hain Celestial and to access the full list of tips.
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