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Rosenblatt keeps Buy rating on Elastic stock with focus on Q2 growth and GenAI potential

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 20/11/2024, 12:06
ESTC
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On Wednesday, Rosenblatt Securities sustained a positive outlook on Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC), maintaining a Buy rating and a $120.00 price target for the stock. The firm anticipates that the company's financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, which concluded on October 31, will likely meet or slightly exceed expectations. This projection comes ahead of the official earnings report set to be released on Thursday, November 21st, after the market closes.

The firm's confidence stems from Elastic's recovery following first-quarter sales execution challenges, which were largely due to the realignment of its U.S. accounts. Rosenblatt's analysis suggests that the sales environment for Elastic has remained stable since the previous earnings report. Additionally, the firm observed that Cloud Service Provider (CSP (LON:CSPC)) activity has been robust.

Rosenblatt also noted that the guidance provided by Elastic for the second quarter was likely more cautious than usual due to the organizational restructuring missteps. However, the management has indicated that several deals which did not close in the first quarter have been successfully concluded since then. This positive development supports the firm's expectations for the quarter.

Elastic's strategic position is seen as favorable, with its unified platform being well-suited to capitalize on current trends in the industry, such as tool consolidation in Observability, Security Information and Event Management (SIEM) modernization, and the creation of next-generation artificial intelligence applications. These applications are expected to leverage Elastic's Search Relevance Engine (ESRE), which includes vector database capabilities.

Despite the challenges faced in the first quarter, Rosenblatt's projections for Elastic's cloud growth remain unchanged, anticipating a 27% increase for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, compared to the 30% growth in the previous quarter. The firm reaffirms both its price target and Buy rating, signaling continued confidence in Elastic's market performance.

In other recent news, Elastic NV has seen significant activity in financial and product development sectors. Citi has raised Elastic's target to $136, projecting a slight outperformance relative to consensus revenue estimates and anticipating growth acceleration due to improved execution and new applications of GenAI and ESRE.

William Blair upgraded Elastic NV shares from Market Perform to Outperform, highlighting the potential of Elastic's vector/hybrid search solutions. However, Needham reiterated a Hold rating on Elastic NV shares, foreseeing a smaller potential for revenue growth outside of Elastic Cloud.

Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Elastic NV's shares from Equalweight to Overweight, setting a new price target at $95, while Guggenheim maintained its Buy rating on Elastic NV, forecasting benefits from widespread adoption starting in 2025. Elastic NV shareholders approved key resolutions including executive appointments and financial authorizations, and the board received authorization to issue ordinary shares and grant rights to acquire ordinary shares.

In terms of product development, Elastic integrated its Elasticsearch Open Inference API with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL)'s Gemini Developer API, enhancing its advanced search retrieval features. The company also partnered with Arrow Electronics (NYSE:ARW) to extend the reach of its security, observability, and search solutions across North America. Elastic's Search AI Platform became available within the AWS Marketplace for the U.S. Intelligence Community. These are the highlights of recent developments in Elastic NV.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Rosenblatt Securities' positive outlook on Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. As of the latest reporting, Elastic boasts a market capitalization of $9.07 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the tech sector. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q1 2025 stood at $1.32 billion, with a notable revenue growth of 18.72% over the same period.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Elastic holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which aligns with the company's strong financial position mentioned in the article. This liquidity strength is further emphasized by another tip indicating that Elastic's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, potentially providing the company with financial flexibility as it navigates market challenges and pursues growth opportunities.

It's worth noting that Elastic is trading at a high P/E ratio of 145.21, which suggests investors are pricing in significant future growth expectations. This valuation metric aligns with the article's discussion of Elastic's strategic positioning to capitalize on industry trends such as tool consolidation and AI applications.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights beyond those mentioned here. Currently, there are 5 more InvestingPro Tips available for Elastic, which could provide further depth to the investment thesis presented in the article.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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