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Guggenheim keeps Buy on Best Buy stock, sees risk/reward improving ahead of 2025 recovery

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 29/11/2024, 13:46
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On Friday, Guggenheim maintained a Buy rating on Best Buy (NYSE: NYSE:BBY) shares but reduced the price target to $105 from $110. The firm's assessment of Best Buy's third-quarter operating results for the fiscal year 2024 indicated a mixed performance.

According to InvestingPro data, Best Buy maintains a FAIR financial health score of 2.43, with particularly strong profitability metrics. The company has demonstrated its market resilience as a prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry, maintaining dividend payments for 22 consecutive years.

The company experienced a significant decline in enterprise comparable sales, which dropped approximately 450 basis points in the latter two months of the quarter, resulting in a negative 4.5% compared to nearly flat results in August. The decrease was attributed to a dip in consumer engagement within the consumer electronics sector before the holiday sales period.

Challenges persisted across several key product categories, including appliances, home theater, and gaming, which led to further deceleration in Best Buy's multi-year geometric comparable sales performance. However, there were positive signs as well, with a 5.2% increase in comparable sales in the cosmetic computing and tablet categories, and a 7% rise in laptop sales. These figures suggest a potential stabilization in the consumer electronics industry as the market looks toward 2025.

Despite net sales not meeting expectations, falling short by roughly $165 million or about 1.7%, Best Buy achieved its target for EBIT margin, which stood at approximately 3.70%. Additionally, the adjusted earnings per share (EPS) slightly surpassed forecasts. The company's current P/E ratio of 15.13 and attractive dividend yield of 4.26% reflect its stable financial position.

InvestingPro analysis reveals 10+ additional insights about Best Buy's financial health and market position, available to subscribers. Best Buy has consistently met or surpassed its EBIT margin guidance for seven consecutive quarters. The firm's analysis indicates that with improvements in other profit centers, such as Geek Squad, Best Buy Business, Partner+, Best Buy Ads, and Best Buy Health, the risk/reward profile for Best Buy shares remains positive.

Guggenheim's revision of the price target to $105 from the previous $110 reflects a slight adjustment in estimates while reaffirming the Buy rating on the stock. The anticipation of a positive turnaround in the consumer electronics industry by 2025 underpins this continued positive outlook on Best Buy's shares.

Based on InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, Best Buy appears slightly undervalued at current levels, with analyst targets ranging from $80 to $117. The company's strong 25.06% price return over the past six months suggests growing investor confidence in its business model.

In other recent news, Best Buy experienced a challenging third fiscal quarter of 2024 with revenues of $9.4 billion, marking a slight decrease of 2.9% in comparable sales. Despite this, the electronics retailer maintained a non-GAAP operating income rate of 3.7%. Loop Capital, Truist Securities, and Telsey Advisory Group adjusted their price targets for Best Buy, while maintaining their respective Buy, Hold, and Outperform ratings.

Loop Capital expressed optimism about Best Buy's performance at the outset of the holiday season, while Truist Securities noted consumer purchasing patterns showing a preference for value. Telsey Advisory Group highlighted Best Buy's overall strategy and execution, despite the reduction in the price target.

Best Buy's online sales, contributing $2.7 billion and accounting for 31% of domestic revenue, showed growth in the computing and tablet sectors. The company's strategic initiatives, such as early holiday promotions, led to a 5% growth in enterprise comparable sales in the initial three weeks of November. Looking forward, Best Buy anticipates Q4 comparable sales to range from flat to a decline of 3% and aims to maintain a full-year non-GAAP operating income rate of 4.1% to 4.2%.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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