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Can ExxonMobil stock maintain momentum amid rising capex and softer margins?

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 26/11/2024, 08:52
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On Tuesday, RBC Capital adjusted its outlook on ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM), reducing the stock's price target to $115 from the previous $120, while keeping a Sector Perform rating on the stock.

The update comes ahead of ExxonMobil's annual corporate update scheduled for December 11, which will include an Upstream spotlight following the completion of the PXD acquisition.

ExxonMobil has seen a notable performance this year, outshining many of its peers in the energy sector with approximately a 40% re-rating of its shares compared to other companies. Despite this strong performance, RBC Capital expressed a more cautious stance due to several factors that may impact ExxonMobil's investment outlook.

The firm highlighted concerns about softer downstream margins anticipated through 2025 and the potential for increased capital expenditures over the medium term. These factors have led RBC Capital to suggest that there may be more attractive risk-reward opportunities available within the energy sector.

ExxonMobil's upcoming corporate update is expected to provide investors with a comprehensive review of the company's strategic direction, particularly in the wake of its recent acquisition. The focus on the Upstream business will likely offer insights into how the company plans to integrate the new assets and manage its portfolio moving forward.

RBC Capital's revised price target of $115 reflects a more conservative valuation of ExxonMobil's stock, taking into account the potential headwinds and spending concerns outlined by the firm. Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring the company's update in December for further details on ExxonMobil's strategy and financial projections.

In other recent news, ExxonMobil has announced a significant investment of over $200 million to bolster its advanced recycling capabilities at its Texas facilities. This initiative, set to commence operations by 2026, aligns with the company's goal to raise its global recycling capacity to 1 billion pounds of plastic per year by 2027. ExxonMobil's advanced recycling customer base spans over 15 countries and multiple sectors, including those requiring food-safe packaging.

Moving on to analyst notes, TD Cowen has increased ExxonMobil's price target to $132, maintaining a buy rating due to insights into the company's capital expenditure and production strategies. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also raised its price target for ExxonMobil to $137, maintaining a neutral rating based on the company's strong third-quarter earnings, particularly in its Energy Solutions segment.

ExxonMobil has also announced plans to disclose its Corporate Plan and conduct an in-depth review of its Upstream business sector. With robust third-quarter earnings and a streamlined refining business, the company also reported a 4% increase in its quarterly dividend.

Lastly, ExxonMobil is actively participating in global discussions, recently attending the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum. The company continues to make advances in low-carbon solutions and has established new partnerships in this area. These are the most recent developments in ExxonMobil's strategic advancements and financial resilience.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement RBC Capital's analysis, InvestingPro data offers additional context on ExxonMobil's financial position. The company's market capitalization stands at $527.28 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. ExxonMobil's P/E ratio of 14.99 suggests a relatively modest valuation compared to historical averages, which may be of interest to value-oriented investors.

InvestingPro Tips highlight ExxonMobil's strong dividend history, having raised its dividend for 42 consecutive years and maintained payments for 54 years. This track record aligns with the company's 3.3% dividend yield and 8.79% dividend growth over the last twelve months, potentially appealing to income-focused investors despite RBC's more cautious outlook.

The company's revenue of $343.82 billion over the last twelve months, coupled with a gross profit margin of 31.53%, indicates ExxonMobil's substantial operational scale. However, the slight revenue decline of 1.59% year-over-year may support RBC's concerns about softer margins in the near term.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips on ExxonMobil, providing a broader perspective on the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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