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JPMorgan maintains $350 target on monday.com amid macro challenges

Published 11/11/2024, 21:42
© Netanel Tobias, monday.com PR
MNDY
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On Monday , JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) reiterated its Overweight rating on monday.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: MNDY (NASDAQ:MNDY)) with a steady price target of $350.00. The firm acknowledged that monday.com delivered a strong quarter despite a turbulent macroeconomic environment, with key performance metrics surpassing consensus expectations. This quarter was highlighted as a Rule of 65% period, and the company's full-year guidance was revised upwards. Despite these positive outcomes, the magnitude of the beat-and-raise was modest compared to historical trends and likely fell short of some investor expectations.

The more conservative beat-and-raise results were attributed to the macroeconomic volatility that particularly affected the business in September. This led to a slight dip in enterprise and Monday Dev net additions for the quarter. Additionally, challenges in sales hiring may have deferred some business from the second half of the current year into the next.

Despite these hurdles, JPMorgan noted several strengths in monday.com's quarterly performance. These include a slight sequential improvement in net retention rates, even excluding pricing benefits, and potential for further expansion next year. The company also saw growth among its largest customers and continued success in CRM net additions. The cross-selling potential of Monday Service was highlighted, with half of the paying customers coming from the existing base.

Furthermore, the adoption of AI blocks and the monetization potential for the upcoming year were seen as positive indicators. There was also an increase in the monetization of marketplace apps, now at 71%. Additionally, the firm observed a robust improvement in profitability and free cash flow (FCF).

JPMorgan views the recent pullback in monday.com's shares as a potential opportunity for long-term investors. The firm believes that the core medium-term trends, such as multi-product adoption, enterprise expansion, and improving churn, remain strong and intact.

In other recent news, monday.com has achieved significant milestones, reaching $1 billion in annual recurring revenue following a 34% increase in second-quarter revenue. The company's projected full-year revenue for fiscal year 2024 is expected to range between $956 million and $961 million. Recent developments include an acquisition of Smartsheet (NYSE:SMAR), which has been positively received by analysts from firms such as JPMorgan, Needham, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), BofA Securities, and Loop Capital.

Analysts have also updated their outlooks on the company. KeyBanc Capital Markets reduced its price target from $350.00 to $340.00 while maintaining an Overweight rating. Oppenheimer maintained an Outperform rating and raised the price target to $325, expecting third-quarter revenue to surpass the management's sales guidance and consensus estimate. Barclays (LON:BARC) increased its shares target to $325 while maintaining an Overweight rating, highlighting potential growth in managed services and WorkCanvas.

Citi reaffirmed its Neutral stance on monday.com, citing a combination of stable traffic growth and increased marketing expenditure, but no significant uptick in new user growth or paid user conversion. DA Davidson raised its price target to $300, maintaining a Neutral stance on the company's shares. These are recent developments within the company that investors should keep an eye on.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement JPMorgan's analysis, recent data from InvestingPro offers additional insights into monday.com's financial position and market performance. The company's revenue growth remains strong, with a 35.22% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, aligning with JPMorgan's observation of a strong quarter. This is further supported by an InvestingPro Tip indicating that analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year.

monday.com's impressive gross profit margin of 89.19% underscores the company's efficiency in managing costs, which could contribute to the "robust improvement in profitability" noted by JPMorgan. Another InvestingPro Tip highlights that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, suggesting financial stability amid the macroeconomic volatility mentioned in the report.

The market has responded positively to monday.com's performance, with the stock showing a significant 131.45% return over the past year. This aligns with JPMorgan's Overweight rating and could reflect investor confidence in the company's growth trajectory and multi-product adoption strategy.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips that could provide further context to monday.com's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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