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UPS stock upgrade—BMO sees inflation easing and valuation upside

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/12/2024, 08:56
© Reuters.
UPS
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its stance on UPS (NYSE:UPS), upgrading the stock from Market Perform to Outperform. The firm, however, reduced the price target to $150 from $155. This change in rating accompanies the release of BMO's 2025 Outlook Report, which presents a forward-looking analysis of the company.

Currently trading near its 52-week low of $123.12, InvestingPro analysis suggests UPS is slightly undervalued, with 11 analysts recently revising their earnings expectations downward.

The report by BMO acknowledges ongoing concerns about the future of UPS's Domestic operating margins. Despite these concerns, BMO sees several factors that could benefit the company in the near term. These include cyclical tailwinds that could drive growth, moderation in the inflationary pressures affecting unit costs, and the anticipated positive effects from cost reduction initiatives that UPS has implemented.

With annual revenue of $90.69 billion and a healthy gross profit margin of 21.7%, InvestingPro data reveals UPS maintains a strong market position while offering a notable 5.07% dividend yield to shareholders.

BMO also notes that the current valuation of UPS shares presents a favorable risk/reward scenario for investors. This assessment suggests that, in the analyst's view, the market may not have fully appreciated the potential upsides for UPS, given the price at which the stock is trading.

The revision in the price target to $150, down from $155, reflects a recalibration of expectations while still indicating a potential upside from the current market price. BMO's analysis points to the possibility that, despite the price target cut, UPS could offer a worthwhile investment opportunity based on the factors outlined in their report.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor UPS's performance closely in the coming months, particularly in relation to the aspects highlighted by BMO Capital Markets, such as cost management and the impact of broader economic trends on the company's financial health.

In other recent news, United Parcel Service Inc.

(NYSE:UPS) has seen significant developments. UPS has agreed to a $45 million settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over charges that the company materially misrepresented its earnings in relation to the valuation of its UPS Freight business unit.

In terms of performance, UPS reported a 5.6% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenue, reaching $22.2 billion in the third quarter, and a 22.8% rise in consolidated operating profit to $2 billion. Analyst firms have provided varying assessments, with TD Cowen maintaining a hold rating and Jefferies raising its price target to $160, citing strong third-quarter results. However, Barclays (LON:BARC) reaffirmed its Underweight rating due to potential challenges.

The company also announced the acquisition of Frigo-Trans to enhance its healthcare logistics capabilities. Furthermore, UPS updated its full-year 2024 earnings guidance, suggesting higher margin expectations but projecting lower revenue. These are the recent developments at UPS.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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