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BMO upbeat on Dayforce stock, cites ambitious growth targets

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/06/2024, 12:46
DAY
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital maintained a positive outlook on Dayforce (NYSE: DAY) stock, reiterating an Outperform rating and a $75.00 price target. The firm's assessment follows Dayforce's announcement of its ambitious growth targets, aiming for a $5 billion revenue and $1 billion in free cash flow (FCF) within an approximate seven-year period. This goal marks a significant increase from their current $2 billion revenue target.

Dayforce's management has outlined a strategy that includes leveraging new client acquisition opportunities and an expanding partner ecosystem. The company's move to capture more of the market is supported by its plans to balance new client revenue with expansions, particularly as it pushes into upmarket sectors and broadens its human capital management (HCM) product offerings.

The company also sees potential for improved margins, citing possible gains in recurring gross margin and operational expense leverage among other factors. These improvements are part of the strategic initiatives that Dayforce believes will drive its financial performance forward.

BMO Capital's stance indicates confidence in Dayforce's ability to execute its growth plan. The analyst highlighted the material upside for the stock should the company meet its objectives, signaling a potentially strong performance in the years ahead.

In summary, Dayforce's targeted growth path and strategic focus on both new and existing client revenue, coupled with an emphasis on margin improvement, form the basis of BMO Capital's continued endorsement of the company's stock at the current price target.

In other recent news, financial analysis firms have adjusted their outlooks on Dayforce. CFRA downgraded Dayforce stock from Buy to Hold, citing concerns about a potential slowdown in revenue growth and relatively high leverage.

The firm revised the price target to $53.00, based on a valuation of 26.5 times its 2025 earnings per share (EPS) forecast. Despite this, CFRA noted the potential of new products and the company's expansion into international markets, forecasting a sales growth of 15% in 2024 and 13% in 2025.

Simultaneously, BMO Capital Markets revised its price target for Dayforce downward to $75, but maintained an Outperform rating. The firm highlighted the company's large global Total Addressable Market (TAM) and momentum with enterprises and partners as reasons for the positive rating. The new price target reflects a more cautious valuation of Dayforce's shares in the near term.

Mizuho Securities also adjusted its price target for Dayforce to $80, while reaffirming its Buy rating. The firm's FY24 recurring revenue forecast for Dayforce remains at $1,166 million, and it increased its total revenue projection to $1,733 million.

Mizuho noted that Dayforce is well-positioned to sustain over 20% growth in its recurring revenue, excluding float. These recent adjustments highlight the evolving financial landscape and ongoing evaluation of Dayforce's performance by market analysts.

InvestingPro Insights

With Dayforce (NYSE: DAY) setting ambitious targets, real-time data from InvestingPro provides a snapshot of the company's financial health and market position. As of the latest metrics, Dayforce boasts a robust market capitalization of $8 billion, reflecting investor confidence in its growth potential. The company's impressive gross profit margin stands at 48.37%, underscoring its efficiency in managing costs relative to revenue. This is particularly relevant given Dayforce's strategic initiatives aimed at margin improvement and operational expense leverage, as mentioned in BMO Capital's analysis.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Dayforce is expected to see net income growth this year, aligning with its forward-looking growth strategy. Additionally, the company operates with a moderate level of debt, which could provide the necessary financial flexibility to pursue its ambitious $5 billion revenue goal. For investors seeking detailed analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, there are 13 more insights available, which could offer a deeper understanding of the nuances behind Dayforce's financial journey.

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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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