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Amphenol downgraded amid potential market shrinkage

Published 04/09/2024, 12:32
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH), shifting the rating from Buy to Neutral. The firm also revised the stock's price target downward to $71 from the previous $80. This change follows insights that suggest possible design alterations in GB200-based systems, which could diminish the available market for Amphenol's products.

The analyst from BofA Securities indicated that ongoing checks point to potential design changes intended to address overheating issues in systems utilizing NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)'s GB200 NVL36- and NVL72-based configurations. These modifications could significantly affect Amphenol's inclusion in these configurations.

One proposed solution to the overheating problem involves reducing system performance to decrease heat production. If implemented, this could lead to Amphenol's flyover cables being substituted with a printed circuit board (PCB), thereby altering the total addressable market for the company's offerings.

The report emphasizes the fluidity of the design changes but notes the substantial impact they could have on Amphenol's market prospects. The downgrade to Neutral reflects a cautious stance as the firm awaits further information on design adjustments that could influence Amphenol's market trajectory.

In other recent news, Amphenol Corporation reported record Q2 sales of $3.610 billion, marking an 18% increase year-over-year, largely driven by growth in the artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and IT datacom markets. The company also announced the completion of the acquisition of Lutze U.S. and that it has entered into an agreement to acquire CommScope's Outdoor Wireless Networks segment for $2.1 billion. Despite a 17% decline in the broadband market, the company forecasts Q3 sales between $3.7 billion and $3.8 billion.

TD Cowen significantly adjusted Amphenol's price target, lowering it to $60.00 from the previous target of $115.00 but maintained a Hold rating. Similarly, Baird reduced the price target from $72.00 to $70.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating. In contrast, Truist Securities increased the price target for Amphenol to $76.00 from the previous $74.50, maintaining a Buy rating.

Analysts from both firms highlighted strong results in key segments and expressed confidence in the company's growth trajectory. Truist Securities, in particular, noted Amphenol's exceptional performance and strategic acquisitions as key drivers of its success. These recent developments have also led to a 33% increase in orders, reaching a record $4.061 billion.

InvestingPro Insights

As Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH) navigates the uncertainty surrounding potential design changes in GB200-based systems, investors and analysts are closely monitoring the company's financial metrics and market position. According to InvestingPro, Amphenol has a history of consistent dividend growth, having raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years, which underlines its commitment to shareholder returns. Moreover, the company has maintained dividend payments for 20 consecutive years, showcasing its financial stability and reliability.

From a valuation standpoint, Amphenol is currently trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 35.56, suggesting that investors have high expectations for the company's future earnings. This is further reflected by the 12 analysts who have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a positive outlook on the company's profitability. However, the company's PEG ratio, standing at 4.17 as of the last twelve months ending Q2 2024, suggests that its high P/E ratio may not be in line with near-term earnings growth expectations.

InvestingPro data also reveals that Amphenol's market capitalization stands at $74.56 billion, with a solid revenue growth of 6.61% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This growth trajectory is consistent with the company's recent report of record Q2 sales and a 33% increase in orders. For investors seeking more detailed analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, they can find a total of 14 tips, including insights into Amphenol's liquidity and debt levels, on the dedicated InvestingPro page: https://www.investing.com/pro/APH.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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