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Citi bullish on mersana stock ahead of XMT-1660 data catalyst

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 15/11/2024, 10:16
MRSN
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On Friday, Citi initiated coverage on Mersana Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRSN) stock with a Buy rating and a price target of $5.00, spotlighting the potential of the company's XMT-1660 project. The coverage begins as Mersana prepares to share initial data from the Phase 1 trial of XMT-1660 (B7-H4 ADC) by the end of 2024.

This upcoming data is seen as a significant catalyst that could revitalize interest in the company's shares, which have lagged since the setback with Upifitamab Rilsodotin (UpRi) last year.

Mersana's management has indicated that the initial dose-expansion, also set to commence by the end of 2024, will target Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) patients who have not responded to at least one topoisomerase 1 (topo-1) antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), such as Enhertu or Trodelvy.

This focus is considered an area of opportunity due to XMT-1660's unique anti-tubulin payload. The issue of cross resistance to topo-1 is increasingly concerning, particularly in TNBC where patients often receive Enhertu and Trodelvy sequentially.

Recent developments in the industry have underscored the challenge of topo-1 cross resistance. At the European Society for Medical (TASE:PMCN) Oncology (ESMO) 2024 conference, AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:AZN) presented Phase 1 data for their own topo-1 B7-H4 ADC, which showed no responses in a small cohort of patients who had previously been treated with a topo-1 ADC.

This lack of efficacy in patients already exposed to topo-1 ADCs highlights the potential for Mersana's XMT-1660 to address an unmet need in the treatment landscape.

Citi's coverage transfer to analyst Yigal Nochomovitz comes with optimistic expectations for the XMT-1660 data. The firm's communication expresses a positive outlook on the drug's potential impact, emphasizing the need for effective treatments in the TNBC space and the significance of the upcoming clinical data as a potential catalyst for Mersana's stock performance.

In other recent news, Mersana Therapeutics has reported significant progress in Phase I clinical trials for their antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), XMT-1660 and XMT-2056. The company's Q3 2024 earnings call revealed a notable reduction in net loss, down to $11.5 million from Q3 2023's $41.7 million. Mersana Therapeutics also disclosed a robust cash reserve of $155.2 million, projected to fund operations into 2026.

On the clinical front, XMT-1660 has reached a dose escalation of 115 mg/m² in Phase I trials, with initial data expected by the end of 2024. XMT-2056, targeting a novel HER2 epitope, is also showing encouraging preclinical results.

These recent developments indicate Mersana's commitment to addressing unmet medical needs in the treatment of endometrial and ovarian cancers. While specific guidance on Overall Response Rate (ORR) benchmarks for XMT-1660 was not provided, the firm's CEO, Dr. Marty Huber, emphasized the potential of these novel treatments in heavily pretreated patients.

InvestingPro Insights

Mersana Therapeutics' financial position and market performance offer additional context to the Citi analyst's optimistic outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the company's market capitalization stands at $311.3 million, reflecting investor interest despite recent challenges.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Mersana holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which could provide financial flexibility as it advances its XMT-1660 project. This solid cash position aligns with the company's ability to fund ongoing clinical trials and potential commercialization efforts.

Another relevant InvestingPro Tip notes that two analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Mersana's near-term prospects. This positive sentiment complements Citi's Buy rating and underscores the potential impact of the upcoming XMT-1660 data.

The company's stock has shown strong performance, with a 63.64% price total return over the past year and an impressive 69.13% return over the last three months. These figures indicate that investors are already beginning to price in potential positive developments, including the anticipated XMT-1660 trial results.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips that could provide further insights into Mersana Therapeutics' financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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