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Stifel maintains Buy on National Retail Properties, target at $48.25

Published 20/11/2024, 19:10
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On Wednesday, Stifel reaffirmed its Buy rating on National Retail Properties (NYSE:NNN), with a steady price target of $48.25. The firm's optimism is rooted in the anticipated resolution of issues with Frisch's and Badcock, which are expected to contribute positively to the company’s performance. National Retail Properties expressed confidence in resolving these matters, which could lead to greater clarity and potential upside for the investors.

The company anticipates that a majority of the properties, especially those from Badcock, will return to its portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2024. The growing demand for second-generation space among retailers bolsters the company's confidence in strong re-leasing trends that could serve as a beneficial tailwind. Although the resolution with Frisch's may require additional time, National Retail Properties is actively working to reclaim some of these spaces.

The company's proactive approach to these issues is seen as a strategic move to strengthen its position in the market. With the expected return of properties and the favorable market conditions for second-generation retail spaces, National Retail Properties is poised to capitalize on these developments.

Looking ahead, the company's management is optimistic about the future, suggesting that the financial results for 2025 have the potential to surpass current expectations on Wall Street. This positive outlook is predicated on the successful resolution of the ongoing property issues and the anticipated benefits of the re-leasing trends.

In other recent news, National Retail Properties has reported a strong third-quarter performance, raising its acquisition guidance midpoint by 22% to $550 million and tightening its core FFO per share outlook for 2024 to $3.28 to $3.32. This uptick was attributed to strategic portfolio management and robust acquisition activity. The company maintained a high occupancy rate of 99.3% across its 3,549 properties, invested $113 million in eight new properties, and sold nine properties for $20 million. Despite credit issues with tenants Badcock Furniture and Frisch's, National Retail Properties remains optimistic about its business model.

Baird financial analysts adjusted their price target on shares of National Retail Properties, elevating it to $45.00 from the previous target of $44.00, maintaining a Neutral stance on the stock. The firm expects the company to manage underperforming tenants effectively, citing the company's strategic focus on maintaining low rent costs. The forecast for National Retail Properties' earnings growth in the next year is conservative, with expectations set for a modest increase.

InvestingPro Insights

National Retail Properties' (NYSE:NNN) financial health and dividend track record align well with the positive outlook presented in the article. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts a market capitalization of $8.18 billion and an impressive dividend yield of 5.34%. This high yield is supported by the company's consistent dividend growth, with an InvestingPro Tip highlighting that NNN has raised its dividend for 35 consecutive years.

The company's strong financial position is further evidenced by its robust operating income margin of 62.83% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This high profitability margin suggests that National Retail Properties is well-positioned to navigate the property resolutions mentioned in the article and potentially exceed Wall Street expectations for 2025.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a solid financial foundation that could support its strategic moves in reclaiming and re-leasing properties.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights, with 13 more tips available for National Retail Properties on the platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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