💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

OPEC sees lower 2014 oil demand growth, pumps more

Published 08/08/2014, 13:32
OPEC sees lower 2014 oil demand growth, pumps more

By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) - OPEC trimmed its 2014 global oil demand growth forecast for a second consecutive month and said the group managed to increase output in July despite violence in Iraq and Libya, pointing to more comfortable global supplies.

In a monthly report on Friday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries trimmed its projection for growth in global demand this year to 1.10 million barrels per day (bpd), down 30,000 bpd, citing weaker-than-expected U.S. demand.

"The slow and uneven global recovery continues," OPEC said in the report. In 2014, "U.S. oil demand remains strongly dependent on the development of the U.S. economy, however the risk is skewed to the downside compared to the previous month."

OPEC's report points to even less pressure on supplies in 2015 as partly due to the U.S. shale boom the need for OPEC crude will fall, despite faster growth in global demand. The report made no change to 2015's global demand forecast.

This year, the lower demand forecast and a higher expectation for non-OPEC supply will reduce the forecast global demand for OPEC crude to 29.61 million bpd, down 70,000 bpd from the previous estimate, OPEC said. It left next year's forecast unchanged at 29.36 million bpd.

The report also showed OPEC's crude output in July rose. According to secondary sources cited by the report, output increased by 170,000 bpd to 29.91 million bpd, led by higher supply in Libya and Saudi Arabia.

That puts OPEC output close to the group's target of 30 million bpd. Protests and unrest in Libya, Western sanctions on Iran and fighting in Iraq took their toll on production in earlier months, keeping OPEC output sometimes below the target.

Although Iraq's northern exports have been disrupted since March, southern exports which are its main outlet to world markets have not been affected by fighting in other parts of the country. The prospect of a further rise in Libya looks uncertain given worsening fighting, say analysts.

World oil demand will rise by 1.21 million bpd in 2015, OPEC said, unchanged from last month. OPEC trimmed its forecast of next year's growth in non-OPEC supply by about 40,000 bpd but still expects an expansion of 1.27 million bpd, with the United States leading the way.

© Reuters. A general view of Libya's Hariga port in Tobruk, east of Benghazi

Two other reports on global supply and demand are due next Tuesday, from the International Energy Agency which advises industrialised countries, and the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration.

(Reporting by Alex Lawler; editing by Jason Neely)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.