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Campbell Soup stock rating upgraded by Bernstein SocGen, citing 'volumes recovery'

Published 07/10/2024, 12:36
CPB
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On Monday, Campbell Soup Company (NASDAQ:NYSE:CPB) received an upgrade in its stock rating from an analyst at Bernstein SocGen Group. The analyst shifted the rating from Market Perform to Outperform and increased the price target to $58.00, up from the previous target of $55.00. The upgrade comes with an optimistic view of the company's alignment with the dietary needs of GLP-1 drug users.

The analyst highlighted that Campbell Soup was the first to acknowledge the impact of GLP-1 drugs on the sales of packaged foods. The company's product portfolio, which includes soups and other packaged foods, is now considered to be well-suited for consumers using these drugs.

Soup sales, which had been declining for many years before the pandemic, are now showing signs of recovery. This trend is thought to be partly due to GLP-1 patients favoring soup as a meal option because it allows for easier consumption of protein and calories when appetite is low.

Additionally, the analyst pointed out that Campbell's premium cookies, such as those under the Pepperidge Farm brand, could see a boost from GLP-1 patients who may opt for higher-quality treats consumed less frequently. Goldfish crackers have also been performing strongly. The company's strategy to target an older consumer base with new, spicier flavors is paying off, as the baked snack is perceived as a healthier option.

Rao's pasta sauces have also been highlighted as a success story within Campbell's portfolio. The brand is recognized for its premium, authentic ingredients and appeals to consumers who appreciate the convenience of cooking with ready-made products that still offer the experience of a home-cooked meal.

The analyst's upgrade reflects a positive outlook on Campbell Soup's strategic positioning and product offerings, which are believed to be in line with evolving consumer preferences, especially among those affected by GLP-1 drugs.

In other recent news, Campbell Soup Company has been at the center of several significant developments. The food products manufacturer successfully raised $1.15 billion through the offering of senior unsecured notes, a move reflecting strategic financial planning.

The company's fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2024 exceeded expectations, with improved volume across divisions and double-digit growth in earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) and earnings per share (EPS). This performance was largely influenced by the acquisition of Sovos Brands.

Several analyst firms have adjusted their outlook on Campbell Soup. DA Davidson downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral, while Argus upgraded the stock from Hold to Buy, setting a new price target of $59. Other firms like RBC Capital, TD Cowen, and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) adjusted their price targets to $51, while Stifel maintained a steady target of $50.

Despite concerns of a potential strike by US dockworkers, Campbell Soup appears to be well-prepared, according to Piper Sandler.

The company also declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.37 per share, underscoring its commitment to shareholder value. Looking ahead, Campbell Soup provided optimistic guidance for fiscal year 2025, projecting net sales growth of approximately 9% to 11%, adjusted EBIT growth of 9% to 11%, and an increase in adjusted earnings per share of 1% to 4%.

InvestingPro Insights

Campbell Soup Company's recent upgrade by Bernstein SocGen Group aligns with several key financial metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $14.12 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the packaged food industry. Campbell's revenue growth of 2.98% over the last twelve months, coupled with a robust quarterly revenue growth of 10.88% in Q4 2024, supports the analyst's optimistic view on the company's performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Campbell's strong dividend history, with the company maintaining dividend payments for 30 consecutive years. This consistency in shareholder returns is further evidenced by the current dividend yield of 3.13%, which may be attractive to income-focused investors. Additionally, InvestingPro notes that Campbell's stock price is near its 52-week high, trading at 89.67% of that peak, which aligns with the positive sentiment expressed in the analyst upgrade.

The company's P/E ratio (adjusted) of 16.22 suggests a reasonable valuation, especially considering the potential growth opportunities identified in the article, such as the alignment with GLP-1 drug users' dietary needs and the success of premium brands like Pepperidge Farm and Rao's.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 17 additional tips for Campbell Soup Company, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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