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Barclays maintains overweight rating on Tyson shares, target at $72

Published 05/09/2024, 19:54
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On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) reaffirmed its positive outlook on Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE:TSN), maintaining an Overweight rating and a $72.00 price target for the stock. The firm's stance is supported by Tyson's ongoing internal improvements and the anticipated resilience of its chicken, pork, and prepared foods segments, despite the persistent challenges in the U.S. Beef sector.

Tyson's comprehensive strategy, focusing on multiple proteins and distribution channels, has been noted as a key strength, particularly as chicken remains the company's top performer. The shift of consumer preference from beef to chicken and pork due to high beef prices is expected to balance some of the losses in the beef segment.

Tyson has also been investing in international facilities over the past three years, which are now positively impacting the company's financial results.

In the beef category, Tyson has experienced strong demand and has implemented promotional strategies to attract consumers. The company is also improving efficiency and product mix to enhance profitability, without planning for beef plant closures.

Tyson's recent closure of a plant in Iowa is seen as an opportunity to improve pork capacity utilization and asset management, similar to previous shutdowns in the chicken segment.

Efficiency gains in chicken production, such as a 360 basis point improvement in hatchability and a 50 basis point reduction in mortality, have contributed to the segment's profitability. These advancements, coupled with lower grain costs and strong consumer demand, position Tyson for further progress.

Management has expressed confidence in the growth potential of the foodservice business, attributing it to capacity expansion and efficiency projects. Tyson's prepared foods segment has outperformed peers in volume growth, and the company anticipates maintaining this upward trend.

Regarding capital allocation, Tyson is committed to investing in growth opportunities, as evidenced by recent projects such as the new Bacon facility in Kentucky, a value-added chicken plant in Virginia, and international expansion.

The company plans to streamline operations and enhance cash flow, with capital expenditures expected to align with the previously guided range of $1.2-$1.3 billion. Tyson also remains focused on maintaining its investment-grade rating and improving shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases when priced appropriately.

In other recent news, Tyson Foods has reported a robust third quarter with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, surpassing expectations of $0.67, and revenue of $13.35 billion, exceeding projections of $13.21 billion. This strong financial performance has led to revisions in stock targets by BMO Capital Markets and Citi. BMO raised its price target to $60, maintaining a Market Perform rating, while Citi increased its target to $63, keeping a Neutral rating.

Additionally, Tyson Foods announced the appointment of Curt Calaway as its new Chief Financial Officer. Calaway, a veteran in the finance sector, has been with Tyson Foods since 2006 and previously served as the interim CFO.

The company's Chicken, International, and Pork segments were significant contributors to the positive earnings, offsetting larger losses in the Beef division. Tyson Foods also updated its operating profit guidance for fiscal year 2024, hinting at a potential slowdown in profits for the fourth fiscal quarter.

InvestingPro Insights

Barclays' positive outlook on Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE:TSN) aligns with several key metrics and InvestingPro Tips that highlight the company's current standing and future potential. With a market capitalization of $23.27 billion and a dividend yield of 2.98%, Tyson Foods demonstrates financial robustness and a commitment to shareholder returns. The company's dedication to increasing dividends is underscored by its track record of raising them for 11 consecutive years, and maintaining payments for an impressive 50 consecutive years.

While Tyson Foods has faced challenges, reflected in a negative adjusted P/E ratio of -85.38, the company is expected to see net income growth this year, according to InvestingPro Tips. This forecast is supported by Tyson's strong revenue of $53.09 billion over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, despite a slight revenue decline of 0.33% in the same period. The company's strategic investments and efficiency improvements may well underpin a return to profitability, as anticipated by analysts.

Investors may also take note of Tyson's recent performance, with a robust 17.44% price total return over the last three months, and a price nearing its 52-week high, at 98.87% of the peak. For those considering the long-term health of Tyson Foods, the company's liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations is a reassuring InvestingPro Tip that speaks to financial stability. For additional insights and tips, there are more available on the InvestingPro platform for Tyson Foods.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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