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Canaccord holds Buy on Udemy shares, cautious on FY25 growth amid upmarket shift

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 30/10/2024, 15:56
UDMY
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On Wednesday, Canaccord Genuity maintained its Buy rating and a $12.00 price target for Udemy Inc (NASDAQ:UDMY), following the company's third-quarter earnings report. Udemy's performance exceeded expectations in terms of revenue and profitability, driven by strong contributions from the professional and financial services, manufacturing, technology, and retail sectors. However, these gains were somewhat balanced by weaker performance in the EMEA region.

The company has also launched new AI-powered tools aimed at assisting businesses in creating more tailored learning programs on a larger scale. Despite a Q4 revenue forecast that fell slightly short of consensus, the adjusted EBITDA outlook was more positive than anticipated. Udemy has identified $50 million in annualized structural cost savings, a significant increase from the previously estimated $25 million.

Management indicated that the ongoing shift of Enterprise resources towards more lucrative market segments is expected to result in subdued growth in FY25. This strategic realignment is part of Udemy's commitment to focusing on high-return-on-investment initiatives and improving operational efficiency. The company anticipates that these efforts will allow it to achieve its profitability goals, despite the anticipated short-term growth challenges during this period of transition.

The adjustment process for Udemy's strategic shift is expected to span several quarters, but according to Canaccord Genuity, these changes are strategically positioning the company to capitalize on the increasing demand for tools that enable large enterprises to continually improve their workforce skills. The firm believes that Udemy's stock is particularly appealing to patient investors at the current price, given the potential for margin improvement.

In other recent news, Udemy, the global online learning platform, has announced a restructuring plan set to impact around 280 employees globally. This strategic move is aimed at enhancing operational efficiencies within the company. The plan involves rehiring about half of the impacted roles in lower-cost areas, with the company expecting to incur restructuring charges between $16 million and $19 million.

In terms of financial performance, Udemy reported a 9% increase in its second quarter 2024 revenue, totaling $194 million, and a 17% year-over-year rise in annual recurring revenue, reaching nearly $500 million. However, the company revised its full-year revenue guidance to $779 million due to lower consumer revenue expectations and impacts from foreign exchange rates.

On the analysts' front, Citi reaffirmed its positive stance on Udemy, maintaining a Buy rating and emphasizing the company's progress toward its profit and free cash flow goals. At the same time, Cantor Fitzgerald adjusted Udemy's price target down to $18.00 from $20.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock.

In a strategic move, Udemy announced the appointment of its co-founder Eren Bali as the new Chief Technology Officer. The company is also shifting its focus towards large enterprise customers, a move that management believes will drive significant growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Udemy's recent financial performance and strategic initiatives align with several key insights from InvestingPro. The company's impressive gross profit margins, as highlighted by InvestingPro Tips, are evident in the reported 59.96% gross profit margin for the last twelve months. This strong margin supports Udemy's ability to invest in new AI-powered tools and strategic realignment.

Despite the company's current unprofitability, InvestingPro Data shows a revenue growth of 12.83% over the last twelve months, reaching $765.47 million. This growth, coupled with the company's cost-saving measures, could pave the way for future profitability, as suggested by analysts who predict the company will be profitable this year.

The stock's recent strong return of 13.71% over the last month, as reported by InvestingPro, may reflect investor optimism about Udemy's strategic shifts and cost-saving initiatives. However, potential investors should note that the stock price movements are quite volatile, an important consideration given the company's ongoing transition period.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for Udemy, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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