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Cheesecake Factory eyes expansion; shares maintain hold rating at Deutsche Bank

Published 28/08/2024, 14:26
CAKE
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On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) reiterated its Hold rating on Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) with a consistent price target of $38.00. Following investor meetings with the company's top executives, the firm highlighted Cheesecake Factory's expectations for margin expansion by 2025, largely driven by labor efficiencies affecting the profit and loss statement. The company expressed confidence in achieving long-term restaurant margins of approximately 16%.

The discussions with Cheesecake Factory's President David Gordon, CFO Matt Clark, and other financial executives centered on the company's growth strategy and margin outlook. Cheesecake Factory is optimistic about the growth prospects of its North Italia and Flower Child brands and plans a cautious approach to expanding other concepts under the Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) umbrella.

The company also anticipates that its same-store sales (SSS) will remain stable, even in a market with increased promotional activities. This stability is attributed to the Cheesecake Factory's unique market positioning and its appeal to a higher-income customer base, which tends to be less driven by discount-seeking behavior.

Cheesecake Factory's strategy focuses on leveraging its experiential brand and differentiated customer demographic to sustain sales. The management team's confidence in the company's direction was evident during the investor meetings, as they discussed their methodical approach to scaling and growth targets.

In summary, Deutsche Bank's outlook for Cheesecake Factory remains unchanged, with the company's long-term financial goals and market positioning being key points of discussion in recent investor meetings. Cheesecake Factory's management team continues to work towards margin improvement and measured growth across its restaurant brands.

In other recent news, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated posted a strong performance in its second quarter fiscal 2024 earnings. The company reported a 24% year-over-year growth in adjusted earnings per share and a 1.4% increase in comparable restaurant sales. Following these results, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Cheesecake Factory shares, raising the price target to $39 from $37, while maintaining a neutral stance on the stock.

The company also provided third-quarter revenue guidance for 2024, which was about 2% below the consensus estimates. Despite being slightly lower than anticipated, this forecast aligns with current industry data. The Cheesecake Factory's operational improvement is evident in its recent performance, with the company benefiting from stability and a return to normalcy in its restaurant operations.

Further, the company has ambitious expansion plans, aiming to open 22 new locations in 2024. The brand also highlighted effective staff engagement and retention strategies, contributing to its success. The company anticipates total revenues for fiscal 2024 to be around $3.58 billion, with a net income margin between 4.3% and 4.4% for the full year. These recent developments offer a glimpse into the company's current financial health and future plans.

InvestingPro Insights

As Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) focuses on margin expansion and growth prospects, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro provide a valuable perspective on the company's financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro, Cheesecake Factory is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, with an adjusted P/E ratio of 13.79 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This suggests that the company may be undervalued considering its earnings trajectory.

Moreover, Cheesecake Factory's stock price movements have been quite volatile, yet the company is trading near its 52-week high, indicating strong investor confidence. With a market capitalization of $2.06 billion and a revenue growth of 2.74% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company demonstrates a steady financial performance. Additionally, the gross profit margin stands at a healthy 41.48%, and the company has been profitable over the last twelve months, aligning with the management's positive outlook discussed in the investor meetings.

For those interested in deeper analysis, there are over 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can further guide investment decisions. To explore these tips and more detailed metrics, visit InvestingPro's dedicated page for Cheesecake Factory at https://www.investing.com/pro/CAKE.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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