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Deutsche Bank lifts Allegheny Technologies target with Buy rating

Published 03/10/2024, 12:32
ATI
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Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) adjusted its outlook on Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:ATI), increasing the price target from $81.00 to $84.00, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the company's stock. The revision reflects the bank's anticipation of Allegheny Technologies' upcoming third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66, which is slightly below the consensus estimate of $0.68.

The bank anticipates a sequential rise in EBITDA due to reduced labor inefficiencies that had adversely affected the second quarter, coupled with higher jet engine volume and Hafnium product shipments. These positive factors are expected to be somewhat balanced by seasonal outages at the company's AA&S division and potential delays in titanium shipments, particularly related to Boeing (NYSE:BA).

Deutsche Bank also suggests that there is a possibility of Allegheny Technologies tightening its 2024 guidance towards the midpoint and potentially providing a more definitive increase to the 2025 EBITDA guidance. The firm's position on ATI remains favorable, citing the company's strong medium-term earnings growth prospects and relatively appealing valuation.

The analyst highlighted that while Allegheny Technologies is attractive for its earnings growth potential, there may be more immediate revision opportunities with other companies, such as CRS and HWM (BMV:HWM). Nonetheless, the bank's current focus on ATI reflects a confidence in the company's performance and market positioning.

In other recent news, Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (ATI) has reported robust financial performance, with its second-quarter revenue reaching nearly $1.1 billion, the highest in a decade. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.60, and adjusted EBITDA was $183 million, exceeding expectations. Additionally, ATI announced new sales commitments of over $4 billion, mainly for high-value nickel products for jet engines, expected to add $100 million per year in incremental revenue.

Furthermore, ATI has authorized a $700 million stock repurchase program, indicating the company's confidence in its long-term financial performance. In addition, ATI plans to redeem the remaining $291 million principal amount of its 3.5% Senior Convertible Notes due in September 2024.

In the wake of these developments, KeyBanc has upgraded the price target for ATI, citing the company's connections to the commercial aerospace and defense sectors, new capacity and capabilities, and potential for free cash flow expansion as contributing factors.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds depth to Deutsche Bank's positive outlook on Allegheny Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:ATI). The company's market capitalization stands at $8.16 billion, with a P/E ratio of 21.73, indicating investor confidence in its earnings potential. ATI's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 reached $4.23 billion, with a modest growth of 2.45% over the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight ATI's strong performance, noting a high return over the last year and trading near its 52-week high. This aligns with Deutsche Bank's optimistic stance on the company's medium-term earnings growth prospects. Additionally, ATI's liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations suggest financial stability, which could support the company's ability to navigate potential challenges in titanium shipments and seasonal outages mentioned in the analyst report.

It's worth noting that ATI has been aggressively buying back shares, which may indicate management's confidence in the company's value and future prospects. This action could potentially support the stock price and align with Deutsche Bank's increased price target.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for ATI, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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