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Flowers Foods price target raised to $25 from $23, retains Neutral rating

Published 22/08/2024, 21:52
FLO
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On Thursday, Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) saw its price target increased to $25.00, up from the previous target of $23.00, while its stock rating remained Neutral. The adjustment reflects the company's efforts to generate mid-single-digit year-over-year EBITDA through the first half of 2024 and its initiatives aimed at delivering sustainable growth. These initiatives include increasing the Branded Retail mix, optimizing away from home and private label businesses, and implementing cost savings.

The company has been navigating a challenging environment where gross margin tailwinds are expected to moderate. Additionally, the consumption trends for fresh packaged bread remain soft, even though the company is comparing against a period of pricing increases.

Despite these challenges, the analyst noted that while Flowers Foods has made commendable progress, the category unit volumes have deteriorated sequentially.

This indicates that consumers are adjusting to the multiyear pricing strategies that have been implemented, which could affect the demand for the company's products.

Flowers Foods' current strategies and performance reflect the company's commitment to maintaining its market position and financial health in a competitive and changing industry. The revised price target signifies cautious optimism about the company's ability to navigate the headwinds it faces.

In other recent news, Flowers Foods announced a 4.3% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.24 per share, marking its 88th consecutive payout. This development comes on the heels of the company's Q2 financial performance, where it reported an adjusted EBITDA of $143.5 million, surpassing estimates from DA Davidson and consensus predictions.

However, the company's top-line results did not meet expectations. Despite this, Flowers Foods saw an increase in its adjusted gross margin due to moderating costs and reduced product returns. DA Davidson maintained a neutral rating on the company, citing the competitive landscape in fresh bread as a potential risk factor.

Truist Securities also held onto its rating and price target for Flowers Foods, expressing confidence in the company's full-year outlook for 2024. Truist suggested that for Flowers Foods to attract more investor attention, it might need to pursue a significant merger or acquisition.

Lastly, Flowers Foods has temporarily paused the rollout of a new bakery due to distribution transitions in California, with plans to resume by the first quarter of 2022.

InvestingPro Insights

As Flowers Foods (NYSE:FLO) continues to adapt its strategies to maintain market position, recent data from InvestingPro provides a clearer financial picture. With a market capitalization of $4.81 billion, the company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident, having increased its dividend for 10 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 23 straight years. This is a testament to Flowers Foods' financial resilience and dedication to its investors.

The company's forward-looking approach is supported by an expectation of net income growth this year, which aligns with its strategic initiatives. Despite trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 37.46, the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stands at a more modest 18.22. This suggests that the market has high expectations for the company's future earnings. Additionally, Flowers Foods boasts a robust gross profit margin of 49.01%, indicating efficient management of production costs relative to sales.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at Investing.com, providing a comprehensive understanding of Flowers Foods' financial health and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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