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Monex Monex

Monex's Comment & Analysis.
Access a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Monex, including current material.
Muted Trading Over Thanksgiving By Monex - Nov 29, 2024

USD With the US out for Thanksgiving yesterday, dollar trading conditions were naturally muted. A similar story is likely to be true today as well, with many in the US taking an extended weekend...

Powell Puts December Rate Cut in Doubt By Monex - Nov 15, 2024

USD As anticipated, Chair Powell delivered some distinctly non-committal responses in his speech yesterday evening. Perhaps most notably, he suggested that “The economy is not sending any signals...

US CPI And Fed Speakers in Focus This Week By Monex - Nov 11, 2024

USD After rallying through Friday afternoon, the dollar starts the new week making further gains against the rest of the G10 complex. Commentary over the weekend for the US has seen markets continue...

US Dollar: Fed Policy Poses Upside Risks By Monex - Nov 07, 2024

USD Outlook As expected, Trump’s presidential election victory saw significant upside support for the greenback. This culminated in the US Dollar Index index topping out just shy of 105.50 yesterday,...

Payrolls Slump, but Leave Reason for Scepticism By Monex - Nov 01, 2024

As expected, the October payrolls data came in soft. But, showing just 12k jobs added, this was much weaker than the 100k reading that economist consensus had been looking for. Even so, market...

A Busy Week in Store for Global FX Markets By Monex - Oct 28, 2024

USD The US presidential elections should be the primary focus for North America this week, albeit against the backdrop of a busy docket in both the US and elsewhere. Specifically, markets are due to...

Political uncertainty weighs on growth By Monex - Oct 24, 2024

Private sector eurozone activity posted a marginal contraction in October, according to the latest flash PMIs. Activity in the UK, by contrast, continued to expand, but at the slowest pace since...

The BoC cuts by 50bps, opening the door for more By Monex - Oct 24, 2024

USD The dollar’s climb continued on Wednesday, with the DXY index gaining another 0.3%. Even so, yesterday afternoon saw the greenback appear to hit a ceiling, not unsurprisingly we think, given our...

The BoC looks set to up the pace of easing By Monex - Oct 23, 2024

USD The dollar posted further gains on Tuesday, extending its recent run higher. Not only did this leave DXY trading above 104 for the first time since early August, but the index has now gained...

The dollar starts the new week stronger By Monex - Oct 21, 2024

USD After a slide to finish last week, the dollar starts this one on the front foot, with the DXY index up 0.1% this morning. This comes despite the key data point to kick off the new week coming...

The ECB ups the pace By Monex - Oct 18, 2024

USD While an ECB meeting was arguably the major event of note on Thursday, US retail sales were a close second, released at 13:30 BST. To the surprise of many, including ourselves, core sales rose by...

The ECB is set to cut, and should keep on cutting By Monex - Oct 17, 2024

USD The greenback notched higher on Wednesday, even with little on the docket domestically. Instead, a broad assessment of central bank easing expectations following weak UK CPI data released early...

UK inflation sparks a sterling selloff By Monex - Oct 16, 2024

USD The dollar tracked sideways on Tuesday as US traders returned to the office post-holiday. In truth though, there was little by way of market moving data on offer to stimulate broad FX price...

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