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Stifel lifts MongoDB stock target, buy rating on AI growth prospects

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/12/2024, 14:50
MDB
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On Monday, Stifel increased its price target for shares of MongoDB (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MDB), a general-purpose database platform, from $325.00 to $360.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows a period of notable performance among consumption-based companies in the tech sector, which have reported encouraging consumption patterns and an acceleration in new workload development, including artificial intelligence (AI) workloads.

According to InvestingPro data, 22 analysts have revised their earnings upward for the upcoming period, with the stock currently trading at $356.21 and showing strong momentum with a 51% return over the past six months.

The analyst from Stifel highlighted MongoDB's potential to deliver positive financial results in line with or exceeding recent trends, which have been in the range of 3-4% growth. This outlook is supported by the stock's approximately 20% increase since Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW), another data platform provider, reported strong third-quarter earnings.

The company has demonstrated robust performance with revenue growth of 22.37% and an impressive gross profit margin of 74.02%. Despite the challenge in assessing the exact level of growth anticipated for MongoDB's Atlas (NYSE:ATCO), the company's database as a service offering, the analyst suggests that the investment community may be expecting a performance similar to Snowflake's, which beat expectations by around 5.5%.

For deeper insights into MongoDB's financial health and growth metrics, InvestingPro subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which covers over 1,400 US stocks.

Stifel's analysis also took into account MongoDB's performance over the past four quarters, which showed an average of approximately 3% growth in Atlas usage. The firm anticipates that MongoDB will benefit from a more favorable economic environment, more manageable year-over-year comparisons, and a suite of growth drivers, including core services and emerging AI technologies.

Moreover, the firm points to strategic investments that MongoDB has made, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth and improved profitability and cash flow in the coming year. These investments include pre-paying cloud service provider contracts and acquiring IPv4 addresses, which are anticipated to be margin accretive.

The company maintains a strong financial position with a current ratio of 5.03, indicating robust liquidity to support these strategic initiatives. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value, with additional insights available through the platform's extensive valuation metrics.

In summary, the upgrade in the price target for MongoDB reflects a positive outlook based on the company's strategic positioning within the technology sector, its investment decisions, and the broader economic context. MongoDB's potential to capitalize on AI workloads and other growth drivers is at the core of Stifel's maintained Buy rating and increased price target.

In other recent news, MongoDB has been the focus of significant financial developments. The company has seen its share target increased by Baird due to promising growth prospects.

Earnings estimates have been revised upward by 22 analysts, reflecting strong support for the company's financial performance. MongoDB is also expected to report robust financial results for the third fiscal quarter, potentially including modest revenue and margin upside.

The company has also announced the expansion of its MongoDB AI Applications Program (MAAP), collaborating with AI and technology leaders such as Capgemini, Confluent, and IBM (NYSE:IBM). This move is expected to enhance the program's ability to assist organizations in leveraging AI technologies more effectively.

MongoDB reported a 13% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2, totaling $478 million, and announced the full redemption of its outstanding 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due in 2026.

Several analyst firms, including DA Davidson, Piper Sandler, and KeyBanc Capital Markets, have raised their price targets for MongoDB, reflecting the company's strong performance. Loop Capital maintains a positive outlook for the company, viewing it as a prime investment opportunity to leverage major IT trends such as cloud migration and generative AI.

MongoDB's management anticipates Q3 revenue to range between $493 million and $497 million, with full fiscal year 2025 revenue projected to be between $1.92 billion and $1.93 billion. These projections underscore the confidence in MongoDB's potential and its capacity to maintain a positive growth trajectory. These are all recent developments that investors may find interesting.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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