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Citi bullish on Instacart stock, cites improved demand & deeper retailer partnerships

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 13/11/2024, 10:56
CART
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On Wednesday, Citi updated its stance on Instacart (NASDAQ:CART) stock, increasing the company's price target from $47.00 to $55.00 while maintaining a Buy rating.

The adjustment follows Instacart's third-quarter results for 2024, which showcased a notable acceleration in Order and Gross Transaction (JO:TCPJ) Value (GTV) growth, with year-over-year increases of 10% and 11% respectively.

The results pointed to an uptick in demand for Instacart's services, attributed to improved affordability and deeper integrations with retailers. Citi's analysis highlighted that these trends are likely to continue driving long-term growth.

The firm noted particular encouragement from the improved order frequency and customer cohort dynamics, suggesting a positive outlook for Instacart's future performance.

Further details from the report emphasized the impact of Instacart's product and loyalty integrations, which have led to a significant 18% year-over-year savings per order, enhancing the overall affordability of the service. This has been a contributing factor to the strengthening demand observed in the third quarter.

Citi's commentary also shed light on the broader adoption of Instacart's offerings across its retailer base. The benefits of this adoption appear to be outweighing any potential drawbacks from changes to exclusivity agreements.

Retailers that have integrated and adopted more of Instacart's products and services have experienced double the sales growth compared to those who have not.

Moreover, the analysis pointed to advertising as a substantial opportunity for Instacart. With the company deepening its relationships with retailers and expanding its services, the positive momentum is expected to continue. This optimistic view is reflected in Citi's reiteration of its Buy rating and the raised price target for Instacart's shares.

In other recent news, Maplebear Inc., operating as Instacart, has increased its share buyback plan to $750 million, up from the previously announced $500 million. The decision follows the company's third quarter financial results, which revealed approximately $68 million remaining from the prior authorization.

The company has also reported a Gross Transaction Value (GTV) of $8.2 billion and an EBITDA of $213 million, according to Jefferies' forecasts.

In terms of strategic partnerships, Instacart has partnered with Family Dollar, enabling customers to use the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) for online orders.

Another significant collaboration is with Foodsmart through their joint Foodcare program, which has shown improved health outcomes for individuals with obesity and diabetes.

In analyst news, Jefferies has reiterated a Hold rating on Instacart, while Macquarie has maintained its Outperform rating and raised the price target to $50.00.

These recent developments highlight Instacart's focus on growth and its strategic partnerships, providing investors with a clear picture of the company's current financial strategies and market activities.

InvestingPro Insights

Instacart's recent performance aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $12.43 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the online grocery delivery space. Instacart's revenue growth of 10.69% over the last twelve months and a quarterly growth of 14.94% in Q2 2024 corroborate Citi's observations of accelerating Order and Gross Transaction Value growth.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Instacart "holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet" and has "liquid assets exceed short term obligations," suggesting a strong financial position to support its growth initiatives. This financial stability could be crucial as the company continues to invest in product integrations and loyalty programs, which have contributed to the 18% year-over-year savings per order noted in Citi's report.

The "impressive gross profit margins" mentioned in the InvestingPro Tips are evident in the data, with a gross profit margin of 74.95% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This high margin could provide Instacart with the flexibility to invest in affordability measures and deeper retailer integrations, as highlighted in the article.

While the company is currently not profitable, with a negative operating income margin of -69.0%, InvestingPro Tips indicate that "analysts predict the company will be profitable this year." This aligns with the positive outlook presented in Citi's analysis, particularly regarding the potential for advertising revenue and continued growth from enhanced retailer relationships.

Investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis can access 13 additional InvestingPro Tips for Instacart, offering deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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