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Citi lifts CAVA Group shares target after another beat-and-raise

Published 13/11/2024, 13:54
CAVA
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On Wednesday, Citi maintained a Neutral rating on CAVA Group Inc (NYSE:CAVA) but increased the price target from $140.00 to $163.00. The adjustment follows CAVA Group's recent financial performance, which the firm described as a "beat and raise," highlighting the company's continued success and growth prospects.

CAVA Group, known for its Mediterranean cuisine, has been consistently outperforming expectations, showcasing an ability to remain profitable with positive free cash flow. The company's strategy includes an acceleration of new store openings planned for 2025, capitalizing on its unique market position in a category that consumers find difficult to replicate at home.

The company's robust same-store sales (SSS) narrative is attributed to a combination of factors. These include growing brand recognition, effective use of social and digital marketing, and strong execution of business strategies. Citi's analyst noted that CAVA's fundamental story is solid, with a wide array of initiatives aimed at improving both top and bottom lines, which should support the company's stock trading at current levels.

CAVA's success story is further emphasized by its unique positioning in the market, which allows it to stand out among competitors. The company's business model and operational execution have been key to its positive free cash flow status.

The increased price target reflects confidence in CAVA Group's future performance, as the company appears well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory. Citi's analysis suggests that CAVA's comprehensive approach to market expansion and financial management is likely to sustain its stock value.

In other recent news, CAVA Group, Inc. reported a robust third-quarter performance, easily surpassing analyst expectations. The company's adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.15, while revenue reached $241.5 million, a 39% increase from the same period last year. This strong performance was fueled by a significant 18.1% same-restaurant sales growth and the opening of 11 new restaurants, bringing the total count to 352.

Additionally, CAVA's restaurant-level profit margin expanded to 25.6%, despite increased labor costs and expenses associated with launching a new grilled steak offering. Encouraged by these results, the company raised its full-year 2024 guidance, now expecting same-restaurant sales growth of 12% to 13%.

The company's digital revenue mix stood at 35.8% for the quarter, underlining the growing significance of its online ordering channels.

InvestingPro Insights

CAVA Group's recent performance aligns with the positive outlook presented in Citi's analysis. According to InvestingPro data, CAVA's revenue growth has been impressive, with a 31.01% increase in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, and an even stronger 35.05% growth in the most recent quarter. This robust growth supports Citi's observation of CAVA's "beat and raise" performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts anticipate sales growth to continue in the current year, which corroborates Citi's positive stance on CAVA's growth prospects. Additionally, the company's profitability over the last twelve months and the expectation of continued profitability this year align with Citi's comments on CAVA's ability to remain profitable.

The stock's strong performance is evident in its 362.47% price return over the past year, and it's currently trading near its 52-week high, with the price at 95.69% of its peak. This performance supports Citi's decision to raise the price target, reflecting confidence in CAVA's market position and growth strategy.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for CAVA Group, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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