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Dayforce holds at $74 target, no boost from Investor Day

Published 04/11/2024, 19:06
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On Monday, TD Cowen maintained a neutral stance on Dayforce (NYSE:DAY), with a Hold rating and a consistent price target of $74.00. The firm noted that the upcoming Investor Day is not expected to act as a significant positive driver for the company's stock. The rationale behind this outlook is the current market understanding of Dayforce's financial targets and the stock's recent strong performance.

The analyst at TD Cowen elaborated on their position, stating that the Investor Day event is unlikely to offer new insights that could elevate the stock's value, considering that investors are already acquainted with the company's goals. Additionally, the analyst suggested that the stock has already reflected these expectations in its recent market activity.

Looking ahead, TD Cowen anticipates that Dayforce could potentially set a positive tone for its stock if it provides a clear roadmap for achieving its long-term targets by the fiscal year 34. The firm believes that setting such a target could lead to realistic expectations among investors regarding the company's future performance.

The reiterated Hold rating implies that TD Cowen advises investors to maintain their current positions in Dayforce shares without making additional investments. The $74.00 price target suggests that the firm does not foresee significant movement in the stock's price in the near term.

In summary, TD Cowen's analysis indicates that Dayforce's Investor Day may not bring about substantial changes in investor sentiment or stock valuation. The company's ability to meet its long-term goals by the fiscal year 34 is seen as a potential factor that could influence future expectations and stock performance.

In other recent news, Dayforce, Inc. reported a 16.6% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the third quarter, surpassing consensus expectations. This growth was partially fueled by $45.6 million in float revenue. The company's adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $126 million, translating to a margin of 28.7%, slightly above consensus estimates. Dayforce also announced amendments to its corporate bylaws and a change in its fiscal year end, as well as a plan to repurchase up to $500 million of its common stock. In addition, Stephen H. Holdridge was appointed as President and Chief Operating Officer, while Christopher R. Armstrong transitioned to the role of Executive Vice President, Chief Customer Officer.

BMO Capital Markets updated its stance on Dayforce, increasing the price target to $80, while JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) raised its price target for Dayforce to $63. TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on Dayforce shares, adjusting the price target to $62.00, and KeyBanc initiated coverage on Dayforce, setting an Overweight rating and a price target of $70.00.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds context to TD Cowen's analysis of Dayforce (NYSE:DAY). The company's market cap stands at $11.86 billion, with a P/E ratio of 223.63, indicating a high valuation relative to current earnings. This aligns with TD Cowen's cautious stance on the stock's potential for significant near-term appreciation.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Dayforce's impressive gross profit margins, which are reflected in the latest data showing a gross profit margin of 49.65% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This strength in profitability could support the company's long-term targets that TD Cowen mentions.

Additionally, Dayforce has shown strong recent performance, with a 21.61% price return over the past month and a 41.33% return over the last three months. This robust stock performance corroborates TD Cowen's observation about the stock's recent strength and may explain why the upcoming Investor Day is not expected to be a major catalyst.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 19 additional tips for Dayforce, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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