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Citi cautious on BioMarin stock as Voxzogo misses, growth outlook moderates

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 30/10/2024, 10:16
BMRN
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On Wednesday, Citi adjusted its stance on BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:BMRN) stock, lowering the price target to $81 from $93, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. The revision follows the company's third quarter financial report, which showed a top- and bottom-line beat. BioMarin also slightly increased its full-year 2024 guidance for key financial metrics, including revenues, non-GAAP operating margins, and non-GAAP EPS.

BioMarin's recent financial results revealed that although Voxzogo sales did not meet expectations, the shortfall was balanced by stronger performance from other products. In particular, the company's enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) business, featuring products like Aldurazyme and Naglazyme, delivered better-than-expected outcomes. These results, along with the updated guidance, reflect the discussions from BioMarin's recent Investor Day.

The Investor Day highlighted BioMarin's strategic emphasis on accelerating profitability. According to the report, this approach positions BioMarin favorably as a potential value play in contrast to the typical biotech company profile. However, the updated price target suggests that the anticipated growth rates for the mid- to long-term might be more conservative, though still significant.

BioMarin's focus appears to be on sustainable profitability rather than aggressive growth, as evidenced by the company's financial strategies and recent performance in its ERT business. The adjustments to the company's financial outlook suggest a careful balance between managing expectations and capitalizing on its current portfolio of therapies.

In summary, Citi's revised price target for BioMarin reflects a view that the company is on a path to increased profitability, with a stable but moderate growth trajectory. This outlook is based on recent financial results and the company's strategic focus as presented during its Investor Day.

In other recent news, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. received an Outperform rating from Raymond James, reflecting optimism for the company's prospects despite anticipated market challenges. The firm also set a price target at $79.00. BioMarin's key growth product, Voxzogo, is expected to face stiff competition in the achondroplasia market.

However, Raymond James believes the company's share price has reached its lowest point. In addition, BioMarin reported record total revenue of $712 million and adjusted its full-year revenue guidance to between $2.75 billion and $2.825 billion.

Several analyst firms have adjusted their outlooks for BioMarin. Barclays (LON:BARC) lowered the price target to $86, Scotiabank to $78, and Truist Securities to $90, while RBC Capital reduced the price target to $85. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Truist Securities, however, maintain a Buy rating on BioMarin, citing confidence in the company's ability to achieve its revenue goal of $4 billion and non-GAAP operating margins in the low-to-mid 40% range by 2027.

Recent developments also include Phase 3 data from competitor Ascendis Pharma (NASDAQ:ASND) regarding its TransCon CNP treatment for achondroplasia, a bone growth disorder. Despite this, BioMarin continues to lead in clinical development for hypochondroplasia and other short stature diseases. These are the recent developments in BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

InvestingPro Insights

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s financial landscape, as revealed by InvestingPro data, offers additional context to Citi's analysis. The company's market capitalization stands at $13.31 billion, with a P/E ratio of 51.06, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings. This aligns with BioMarin's focus on profitability, as highlighted in the article.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that BioMarin is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, with a PEG ratio of 0.34 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This metric supports the notion of BioMarin as a potential value play in the biotech sector, as mentioned in the article. Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 15.83% over the same period demonstrates the strength of its product portfolio, including the ERT business that outperformed expectations.

It's worth noting that BioMarin is trading near its 52-week low, which could present an opportunity for investors who believe in the company's long-term strategy. The InvestingPro Fair Value of $82.72 suggests potential upside from the current trading price, aligning with Citi's revised target of $81.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for BioMarin, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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